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00:00Penn State and Boise State Fiesta Bowl, New Year's Eve.
00:04Big number here, been hanging around 10 1⁄2.
00:06Will Gente and Boise be able to hang around
00:10with the Nittany Lions?
00:12They're gonna have to run the football to do that.
00:14And I'm saying that like there could be three-yard carries,
00:17four-yard carries, four-yard carries,
00:19and then maybe bust a big play.
00:21Penn State looked really good
00:22in their first round matchup against SMU.
00:24They have a top 10 rush defense,
00:26and I think their defense gets undervalued a little bit.
00:30The team that can run the football in this Fiesta Bowl,
00:32whether it's Penn State or Boise State,
00:34will be in good shape
00:35because you're taking pressure off Maddox Mattson,
00:37who doesn't make a ton of mistakes, to be fair,
00:39and Drew Aller,
00:41who maybe he'll take a few more shots down the field
00:43against an underrated Boise secondary.
00:45I've gone back and forth on this one all week.
00:48I think Penn State wins, obviously,
00:50but I actually think Boise State can sneak in a cover here,
00:52especially if Ashton Gente goes off.
00:55And I am glad they are the Cinderella story
00:59of this playoff, in a way.
01:00You know what I mean?
01:01I know they're the three seed, but they are the Cinderella.
01:04Oh, they absolutely are.
01:05And I did already see that they're gonna,
01:07which they should, try to change that next year.
01:09They're gonna have discussions
01:11about changing the automatic buys
01:14and just having it as the top four seeds.
01:16But they'll find something else, Bill,
01:18to complain about after that.
01:19So we always know that once we fix one thing,
01:21we're gonna complain about something after that.
01:23All right, Wednesday, three games.
01:25We'll start with the first one,
01:26Peach Bowl, Atlanta, Texas, and Arizona State.
01:31This was 13 1⁄2 for a while.
01:33We've started to see some people
01:34maybe not believe Arizona State can win the game, Bill,
01:37but a lot of people believing
01:38that maybe they could stay within this number,
01:41down to 12 1⁄2, even 11 1⁄2 in some places.
01:44Yeah, and what a fun game from the standpoint
01:47that the Big 12 powerhouse, Texas, leaves,
01:51and now they're playing the Big 12 champion, Arizona State.
01:53I mean, if I would've wrote that sentence 10 years ago,
01:55I'm not sure Sporting News would've ran the article
01:57or kept me around much longer.
02:00It's this Texas team, though,
02:02I don't like this matchup for Arizona State.
02:05I think that Texas defense is active.
02:07They get a lot of pass breakups in the secondary.
02:10Their run defense around Anthony Hill is very good.
02:13And in three of their last four games,
02:14they've ran the ball for more than 200 yards.
02:16So while we stay transfixed on Quinn Mewers
02:21and Arch Manning and that quarterback dynamic,
02:23their running game has been dominant.
02:24So I can see it hovering around that number.
02:27Did you say it's still at 13 1⁄2?
02:29If it is, go ahead.
02:32Down, down to 12 1⁄2 in most places.
02:35I've even seen an 11 1⁄2 here or there.
02:38So it's been coming down from the 13 1⁄2.
02:40If that's the case, give me the Longhorns.
02:42I'm taking the value in the Longhorns.
02:44I think they win by a couple scores.
02:45They are in Atlanta, and there's a reason
02:48why they're the betting favorite
02:49to win the national championship.
02:50I mean, I don't know if they are the best team,
02:52but they've got a pretty good look at it.