• last month
Transcript
00:00This game in Pittsburgh between the Ravens and the Steelers allow me to just set this stage and say in the way Don
00:07And we talk about chiefs games over a touchdown. It's that don't waste your time
00:12Just grab the points and just watch them pull it out at the end
00:15That's been the story if a team is laying over a field goal in Baltimore, Pittsburgh
00:20Almost never can the team who is supposed to win actually win by that margin
00:26Especially in the Harbaugh Tomlin era and these two have been doing it and for these respective
00:31Organizations year in and year out. I looked at this game and I like the spot for Baltimore
00:38I do
00:39But I can't stare in the face of what has just been one of the most consistent
00:44Trends in football Oh Pittsburgh will find a way
00:47Considering the Ravens this year are three and two on the road and two of those wins are by three exactly
00:52I think I'd rather just go out there and try and bet Baltimore by three
00:56Exactly. It's a great game with a lot of implications. What are you expecting from your boy Russell Wilson?
01:02I expect a lot out of Russ and the hashtag let Russ cook. This is what you got him for. You're notoriously
01:07It's what I should say notoriously. It's hard to run the football against the Baltimore Ravens case in point
01:12It is again this year
01:13You have to open up that passing game, which I believe Russell be able to do Mike Williams gets limited snaps last week
01:18But a big play for a touchdown. He should be more involved today
01:21Pickens absolutely on the outside and firing with but let's be honest about what the Pittsburgh Steelers season entails right now
01:26You might not think this is tough started last week with the commanders on the road put out a great victory now
01:31You take on the Ravens, but this is the start of four straight divisional games
01:34Now you might also say well Donnie two of those divisional games against the Baltimore Ravens
01:37These are rivalries that date back and they say okay
01:40What happens after those four game guys at the Eagles at the Ravens home to the Chiefs home to the Bengals to end the season?
01:47So as good as the season has been going for the Pittsburgh Steelers, it could get quickly derailed specifically what they lost today
01:53I love the spot for them Joe because for me, I think the passing game can move the football against the Ravens because why?
01:59Everybody's been doing that against the Ravens
02:01Yeah, we'll see a two thirty three and a half is his number today and you hit me on the on the side Donnie
02:06What Mike Williams I try to get the number last week
02:08It was eleven and a half one reception thirty two yards and a touch and nineteen and a half is his total today
02:14So we'll keep an eye out on that. He could be a major factor a couple couple of you know, a series
02:20Trends you want to throw out seven games?
02:23They've averaged thirty and a half points per game. I understand total those are totals, right?
02:28So I understand both the offenses are a little bit, you know more high explosive this year
02:33Obviously with Derrick Henry and what we see what Russell Wilson in the passing attack
02:37But I mean eighteen and a half points higher than what basically the average is
02:41I actually like the under year even though both offenses are cooking Pittsburgh has won four straight
02:46They've won those games by an average margin of victory of twelve point eight points per game on the flip side for Baltimore
02:53They've won seven of eight guys
02:54They've scored 28 or more in every game outside the Cleveland game where they scored 24, right?
03:00So the trend seems over I like under I think it's gonna come down to Baltimore and they're rushing attack
03:06I think Henry eats today
03:08I know that goes right into the strength of Pittsburgh, but I'm not I'm not you know
03:12I believe that Baltimore is the more complete team. I did get this victory. They're cooking with fire again
03:18I'm laying the three and I'm taking me under so I was going again into this game
03:22and I do think that Baltimore is in a good spot because I I guess I just fundamentally believe they're better than Pittsburgh and
03:29The Steelers get that nice win over Washington
03:32Give them credit for that
03:34I think maybe a touch of shine comes off when you saw what
03:38Washington looked like on Thursday where maybe that commanders team is being figured out
03:41There's some very damning trends out there around what happens to Cliff Kingsbury when we hit the November portion of a season
03:48Which is again a very interesting thing that we'll see if it sustains
03:52But then as I I don't more and more into this game
03:54And I remember that Washington game Lisey where I was way in on Jade and Daniels throwing
03:59You didn't get there now partly because you know Johnny Newton jumps off sides
04:04We don't get the football back and James Daniels would have been able to get there
04:07so when comes a Lamar Jackson passing prop of
04:10237 and a half and
04:12When it comes to the best players in sports, I'm talking all sports, right?
04:19Usually books are not going to allow you to beat them consistently with the best player
04:24But sometimes they just cannot catch up. There was a stretch run
04:28I remember when Joel and be Donnie last year went over his points prop every game 30 30 30
04:33No, he was gonna score 40 every night. It was just it was impossible to leave
04:36Well, Donnie Lamar Jackson is the MVP favorite Lamar Jackson is one of the most famous players in football
04:41Lamar Jackson has a passing yards prop of 237 and a half
04:44Lamar Jackson is averaging
04:46300 passing yards a game in the last six weeks with his fewest yards being thrown
04:52280 but they still don't come on. It's Lamar
04:57He's not he's not Mahomes. He's not borough. He's not Herbert. He's not Josh Allen. No, he's Lamar Jackson
05:05he's one of the best players in this league and he is having a
05:09Unbelievable season throwing the football against the Pittsburgh secondary. I'm still willing to test Joe
05:15I love Lamar Jackson over 237 and a half. It's a great look
05:18I don't think that Baltimore will slow down their offense. Why because that's their identity this year, right?
05:24They want to push tempo. They are very confident in terms of the offensive scheme
05:28We see Rashad Bateman come on and the wide receivers a flowers always a main option
05:34We saw Mark Andrews in terms of Thursday night get multiple catches right over 60 yards
05:39So now you have the whole passing tree open at your disposal for Lamar Jackson
05:44We got just the sill and those running backs coming out of the backfield, right?
05:48So now when that happens you you get the defense thinking pass now
05:52You could utilize the RPO game Derrick Henry's open. So I don't think I think it's a great look
05:56I think this game will be dictated by Pittsburgh and I know Donnie's all-in on Russ
06:02but I think they really have to say to ourselves and I know it's a
06:05233 and a half number and Baltimore's week in the secondary
06:08But are we still built to go toe-to-toe offensively with Baltimore on every possession?
06:15Or do we want to dial it back a little bit sustained drives get this into a lower scoring game?
06:21The fact that we're at home and I'm not suggesting 1613, but low 20s where we're under the number it could be
06:27I mean, it's a rock'em sock'em, you know series that these guys tend to have each and every year in these two games
06:32It'll be interesting to see a play up
06:33But also those other ways to bet these football games because I can't sell you on the Pittsburgh Steelers as Joe points out
06:39Is there any point in your mind that you think Russ can throw for?
06:42189 yards and pick up a victory against Baltimore today for me. It's no same thing with TJ
06:47Defense to record a sack today minus 125
06:49Tell me at the end of the game if TJ what doesn't have a sack if that bodes well for that defense it doesn't so
06:53If you can't be sold on saying I think the Pittsburgh Steelers win this game outright
06:57There's no way for me
06:59They can win this game without Russ going over 200 yards or more passing which will put him in the realm to get that passing
07:04Prop and TJ watch the record a sack today

Recommended