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00:00Here's a game that is incredibly compelling.
00:05We head to Gainesville once again.
00:07How does LSU respond after two consecutive losses and getting thrashed last week at home
00:14in a night game inside Tiger Stadium?
00:16Lacey Guy, the odds maker is not expecting LSU to show all that much resilience in Gainesville
00:22in the swamp today.
00:24Just a three and a half point spread.
00:25Billy Napier has told the media that they expect DJ Lagway to return.
00:30He was not out there last week.
00:32It was Aiden Warner as the Gators got rolled by Texas in Austin.
00:37How do you break down this matchup?
00:39What bounce back will we see out of the Bayou Bengals?
00:40They better give a good bounce back because that was a pathetic effort allowing Jalen
00:45Milrow a buck 85 on the ground, 311 for a team in terms of Alabama as a whole, averaged
00:51well over six and a half yards per Gary.
00:53That defensive front seven needs to get after it.
00:56Nussmeier looked like a deer in the headlights.
00:58I expect a much better effort today.
01:00They have one 10 straight, excuse me, five straight in the series by an average margin
01:04of victory of 10.2 points per game.
01:07Picked up this victory by double digits last year.
01:10What I really like though, guys, is points.
01:12I expect the offensive continuity for Nussmeier, Mason Taylor, and the rushing attack to get
01:17going a little bit more than they did last week with Caden Dorham.
01:20I think we're going to have points.
01:2265 meetings, you look at these scores, 42-28, 37-34, 49-42, 45-35, 52-35, and we're sitting
01:31on a 55 and a half here.
01:33Give me LSU, but I'd like the over here.
01:35It's tough for me to know exactly what Lagway's going to look like.
01:38I've heard people say, oh, mobile quarterbacks give LSU, I don't know if this kid can move
01:42at all.
01:43When you're on a stretcher with a hamstring injury, I'm surprised he's not having the
01:45Dak Prescott season ending surgery.
01:48I'll just say with Brian Kelly, he had a 4-8 season at Notre Dame where he didn't lose
01:52three games in a row.
01:53You have to go back to 2014, the last time BK had a three-game losing streak here.
01:59It happened.
02:00It was a 7-1 team that all of a sudden lost four in a row, so there's some similarities,
02:03but you're talking about something that, for Brian Kelly, would, I think, shake his standing
02:09at this program that he, again, immediately caught fire, went to an SEC title game here.
02:14A lot of pressure on Brian Kelly.
02:15Napier's already been re-upped.
02:16Yeah.
02:18Eighth time in nine games for Florida, they will be an underdog against Power Conference
02:23competition 4-3 ATS in the previous seven.
02:27LSU has not been a good cover team this year, favored four times against Power 4 competition,
02:33just 1-3 against the spread.
02:34Quickly here, Lacey Guy, to your point about this Blake Baker-led defense, after the win
02:39against Arkansas, holding the Hogs to only 38 rushing yards in that game, they were allowing
02:44just 20.6 points per game as a scoring defense.
02:47They have given up 80 total points in 553 rushing yards in their last two games against
02:55A&M and Alabama.
02:56Speaking of the Crimson Tide, Kev, they're playing an FCS foe, a nine-win FCS foe, but
03:02still an FCS foe that is Mercer.
03:05Alabama at home today, inside Brian Denny, now 42-and-a-half point favorite.
03:10You said it earlier, this game has no impact on the Tide's outlook for the SEC championship,
03:15but still you want to look good.
03:16How good will Alabama look today in Tuscaloosa?
03:19It's tough to tell because Mercer, again, you mentioned, is a nine-win football team,
03:22and DeBoer only won game in his time at Washington against a non-FBS opponent.
03:26Now they did beat up on a Portland State team, 52-6, covering, what was it, a little bit
03:30of a 30-and-a-half, 31-and-a-half spread, somewhat easily in that game.
03:34I would look towards the over here though, Joe.
03:37Mercer's record is largely due to their offense.
03:39So if Alabama can get into the 40s in this game, Mercer should be able to do enough.
03:44Absolutely.
03:4557-and-a-half to me is light, and the biggest thing for me is that they're 4-0 all-time
03:49against Mercer.
03:51Last time they played was back in 2021, but the difference between maybe Nick Saban and
03:55Kaitlin DeBoer, Nick Saban will win this game 55-to-maybe-3, cover the number, and get out
04:00of dodge.
04:01So get the cover, that's the most important thing for the back.
04:05Hey Bears, take the check, we're still going to hammer you.
04:08Texas A&M playing host today inside Kyle Field to New Mexico State.
04:13This is not Diego Pavia's NMSU 38-and-a-half point spread in favor of the Aggies.