Femi discusses his thoughts on the SMU Mustangs and their chances to reach the 12-team College Football playoffs
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00:00but the ACC was my biggest takeaway.
00:03Like we saw last night, the committee,
00:05go ahead and respect the ACC
00:07because for the first time since doing these rankings,
00:09this was the fourth version of the rankings.
00:12We do not have four SEC teams in, which makes sense.
00:14SEC crapped the bed last Saturday.
00:17All three of those teams, Bama, Ole Miss, A&M,
00:19they all lost, but we now have a second ACC team
00:22in the current bracket, and that's SMU.
00:24And SMU is the 10 seed,
00:26but they're actually the ninth ranked team.
00:28So you have Miami at six, SMU at nine,
00:31and the committee is telling you
00:32they respect this conference.
00:34Unlike the Big 12 to where their highest ranked team
00:36is Arizona State at 16,
00:38the committee is showing respect to the ACC,
00:40which, oh, by the way, when Miami lost to Georgia Tech,
00:43they went from like third to eighth.
00:45Like they think highly of this conference,
00:47and I think we're setting up to be in a scenario
00:49to where if SMU takes care of business on Saturday,
00:52if they beat Cal, I think that SMU is just it.
00:55Like as long as they don't lose by 40
00:59against Miami in the ACC title game,
01:00and if it's SMU and Miami,
01:01those teams take care of business this Saturday,
01:03and it's respectable, at minus 175,
01:06which is where the Mustangs sit right now
01:08to make the college football playoff,
01:09I think they get in
01:10because we're talking about it next Saturday,
01:12top 10 showdown, SMU and Miami.
01:15That is a top 10 game, and the loser of that game
01:17is gonna be seen as, yeah, great season,
01:20you lost to a good team, we're still gonna reward you.
01:22Because I think this is the hypothesis
01:24that I sort of have right now
01:25with the college football playoff, the 12 team playoff.
01:28I think they're gonna want to reward-
01:29Yeah.
01:31Let's go, let's do it.
01:32I think the committee-
01:32Fabby scientific theorem.
01:34Yeah, and that's where it ends.
01:35I think the committee is gonna want to reward teams
01:38that make the conference title game,
01:39because that's been the conversation,
01:41especially in the SEC,
01:42like when Lane Kiffin came out and was like,
01:44hey, I mean, we'd rather not play the conference title game
01:46because that's another chance that we might lose.
01:48They're very aware of that mindset,
01:50and I think they're gonna want to reward teams
01:52that actually get there.
01:53As long as you're there with, at worst,
01:55two losses, maybe one loss.
01:56If you're A&M and you lose in the conference title game,
01:59you're now at four losses,
02:00they're not gonna reward you.
02:01You have ample opportunity to go ahead
02:03and get a big win to ultimately get there.
02:05But a team like SMU, who only has one loss,
02:07if they lose to Miami,
02:08they're gonna be like, you know what?
02:10Tough loss, you were an underdog,
02:12let's just still put you into the playoff
02:13because we're not gonna put you behind
02:14one of these three loss teams,
02:16even though the three loss teams like Alabama
02:18are a much bigger draw,
02:19they have a much bigger kind of program prestige.
02:22I do think SMU would still get in.
02:24Just a nudge, it'll be a little bit hairy,
02:25and you'll be sweating it out on Selection Sunday.
02:28But I do think that SMU would get in
02:30if they lose to Miami next Saturday in the ACC title game.
02:33I think SMU, as long as they beat Cal,
02:35is in the college football playoff.
02:37So SMU plus 150, a bet for you, yes or no?
02:41They are, that's plus 150 to win the ACC.
02:43I would rather bet the minus 175
02:46for them to make the playoff.
02:47I think that's where there's a little bit of a difference.
02:48Like the Big 12, I'm like,
02:49hey, they gotta win to get in.
02:50So that's a bet for you, SMU minus 175,
02:52you wanna lay that with SMU, you're in.
02:54I wanna lay it, yep, yep, I wanna lay it.
02:55Because they're 13 and a half on Saturday against Cal.
02:58They win that game, I think they're just in.