The political landscape has shifted dramatically. Join us as we analyze the key factors that led to Trump's unexpected victory in the 2024 presidential election. From immigration policies to economic strategies, we'll explore how Trump managed to secure a second term and reshape the electoral map.
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00:00I want to thank you. I will not let you down. America's future will be bigger, better, bolder,
00:05richer, safer and stronger than it has ever been before.
00:10Welcome to WatchMojo, and today we're breaking down the factors that led to former President
00:15Donald Trump winning the 2024 election to become the 47th president of the United States,
00:20defeating Vice President Kamala Harris.
00:22Let me tell you, we have a new star. A star is born, Elon.
00:30America's Rightward Shift
00:42As reported by The New York Times' Reid J. Epstein, President-elect Trump won Florida,
00:47Ohio and Texas by over 10 percentage points each. While that in itself might not have
00:51been terribly shocking, Epstein noted that, quote, blue states shifted too.
00:56New York moved 13 points toward him, and Virginia shifted six points in his direction.
01:01Look, just 28% of Americans, voters, think the country is going in the right direction,
01:09is on the right track. And I want you to put that into a historical perspective for you.
01:13This shift, which reportedly blindsided Democrats and their supporters,
01:17would appear to stem from voter dissatisfaction with the Biden presidency.
01:21VP Harris notably struggled to convince the public that her administration would
01:25differ significantly from President Biden's. Overall, Democrats underestimated Trump's
01:30appeal as a political outsider, costing them the election.
01:33The fundamental, the original sin here, that Biden stayed in the race when perhaps he should
01:38have stepped aside and had an open primary, and perhaps Democrats would have had a better shot.
01:42Florida and Ohio go reliably red.
01:44I want to thank the American people for the extraordinary honor of being
01:49elected your 47th president and your 45th president.
01:55While it may seem like a distant memory in 2024 when Trump won both states by double digits,
02:01there was a time when the now solidly red states of Ohio and Florida were actually
02:05battleground zones where Democrats also stood a chance. However, in recent years,
02:10the states have moved decisively to the right.
02:12And every citizen, I will fight for you, for your family and your future.
02:18Every single day I will be fighting for you and with every breath in my body.
02:24As reported by CNN's Eric Bradner, Gregory Krieg and Daniel Strauss,
02:29quote, Florida could be on track to become the next Texas,
02:32poised for a generation of Republican dominance built on a coalition of older,
02:36non-college educated voters, younger Hispanic voters,
02:39conservatives migrating from other states and more.
02:42Most damningly for Democrats, CNN wrote that Miami-Dade County,
02:46which Hillary Clinton won overwhelmingly in 2016, was taken handily by Trump in 2024.
02:52I will not rest until we have delivered the strong, safe and prosperous America
02:57that our children deserve and that you deserve.
03:01This will truly be the golden age of America. That's what we have to have.
03:06Roe v. Wade fallout wasn't enough for Democrats.
03:10This is a magnificent victory for the American people
03:14that will allow us to make America great again.
03:20Over the course of his 2024 presidential campaign,
03:23abortion was one issue that Trump consistently faced backlash on,
03:26regardless of party affiliations.
03:28While the president-elect has gone back and forth on his personal position,
03:32seemingly favoring leaving the procedure up to the states,
03:35it's inarguable that Republican opposition to abortion galvanized Harris voters.
03:40Two people who are answering this excerpt,
03:41well you've got the state of democracy, 35 percent,
03:44the economy, 31 percent, immigration, 11 percent, and abortion, 14 percent.
03:49Ultimately, however,
03:50Harris' reliance on the issue to topple the Trump empire proved to be an unsuccessful maneuver.
03:56We'll get into the specifics of the Trump campaign's primary issues a bit later,
04:00but for now, it seems that the Democrats' banking on voter outrage
04:03with regard to abortion was not sufficient motivation to swing the public their way,
04:08despite major gains off the back of the issue in 2022.
04:11Again, you might look at that and think state of democracy and abortion,
04:14those are issues that should favor Kamala Harris,
04:16where you've got the economy and immigration for Donald Trump,
04:19that's still a really, really big, important chunk.
04:21The political gender gap.
04:23America has given us an unprecedented and powerful mandate.
04:30We have taken back control of the Senate.
04:34Wow, that's good.
04:36For the second time in eight years and three presidential elections,
04:40Donald Trump won a considerable victory over a female Democratic candidate.
04:44According to CNN's exit polling, voting was polarized along gender lines,
04:49with men voting overwhelmingly for Trump and women for Harris.
04:52We know it is time for a new generation of leadership in America.
04:59It's crucially important to point out that the Trump campaign leveraged the internet
05:03to reach out to young men.
05:04Having the former president appear on wildly popular podcasts
05:07hosted by comedians Joe Rogan and Theo Vaughn.
05:10In addition, Trump also benefited greatly from his Elon Musk endorsement.
05:14The world's richest man poured over $100 million into a super PAC supporting Trump,
05:19and also made use of the social media platform X, which he owns.
05:23Now remember, young men, they don't vote a ton.
05:25They're not showing up every four years to get out there and cast their ballot.
05:29But the Trump campaign ID'd them as somebody who could,
05:31as this demographic group who they could try to turn out.
05:34The Trump campaign successfully courted Latino voters.
05:37We've been talking about this political realignment,
05:39the fact that he expanded his support among Latino voters.
05:43He expanded his support among non-white voters,
05:46something that we just didn't think we would see.
05:49After significantly losing the Latino male vote to President Biden in 2020,
05:54Trump did his best to make up for lost time in 2024.
05:57His subsequent efforts to court men of color were an overwhelming success.
06:01Trump won Latino men by eight points in 2024,
06:05with a huge chunk of those votes coming from Florida and Texas.
06:08In every single speech over the last few years, he would say,
06:12we had the greatest economy.
06:13We had the greatest economy.
06:15And I think a lot of people really believed that in the end.
06:19In a stark but illuminating contrast,
06:21Vice President Harris predictably won the Democratic stronghold that is California,
06:26but as noted by Axios,
06:27quote,
06:28appeared to be underperforming Biden's 2020 numbers
06:31in several other heavily Latino areas,
06:33including Merced County,
06:35where 64% of the population is Latino.
06:38We're going to make it the best it's ever been.
06:40We can do that.
06:40We just, if we had to wait longer,
06:43I don't know.
06:44It was going bad and it was going bad fast.
06:46Republicans reclaimed the Senate.
06:48The Democrats were hoping to hold on to states,
06:50those Midwestern states,
06:52that even if Trump won them,
06:53well, it's looking like they're going to take all those states,
06:56possibly Nevada as well.
06:57You could be looking at 56 seats in the Senate for the Republicans.
07:00That would be the biggest number of seats they've had,
07:02I think, in at least 20 years.
07:04In yet another sign of general voter unhappiness and malaise,
07:07Republicans made major gains
07:09following closely watched Senate races in Montana,
07:12Ohio and West Virginia.
07:14At the time of writing,
07:15control of the House of Representatives,
07:17where Republicans already have a majority,
07:19hadn't yet been determined.
07:21But as noted by Reuters,
07:22Republican victory there would quote,
07:24help Trump deliver on his promise to slash taxes
07:27and restrict immigration
07:28for at least the next two years
07:30until the 2026 midterm elections.
07:32However, it seems worth pointing out
07:34that despite their overall control of the Senate,
07:37quote,
07:37Republicans will not secure the 60 vote majority
07:40needed to advance most legislation in the chamber.
07:43We're going to pay you back.
07:44We are going to do the best job.
07:46We're going to turn it around.
07:48It's got to be turned around.
07:50It's got to be turned around fast.
07:51And we're going to turn it around.
07:53We're going to do it in every way,
07:54with so many ways,
07:55but we're going to do it in every way.
07:57Voter frustration with the Biden administration.
08:00This is about what the Democrats did while in office
08:03over the last four years.
08:06Inflation, which was so high
08:09during much of this administration.
08:11And many people are still feeling the pain of that.
08:15Democrats are surely licking their wounds
08:17at what comes as a devastating defeat to them,
08:20a rebuttal by voters to four years under Joe Biden.
08:23However, we're not sure they should be terribly surprised.
08:26For years, the party seemed to dismiss
08:28public and political concerns
08:30about President Biden's cognitive abilities,
08:32as well as his advanced age.
08:34At the time, Biden was the oldest elected president.
08:38He has since been surpassed by Trump.
08:40On behalf of this great group of people,
08:42these are hardworking people.
08:43These are fantastic people.
08:45And we could add a few names
08:48like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., he came in.
08:52Similarly, although Biden is credited
08:54with reducing inflation
08:55and helping to lead the country to recovery
08:57following the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic,
08:59the American people can't help but express anger,
09:02frustration, and fear at an unstable housing market
09:05and the sky-high prices of food and gas.
09:08We're going to be paying down debt.
09:09We're going to be reducing taxes.
09:12We can do things that nobody else can do.
09:14Nobody else is going to be able to do it.
09:16China doesn't have what we have.
09:18Nobody has what we have.
09:19Before we continue,
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09:35Immigration and the Economy
09:37That is where cost of living,
09:39the wages and wage growth
09:41has not kept up with cost of living.
09:43The darker the county,
09:44the more difficult it has been
09:46for the people that live in that county.
09:48It speaks volumes about the mindset
09:50of the general American public
09:51that Trump could be
09:52the first Republican president
09:53since George W. Bush in 2004
09:56to win the popular vote,
09:57a feat the president-elect
09:59couldn't even achieve in his first term
10:01when he decisively lost
10:02the popular vote to Hillary Clinton.
10:04And it also looks like
10:05we'll be keeping control
10:07of the House of Representatives.
10:08And I want to thank Mike Johnson.
10:18I think he's doing a terrific job.
10:20And this is despite being
10:21the first convicted felon
10:23to hold the nation's highest office.
10:24As noted by the Associated Press,
10:27the 45th and 47th president
10:29met voters where they were at.
10:30Quote,
10:31Overall, about half of Trump voters
10:33said inflation was the biggest issue
10:35factoring into their election decisions.
10:37About as many said
10:38that of the situation
10:39at the U.S.-Mexico border,
10:41according to AP VoteCast.
10:4367% of voters said not good or poor.
10:47Awfully difficult to win
10:48when it's that 67%.
10:50And how did those 67% of voters
10:53vote in this election?
10:54We say, look at this, Marge.
10:56Yeah, yeah, you can't win.
10:58Were you shocked by the results
10:59of the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
11:02Let us know in the comments below.
11:04This is a great job.
11:05There's no job like this.
11:06This is the most important job in the world.
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