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00:00All right bloat so the the game that everyone is going to be interested in over the weekend is an orchard park with the bills
00:06Take it on
00:07The Chiefs and a lot of people feel that the Chiefs are living on borrowed time here all but two of their wins
00:15Have been by one score, so they've gotten a ton of breaks including last week here, but
00:22My homes as a dog in any spot has always been a money bet here
00:28Is it a money bet this week as they're getting two and a half?
00:31Yeah a lot to this game obviously with the numbers my home is 12 1 and 1 against the number and 11 and 3 straight
00:38Up as an underdog in his career
00:40including the postseason
00:42They're 9 and 0 but only 5 and 4 against the number had not covered that any of their last three games
00:48They played each other seven times in the last four years
00:52Kansas City's four and three against the spread and straight up and it's four and three to the over
00:57So these games are not quite that easy to bet right there coming on both sides of the number
01:03The bills are five and five against the number but have covered for their last five that three
01:08You know back to three and two what's wrong with the bills?
01:10They've been on a they've been on fire since right and and scoring a lot of points in doing so yeah
01:16I think that
01:18The bills slow starts Joe. We've seen this pretty consistently when we've been on air on in-game live has been something
01:25We've talked about every week. Their first quarters have been bad
01:29It's they are still I believe at a negative point differential in the first quarter of games
01:34So I could see this being a low scoring first half
01:38The team's checking each other in that first quarter and we have a low scoring game and that the defense checking each other
01:46It's going to be a really fascinating second half. I think it's when it's all going to be decided
01:51I have to lean with my homes getting the points
01:54You know
01:54But this would not surprise me based on the emotional way in which they've been winning these close games
02:00That the Chiefs finally have a letdown if they win this game
02:04You have to start thinking that undefeated season is a reality because this would be a really
02:11Unbelievable game to pull off on the road against this Bill's team is on fire right now
02:16Yeah, absolutely. So the Chiefs of course undefeated perfect nine and oh an underdog just once this year
02:22It was the Super Bowl 58 rematch also on the road in Santa Clara
02:27They beat the Niners by double digits the Chiefs now an underdog here since the start of last year a perfect five and oh
02:35outright as an underdog Buffalo in this five-game win streak has covered though in four of
02:41Five blue, let's talk to quarterbacks because both quarterbacks
02:45Of course are trying to lead their team to the postseason
02:48Promised Land Patrick Mahomes has all of the pedigree Josh Allen has very little of it
02:53And in fact has faltered in the most significant of stages
02:56This is not so much a playoff question
02:59But rather an MVP question both have been booked at times this year as the MVP favorite
03:05But despite some of the numbers not being overly impressive
03:09What can we expect out of the quarterbacks in Orchard Park on Sunday?
03:14You know that 42 to 36
03:17Classic in the playoffs the 13 seconds left and Mahomes gets the win in overtime
03:23Josh Allen played the game of his life
03:25I know you said he faltered but it wasn't really his fault a little bit of coaching issue there and defensive issues. I
03:33Think Allen is the more likely one to put up the bigger numbers not just this weekend
03:38But for the rest of the season, you heard me say it before I think mom's his presence still distracts people to some extent on
03:45how good this defense is I
03:48Really am wavering a lot on this game. I have to take my homes plus the points, but I think the Kansas City defense's has
03:56Might meet their match this weekend in Josh Allen. I expect big numbers out of him