Russian troops continue to push forward in eastern Ukraine, making significant advances in the western Donetsk region. They may now get closer and threaten important Ukrainian ground lines of communication running into eastern Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia regions.
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00:00Russian forces continue to make significant tactical advances in western Donetsk region
00:10and are coming closer to enveloping Velyka Novosilka and advancing towards important
00:14Ukrainian ground lines of communication supplying the rest of western Donetsk region and running
00:20into eastern Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhia regions.
00:25Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces are advancing to the eastern outskirts
00:29of Velyka Novosilka, just east of the Donetsk-Zaporizhia region border area.
00:35Moscow troops are also continuing efforts to eliminate the small pocket southeast of
00:40Kurakhove and northeast of Vuhlydar.
00:42The Institute for the Study of War previously assessed that Russian military command has
00:47several potential causes of action in this sector of the front, and two of them are more
00:53probable.
00:55They can push west along the road to the Andreevka-Kostiantynopel line from Kurakhove.
00:59They have already seized positions along the road.
01:02Recent Russian advances to central Kurakhove placed Russian forces about 15 km east of
01:08Andreevka.
01:09This would give Russian forces a stronger position from which to envelop a chain of
01:13settlements along the highway northwest and northeast of Vuhlydar.
01:18Or, they may continue advancing west along the road towards Andreevka while attacking
01:23into the pocket northeast of Vuhlydar along the Uspenivka-Hanivka-Romanivka line, trying
01:28to force Ukrainian forces to withdraw westward to avoid encirclement.
01:33Such a maneuver could enable Russian forces to seize tactical positions in the area and
01:38level the front line from Sonsivka to Konstantinopolske, placing Russian forces about 23 km east of
01:45the Donetsk-Dnepropetrovsk region border at its closest point.
01:50The Institute for the Study of War assesses that Russian advances in western Donetsk region
01:55do not automatically mean the collapse of the Ukrainian front line, but Moscow's advances
02:00here may become operationally significant if the Russian command properly exploits these
02:07recent tactical successes.