En una reciente entrevista, el presidente argentino Javier Milei declaró que la esperanza de su plan económico depende de la intervención de Donald Trump para conseguir un nuevo préstamo del FMI. Comparó su situación con la de Mauricio Macri, quien también dependió del apoyo de Trump para obtener un megapréstamo en 2018. Además, Milei expresó su deseo de establecer un acuerdo de libre comercio con Estados Unidos, lo cual podría generar tensiones dentro del Mercosur. La declaración ha generado controversia y plantea interrogantes sobre el futuro económico y político de Argentina en el escenario internacional.
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00:00And a president has to say this, that the hope of the economic plan depends on Trump.
00:06This is what President Javier Milei said in an interview with an international media.
00:11The truth is that one can say this as an analyst, I don't know if it is logical for one to say it in front of so many presidents,
00:17but well, one definitely appreciates that the president is saying that,
00:22with which a good part of economic analysts agree.
00:25What does it mean? Why does Milei say that it depends on Trump?
00:30Because Mauricio Macri depended on Trump at the time,
00:34because it was Trump who enabled that mega-loan from the IMF,
00:38which later served for the gambling, but that's another story.
00:42But that loan that served so that Macri, when they close his debt in 2018 in the markets,
00:50gets a loan, a mega-loan, which at that time was 57 billion dollars,
00:55I think 44,000 were finally debited.
00:58And then, well, this allowed Macri to reach the end of his term without having a big market blow,
01:04although inflation is shot at 53%.
01:08What President Javier Milei is looking for, and it is known,
01:10is that the IMF gives him part of that attributed loan that they stopped giving.
01:16How much? 10, 15 billion dollars.
01:19However, the IMF says, yes, yes, but we think that this economic plan is a bit unsustainable,
01:24because it should be devalued, it is devaluing everyone.
01:27There are already several documents that the IMF asked for devaluation.
01:30However, Milei expects that now, when Donald Trump joins,
01:33Donald changes in the authorities of the IMF, which designates the United States,
01:37which has veto power in the IMF, and there they enable him the money.
01:41But how strange, Milei, that he said it.
01:44Yes, he admitted it, it was a kind of sincerity, right?
01:47In a media in the United States, Javier Milei said that the intervention of Donald Trump
01:52is what will open the doors for Argentina to get a new loan with the IMF.
01:58He must have spoken about it.
01:59Of course, that's what we say, it can be a new loan,
02:01or enable that part of the money that Mauricio Macri had lent him,
02:05which Alberto Fernández rejected.
02:07Well, it may be that it is about that.
02:09One cannot think that the IMF will enable that loan,
02:11because in the end it is the great adjuster.
02:14In other words, the IMF, which is what it says,
02:16we celebrate the way in which the fiscal austerity is,
02:19that it is adjusted, but on the other hand it says,
02:21yes, yes, but it's fine, but the dollar, this price, no.
02:23And it also intervenes in all policies.
02:25Well, what Javier Milei said is also another textual.
02:27I think a free trade agreement is very likely,
02:29because the United States discovered that we are a trustworthy partner.
02:33Let's remember that Javier Milei, with the triumph,
02:35he militated Trump, we can say, to win the elections.
02:39The entire libertarian government, in fact, was very happy
02:42when he won the day of the election with the red ties.
02:46Javier Milei traveled to Mar-a-Lago, he was there with Donald Trump, let's say.
02:49He is going to travel to Asunción.
02:51He is going to travel to Asunción.
02:52The link he has with the United States, with Donald Trump,
02:55he believes that it will favor the policy of the Argentine economy.
03:00And he spoke precisely of these free trade agreements,
03:03which is not new, because Javier Milei has already been saying
03:05that he wants to make free trade agreements
03:07both with the United States and with China.
03:09In fact, it is something that he raised at the summit of the Mercosur,
03:13this desire to make these free trade agreements,
03:17which we know is not possible in the Mercosur.
03:19I mean, doing that would imply breaking with the Mercosur,
03:23because the member countries of this alliance
03:26do not allow agreements to be made by the countries individually,
03:29but as a block.
03:31In fact, Lula has already shown against that.
03:34Jamal Dworcy, who is going to be the new president of Uruguay, too.
03:37So it's a complex context, but Javier Milei...
03:40Yes, and it is also more complex to achieve a free trade agreement
03:44with the two commercial powers facing each other.
03:46With China and the United States, of course.
03:48With God and the devil.
03:48Of course, well, it's kind of weird.
03:50And we also have to see if the United States wants it,
03:51because we know that it has a more pro...
03:54Well, we have to see, we have to see.
03:55The truth is that the international scenario is very complex.
03:57Javier Milei believes that with this alliance,
04:00with this devotion he has for the US government and for Donald Trump,
04:04well, that's going to help and it's going to unlock a loan
04:06with the International Monetary Fund.
04:07Also, let's say that to raise the CEPO,
04:11which Javier Milei announced in the national chain
04:14that he did to fulfill a year of mandate,
04:16to raise the CEPO, it is very possible that he needs the loan
04:19of the International Monetary Fund.
04:20So, well, it is also something that urges him...
04:24The problem is that the Monetary Fund believes
04:26that the CEPO cannot be raised without evaluation.
04:28Of course.
04:28Why?
04:29Because either via imports, or purchase door-to-door,
04:33or by tourism, the reserves would evaporate.
04:36So, let it be a barrel without a bottom,
04:38let them lend him 15,000 and then they need more.
04:40Of course, well, then there is going to be a tension
04:44that we have to see how the government solves it.
04:46First, we have to see if, indeed, Donald Trump
04:48is going to raise this loan with the International Monetary Fund
04:51after everything that has already happened to us
04:53with the Morsema government.