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00:00It's time now for fantasy over under Joe, um, where do you want to start?
00:07All right.
00:08Well, I've been pounding the table for this all show.
00:11I know I feel bad.
00:12I feel like we're ganging up on Javante Williams for two weeks in a row, but don't hate the
00:18player.
00:19I hate the situation.
00:20And last year, last week, I should say it wasn't good for Javante Williams against the
00:23Ravens.
00:24And I don't think it's going to be good this week for him against the chiefs.
00:26It's just not 34 and a half is the number you're getting.
00:29And some markets I've seen this actually have been bet down already in some others.
00:33Some spots are actually getting it at 35 and a half.
00:36I'll take the under here.
00:38And again, if I'm fading him in fantasy, I should be bringing that over to the wagering
00:41market and understanding how these things work.
00:44If Audrey estimate starts to eat in, even if he gets three or four calories here in
00:48this offense, that's enough to really assist this 35 and a half.
00:52And I know people say, Oh, 34 and a half, 35 and a half.
00:54That's a small number.
00:55I know.
00:56And yet he still didn't go over it last week.
00:58We also talked about, you know, Monday night football.
01:00We talked about Devin Singletary's under last week.
01:02And guess what?
01:03We're right about that one too.
01:04I know the overs are sexy and fun, but sometimes when you look at some of these rush defenses
01:09and what they've been doing, you have to understand not only are they going to shut this team
01:12down from that perspective, the game script is not going to be most likely in again, most
01:18likely I want to emphasize that anything can happen, but it's not going to be in the Denver
01:23Broncos favor.
01:24They're probably going to be from behind in this game at some point.
01:27And that's when you start to abandon the run altogether.
01:29So all of those issues coming together, one confluence of events has to make you look
01:34towards the under for Giovante Williams today.
01:36Again, 34 and a half, 35 and a half in most markets, it's a good number, bet the under
01:40and just move on with some more fun because there's a lot more fun to be had today.
01:45I like it.
01:46Look at you all bound and wrapped in leather.
01:49Very classy.
01:50Joseph.
01:51All right.
01:52A lot of times when a team is in turmoil, a wager will look to some type of recognizability
01:56the New Orleans Saints.
01:57Is that team in turmoil?
01:58Alvin Kamara could be those calm waters.
02:02How would you approach wagering on Alvin Kamara this afternoon?
02:06I would look at overs for him because again, there's just not much left here.
02:10So Alvin Kamara rushing the football, Alvin Kamara receiving the football, the rushing
02:14yard total is 70 and a half.
02:16It's pretty tall order.
02:18It's actually ahead of Bijan Robinson in the same game and I understand why the rushing
02:23attempts and I'm not one to usually go for attempts.
02:25You know this or receptions, but the attempts I think is intriguing here because it's 16
02:30and a half and I think that is a pretty good number for him.
02:34I think that's a number where you just have no choice but have to keep handing the ball
02:38to Alvin Kamara and handing it to him again and again and getting the ball in his hand.
02:42So I think that is the best medicine for this Saints team right now is just be very Alvin
02:48Kamara centric, throw the football when you have to try to see if you can keep this game
02:53close with the Falcons and maybe you get a bounce of the ball to go your way.
02:57Maybe the defense makes a play.
02:58Something happens.
02:59It's probably unlikely, but I think the best chance the Saints have right now is to just
03:04keep going with what they've been doing all year, which is the workload of Alvin Kamara
03:08being steady and I could see that being another big day for him here.
03:13So let's go with the over on the 16 and a half attempts for Kamara, but probably still
03:17an L for the Saints at the end of the day.