En un sorpresivo giro de eventos, Donald Trump ha sido confirmado como el ganador de las elecciones presidenciales en los Estados Unidos, superando a Kamala Harris con 277 votos electorales contra 226. La noticia ha generado diversas reacciones y se espera que Harris hable pronto para reconocer la derrota. Además, se discuten las posibles repercusiones de esta victoria en la bolsa y otras áreas.
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00:00But let's go back to the United States because Donald Trump's victory in the elections has just been confirmed.
00:06Finally, we just showed you when the voter turned 277, Kamala Harris only got 226.
00:14What are the first repercussions of this?
00:16Julián Imasio, a messenger from Grupo América, is in the United States.
00:20Julián, good morning. How are you doing?
00:22Good morning, Rolando. Good morning to everyone. How are you doing?
00:25It's dawn here in D.C. with the news of what you are telling us.
00:30Donald Trump, 277 electoral votes against the very few 224, Kamala Harris,
00:38who is now expected to speak. She is 18 blocks from where we are standing right now.
00:43She slept in what would be the rectorate, the main building of the Howard University.
00:48And well, she has to go out to recognize the defeat because it is already a reality at this time.
00:53What repercussions were there in the stock market, in the statements? What happened?
01:01Well, the markets have not yet officially started here in the United States.
01:04Let's remember that people are starting to move, at least in this time of use, which is one of the four.
01:10But all the assets that have to do with some kind of digital terminal were already showing an increase.
01:16Bonuses, shares of certain companies, of the group of the most important, according to what they mark here,
01:22and the North American debt all picking up.
01:25It must be said that it is a trend that came from last week.
01:28That is to say, if you review the newspapers now, they do not speak of a spike, of a very pronounced peak.
01:34But it is expected that such a striking detail can be given in a little while, nothing more.
01:39And well, we will have to see what happens with Argentina as well,
01:42because it is clear that Miller himself recognized the victory and will have a financial determination for our country.
01:47In short, this also.
01:49Yes, in the preview of the opening of the markets, they speak of an increase of up to 15% of Tesla's shares.
01:53Let's remember that Elon Musk is Donald Trump's ally.
01:56And what did happen, and Julian marked very well, is a movement in the crypto world.
02:01There is a great expectation, because it was very recently, something called the Bitcoin halving,
02:07which is when half of the reward is divided to those who mine cryptocurrencies, in this case Bitcoin.
02:11And whenever it happens, after the halving and after an election, with a candidate, a president now,
02:17who is pro-cryptocurrency, an increase is expected, a comeback.
02:21I was watching and the markets are high, both Ethereum and Bitcoin.
02:25Smaller cryptocurrencies also rose, Julian.
02:27That world is the one you were talking about, right?
02:30Of course, exactly.
02:32What we said, everything leveraged in the virtual world, in the digital world,
02:36outside of what has historically been the analogical movement here in the stock market, etc.
02:42But it is only one of the legs of what is already shaking politically.
02:47The latest news are two, one on each side.
02:50Chris Richmond appeared, who is the official spokesman for the Kamala Harris campaign,
02:57and said, in a while we will have news.
03:01What is being kept now is a recorded message, not very long,
03:05which already highlights the situation, guys.
03:08From Kamala, from Washington.
03:10And since later he would probably leave.
03:13That is the great democratic novelty at this time.
03:15Because many colleagues stayed until two in the morning waiting for his speech.
03:20The speech was suspended a little earlier than two.
03:22And until this moment, on the sidewalk of Howard University,
03:25there were some journalists, especially from local media,
03:29who are the ones who made the guard there, to see if he spoke.
03:32And there are also news from the...
03:35The defeat was much harder than expected from Kamala Harris.
03:39Because although the polls gave, no one dared to say who won.
03:43Well, Donald Trump not only won by states, by voters, but also won by pure votes.
03:50There was the election against Hillary Clinton.
03:52In fact, Hillary Clinton had won, but Trump was president because he had won more voters.
03:56Here Trump won in both scenarios, he is going to control the Senate.
04:00I mean, he has a very favorable situation.
04:04Exactly.
04:05Notice that there have been key, emblematic, historical Republican victories.
04:09The 2016 one that you pointed out.
04:11Bush's last son.
04:13In which, of course, they take it for the number of electoral votes.
04:16For the whim, if you want, of the school and the system.
04:20But not in the number of votes.
04:22Until the last cut I saw, which was 25 minutes ago,
04:25Trump was already getting 7 million voters out of Kamala.
04:28That is, Kamala Harris made a much worse election than Hillary Clinton's in 2016.
04:35It gives a detail, first of the great difference that Trump drew.
04:39And then, if you want to do a little finer analysis, of what each candidate was.
04:44Trump had three presidential elections.
04:49Five, if you add up the average terms.
04:51And well, Kamala was a candidate who improvised between July and August.
04:55Given the obvious situation that Biden could not compete.
04:59I hope you joke, Julian, because I have another screen.
05:02Gabriel Pulicelli is an international analyst.
05:04What world is coming now with Donald Trump?
05:07And above all, how is this going to impact Argentina?
05:09Gabriel, good morning.
05:10How are you? Good morning.
05:12Well, a world that we will see how much it will change globally.
05:17But there will surely be changes in the dynamics between the United States and Russia.
05:22And above all, how the war in Ukraine is resolved.
05:26Where Trump is inclined to some form of negotiation with Russia.
05:32Because Trump's foreign policy vision is that the only adversary of the United States is China.
05:38And then he prioritizes breaking the alliance between Russia and China.
05:43Even at the cost of giving a lot to Putin.
05:46So that is a change that we can expect seriously.
05:51And regarding the Middle East, this rhetoric is probably abandoned.
05:57Which was pure rhetoric of Biden's government against the escalation.
06:02And asking for some proportionality in the response of its enemies to Israel.
06:08In favor of a completely unconditional support.
06:12More global consequences we will see.
06:14I think that for Latin America we are in the field of speculation.
06:18Because Latin America was not mentioned throughout the campaign.
06:21Much less Argentina.
06:24Rolando?
06:25Will there be money for Milley?
06:28Well, it favors him, of course, from the ideological point of view.
06:33Because it reinforces a climate of the time that legitimizes the ideas of Javier Milley.
06:39And other far-right presidents.
06:42I believe that at the moment there are few elements to confirm what the government spokesmen maintain.
06:49That there is a strong help from Trump in the monetary fund with immediate effects.
06:55The truth is that to talk about that, we only have the word of the spokesmen of Milley.
07:00And I don't think there is enough evidence to say that this help is coming.
07:07There is the antecedent of Mauricio Macri.
07:09I think Trump gave him a part of the loan from the monetary fund.
07:15It was because of the intercession that Donald Trump made.
07:19Indeed, but there are two things to note.
07:22First, that Macri indeed had well-accepted personal relations with Trump.
07:29That President Milley does not have.
07:31President Milley is basically an admirer of Trump.
07:34Not necessarily a person with a proven closeness.
07:38Of course, he can have some management of Elon Musk.
07:46With whom he has cultivated relations.
07:49But it is not a direct link.
07:50And the second question.
07:51Obviously, after having lent us 44 billion dollars.
07:55To ask for 10 billion or 15 billion in addition is not so simple.
08:00So, for the same effect of having been successful in putting pressure on the fund to lend us the next time.
08:07It will be more difficult to lend us this time.
08:09Gabriel, thanks for the contact.
08:11Julian, what is expected now?
08:13What is the next thing that comes during the day?
08:15Well, the next thing that comes during the day is the first act of Trump as elected president.
08:20An almost official act.
08:22Because he just announced it a while ago.
08:24From West Palm Beach to where he is in Florida.
08:26He says, my transition team starts working today and from here.
08:30He went out to give a message with J.D. Vance, saying that they had won.
08:34But after that, J.D. Vance, his vice president, from January.
08:39He will start working coordinating with Biden's teams.
08:43Because they already have a head of the transition.
08:45It's him.
08:46They are his two sons.
08:47Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr.
08:49He is a former representative, a former member of the House of Representatives.
08:53His name is Eli Gabbard.
08:55He is the equivalent of our House of Representatives.
08:57And you will see who else they add there.
09:00The one who added in the last days, in reality, is Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
09:05Who was on the ballot yesterday.
09:07Yesterday he appeared because he competed.
09:09Then he wanted to get out and the Supreme Court said, it's too late to get out of the election.
09:13So it was the third option, but in reality he had already resigned.
09:17Well, he is the fifth leg of Trump's transition team.
09:21Wait, wait, the paradox of the turn of history.
09:25A Kennedy, a great Republican myth, ends with a Republican candidate.
09:33In the team of a Republican presidential candidate.
09:37Exactly, and the paradox is double.
09:39First, because of what Marcás, who implies the name Kennedy.
09:41But then, because Kamala Harris did the whole campaign saying,
09:44Notice that all the renowned Republicans go with me.
09:47He mentioned a lot of representatives of the Republican Party.
09:51Even Arnold Schwarzenegger, who had been governor of California.
09:54That they were with her, that they were with the Democrats.
09:56Well, the final paradox is a Kennedy.
09:58He, a Democrat last name, leaving with Trump.
10:01Beyond the fact that he already represented a fairly conservative third way for several years.
10:07But hey, that's the novelty.
10:09And Donald Trump's transition team joins these hours.
10:13We'll have to see what happens.
10:15It's the capital of the spectator power.
10:17Also with what you asked about the numbers.
10:20Julian, thanks for the contact.