Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00How does Penn State respond in this matchup back at home inside Beaver Stadium after coming
00:10up short once again in a marquee matchup against Ohio State?
00:14The odds maker is expected to be easy today, Kev, for the Nittany Lions, delaying near
00:19two touchdowns at home against Washington.
00:22Penn State expected to win a game?
00:24Good.
00:25The Nittany Lions not expected as the underdog to win a game?
00:28Not so good.
00:29This year, they're a double-digit favorite.
00:31How does Penn State bounce back against the Huskies?
00:34So I think they will bounce back well.
00:35I initially went into this game thinking I was going to grab some Washington.
00:39You look at Franklin, last year, 0-2 against the number following the Michigan-Ohio State
00:42games.
00:43But the year before that, a dominant 2-0.
00:45I didn't see enough there to tell me that this was a fade spot, you know, kind of looking
00:49at the number.
00:50I didn't think it was all too terrible.
00:51If it was 14-1⁄2, maybe that's a little bit different.
00:53Then I said, ah, you know what, this total looks a little bit light.
00:56Maybe a Penn State team.
00:57All right, I lost a little bit of confidence there.
01:00Maybe I was a little shaken to my core.
01:01I was very proud that I had won every bet placed in a Penn State game this season until
01:05last week's debacle.
01:07They didn't take it hard.
01:08I did as well.
01:10The more I look into this, though, we have ourselves a sneaky-by-low spot on Nick Singleton.
01:15You know, Les, you and I have talked a lot about the Katron Allen-Nick Singleton backfield.
01:19And usually, you'll find one of Ben and I saying, Katron, too low.
01:24He and Singleton are one in the same.
01:26Well, it's flipped.
01:28Singleton is now around 15 yards nearly shorter than Katron Allen in the market.
01:33At even money, you can get Nick Singleton for 60-plus rushing yards against one of the
01:37very worst rush defenses in the Big Ten.
01:40UW is allowing 186.4 yards per game on the ground in their last five.
01:46Singleton came out of the gates red-hot.
01:48First four games, 102 yards per game rushing.
01:51I think he can bounce back here against, again, a terrible rush defense where I'm expecting
01:56Penn State to lead and a little bit higher scoring affair, Joe.
01:59Yeah, I'm seeing it a little differently, but you bring up great points, and that's
02:03been the dominance for Penn State.
02:04I mean, every year, it's the rushing attack.
02:06This year, they are averaging 187 yards on the ground.
02:10The problem that I keep going back to is twofold.
02:12One, over the last four weeks, the rushing attack has only averaged 124 yards per game.
02:18They couldn't get it going against a more physical defense at Ohio State.
02:21That's understood.
02:22But just the inconsistency.
02:24And I keep going back to this, Ben.
02:26I know it was Ohio State, but Drew Aller, so inconsistent, a lot of pressure now on
02:32this team.
02:33Oh, you know, the big game is out of the way.
02:34We're just going to, you know, go through the motions.
02:36It's a wide out now.
02:37It's Washington.
02:38We'll just smash them and be right there.
02:41That is the concern.
02:42I feel like Judd Fish and Will Rogers and this team coming off the win to USC, maybe
02:46they're playing with a little bit of house money.
02:48I mean, he did throw for 262 yards.
02:51They score first.
02:52They could be, I don't know if they win.
02:54But I'm inclined to take the 12 and a half, look at the total to 45 and a half.
02:59I mean, we're suggesting a lower scoring game and Washington to be within number.
03:04I'll take the points in this matchup.
03:06So a couple of points that you laid out right there.
03:08This is wide out game number 16 ever in the history of State College.
03:13And we can see how it impacts the college football playoff odds for the Penn Staters
03:18as well.
03:19We'll get to that conversation in just a moment.
03:22When you look at Penn State in wide out games, nine and six straight up in the previous 15,
03:28since the start of 2022, Penn State has lost now six games, four of them, two or five of
03:34them now against Ohio State and Michigan.
03:37And then in the bowl game against Ole Miss in a new year, six ball last December.
03:42That was the only time since the beginning of the 2022 college football campaign that
03:47Penn State was booked as a favorite and lost the game outright.
03:50They are 28 and one straight up as a favorite.
03:54They are 28 and one against the number as an underdog, narrow and five, all five losses
04:00again against the blue and the Buckeyes, Washington away from Husky Stadium.
04:05And that includes the Apple Cup in Seattle, played at the home of the Seahawks at Lumen
04:10Field.
04:11Oh, and four straight up and against the number a dog in two of them, both on the road and
04:16the big 10 play against Iowa and Indiana.
04:19And they lost both of those games by two touchdowns.
04:23And again, have you made this point entering not last week in the top five tilt against
04:27Ohio State, but the game the week prior in Madison against Wisconsin, that game was more
04:33crucial for Penn State season outlook than even the Buckeyes, because they were expected
04:38to lose to Ohio State.
04:39And even if they did lose to Ohio State, as you can see, a one loss Penn State team favored
04:45in their final four is a minus three 50 favorite to reach the college football playoff.
04:49Yeah, which again, it's it's it's a tough situation, man.
04:53I actually went through, you know, kind of my own rankings.
04:56I do not think that Penn State is a team that is not college football playoff caliber.
05:00They're damn sure not six in the country caliber, though.
05:03And I think it is a real shame they their best win is USC, which then puts people in
05:09a position to say nice things about Lincoln Riley's group this year.
05:12I mean, that's a tough sacrifice even for me to make.