We conducted an analysis of the United States elections.
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00:00and I'm asking production to place the map again, please.
00:04Because so far, what we consider,
00:07or what is historically considered as the Northeast,
00:11okay, Maine, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey,
00:15Delaware, they all voted, you know, a Democrat,
00:19and also the West Coast, you know, Washington,
00:24Oregon, and California, they confirmed there
00:26to be strongholds of the Democrats.
00:29So far, you know, this is limiting
00:32to a small amount of states,
00:34small amount of electoral votes,
00:36but the strongholds, the main core,
00:38the base of the amount and the turnout is done,
00:43and I think so far from now,
00:45we are seeing stalls and rapid advances,
00:48stalls and rapid advances in the count
00:50because of this, as you were saying, Danny,
00:53this new ways of counting
00:55and these differences in timelines.
00:58But also, as we have been saying,
01:02you know, the South has confirmed its position as well,
01:06and in any case, we are just waiting to see
01:09what the outcome is after these little counts here.
01:12And I wanted to point something regarding the Northeast,
01:17and is that those states, you know, New York,
01:21Maine, New Hampshire, Rhode Island,
01:23as we were saying, those are the original conception
01:27of what we know as the United States.
01:29There was happening the American Revolution,
01:32the American experiment, and they have this duty,
01:37as we were saying at the beginning,
01:38this conception that they have to go Democrat
01:42and that they have to go to defend institutions,
01:45and precisely that is a difference
01:48in the discourse with Donald Trump, okay?
01:50His anti-institution, his anti-system,
01:52his anti-establishment, in his ways as incumbent,
01:57because being the president, he was, you know,
02:01holding to all the legality he could,
02:04even though he was violating and breaching
02:06the status of his own government
02:08sometimes back in 2020 and during his term.
02:12But as we see, those states went blue,
02:15those states went with the Democrats
02:18and went with the institutionality,
02:21and also both coasts did the same.
02:24One, because it's too traditional,
02:26and the other, because it's too open to diversity,
02:29too open to immigrants, too open to academia,
02:34to plurality, to multi-voices,
02:37and I think we have seen, we're seeing a map,
02:40and of course, we are conceiving and seeing
02:44the political and ideological spectrum in the U.S.,
02:48because the Midwest is conservative,
02:51the Midwest is rural, okay, and is predominantly white.
02:56And I'm not, you know, I'm not pointing at ethnicity here,
02:59but as we know, because of a majority,
03:02they have this ruling and they have these ways
03:06to be more formal, more traditional
03:08in their politics and in their options.
03:10And that's the difference with the states
03:14that have been receiving, with good hands,
03:17with open hands and arms, more immigration
03:20or as New York, that is a city and a state
03:23that is composed in the core by Italian immigrants.
03:28The United States even has what they know as
03:33Irish in Rhode Island, the Italians in New Jersey,
03:36they have all this culture of immigration in both coasts
03:39that we cannot just overview,
03:43obliviate in this analysis and in this conception of the map
03:47and as we were saying, it is quite a contrast
03:51from those states that receive immigrants,
03:53that receive plurality, that have an open-minded,
03:56but the so-called open-minded policies,
03:59if we contrast it with other states
04:01that also receive immigrants and also have big
04:05or large black population, for example,
04:08I'm trying to call Texas in that case,
04:12Louisiana in that case, those are states
04:15who have black culture, black tradition,
04:18but because of the share in the electoral college,
04:21because of the lack of representation,
04:23because of the amount of population
04:27in the ratio with the representatives,
04:29they keep being silenced, they are keep being,
04:33you know, putting the margins of the political decisions
04:37and of course, in the voting and in the elections.
04:40That's the case of Florida and that's the case,
04:43and I'm daring to say Texas and Louisiana,
04:47which are states that have this plurality of cultures,
04:50but because of the political predominance
04:53and the, you know, the gaps in the system
04:56that gives advantage for an elite,
04:58they are voting this way, because let's remember,
05:01the electoral college is a winner-takes-it-all system,
05:05so we are not seeing the plurality of voices,
05:07we are not seeing the minorities,
05:10we are not seeing maybe the little lights,
05:12the little bulbs, lights in the darkness
05:15of, you know, the far right and the univoicing
05:19and the only way of thinking, you know,
05:22that we maybe perceive in this electoral map.
05:25And we have to say that is the same in the other side,
05:28okay, because we are not condemning
05:30or we are not saving one trend or the other
05:33or one party or the other.
05:34There are also black Trumpists,
05:38there are also Latin American people who live in there,
05:41Latin American descendants who are advocating for Trump
05:45and for the Republicans and they live also in California.
05:48But because of this kind of system,
05:50the winner-takes-it-all system with the electoral college,
05:52so those voices are kept silenced
05:55and those decisions are kept in the ballot,
05:58but not taken into account
06:00or not taken into the outcome of the election.
06:04Exactly, and Gladys, I'm thinking about what you're saying
06:07and of course, there is so much to go into
06:10and to analyze both taking into account
06:13the considerations you were bringing,
06:14also looking at the map that we have so far
06:18in terms of the states that have decided on a representation,
06:23at least to the point that this system allows it to.
06:26So definitely there's something to say about demographics.
06:31A lot of the analysis regarding this election
06:34usually focus on demographics
06:36and the way different communities tend to vote.
06:39And I think in such a plural community
06:42as the one living in the United States,
06:46it's something to always keep in mind.
06:49And also these trends have been changing.
06:52I think it's also important to always keep in mind
06:56how complex it is to think about demographics
07:02in terms of the different populations
07:06coming from different origins
07:09and their association or not
07:11with different parties, political parties in this sense.
07:17And I think it's always interesting,
07:19you mentioned it Gladys very well early on in this program,
07:24the question of intersectionality,
07:26but really I think we need to look at the vote tendency.
07:32Of course this election,
07:34and we will analyze this in the coming days,
07:38the migration issue both in terms of the migration
07:44as a concern prior to the elections
07:47and also as the decision of migrants
07:51and the childs of migrants living in the United States
07:54and their decision to vote either way
07:57will have had a decisive factor
08:00in what we're looking at here today.
08:02And I think we need to think how that demographic
08:07and that origin of migrant voters
08:10intersects with their class position as well
08:14and how that is affecting their alliances
08:19with either one of these parties
08:21and how the rhetoric of both the Democrat
08:26and Republican Party is appealing to these different sectors
08:30because of course we have a wide variety
08:35of different voters within what demographics
08:39sometimes tends us to group together
08:43and a lot of these things are coinciding in the same way.
08:47So I think it's very rich to bring to the table,
08:50you were talking Gladys about the difference,
08:55the ethnical differences maybe
08:57in between the central region,
09:01the rural central region of the United States
09:04as opposed to the coast, right?
09:08And of course that also coincides
09:11with what Danny you were mentioning
09:13some time ago right now in this long night,
09:16the economic differences of what has been described
09:19in the previous Trump campaign as the prosperous coast
09:25and the forgotten rural central region.
09:28So those things have intersections,
09:31those things are coinciding or not coinciding
09:35depending on the case and that is a factor to keep in mind
09:38when we think about for example,
09:40how has migration as a topic affected or impacted the vote?
09:45How has the Latino population decided to place its alliance
09:51and what are the factors leading
09:53and appealing to that vote?
09:55Because one may of course be being appealed by a rhetoric
10:02that is not criminalizing that sector of society
10:06but also there may be a lot thinking about,
10:09for example, the appeals to the working class
10:13that Republicans have been doing.
10:17Yeah, this is what is called in the mainstream media,
10:21the cultural wars.
10:23The cultural wars and this brings up all types
10:27of contradictory, nuanced or dialectical differences
10:32that are at play and that are dynamic.
10:35For example, in Georgia there was a study
10:37that one out of four black men in Georgia
10:41intended to vote for Trump and of course would be very easy
10:44from the liberal perspective to say,
10:46well, how could you ever vote for Trump?
10:48And then Latino voters with all of Trump's
10:52scapegoating xenophobia would appear absolutely ridiculous
10:56that a Latino, a Mexican, a Chicano,
10:59a Mexican American would vote for Trump.
11:01But many Latino men identify much more with Trump
11:06than they do with Tim Walz and with Kamala Harris
11:08for a wide assortment of reasons.
11:11The LA Times ran a very interesting article the other day
11:15called Cholos for Trump.
11:17Cholos, this is not the easiest term to define,
11:24but Cholos is an aesthetic or a style
11:28at the risk of a gross oversimplification.
11:31I guess Cholos would be identified as a type of urban,
11:35Mexican, American with gang connotations
11:38and they have a whole podcast where they're saying
11:42we absolutely identify with Trump
11:44because of Trump's values.
11:46And again, it goes back to the same thing
11:48with the cultural wars.
11:49And imagine trying to divide us over whether we think
11:53that biologically born males should use a women's restroom
11:59because they now identify as transgendered.
12:01How does that become the most important issue?
12:04These are just ways to divide Americans.
12:06Every human being deserves respect and every child
12:10and every woman deserves to be safe.
12:13So I think that's part of a very divisive agenda
12:16that distracts us from the underlying class issues.
12:20So when Trump arrives and critiques
12:23all of these cultural issues, it plays into his hands
12:27because he appears to be the one
12:29super focused on the economy.
12:34There's another important concept
12:36as the votes continue to trickle in and are counted.
12:41The concept of pro-felicity.
12:44Pro-felicity is the opposite of authenticity.
12:48It's the opposite of sincerity.
12:50It is a sociological concept because nowadays
12:53we live in the age of profiles.
12:55It's not what I do in real life in the streets of the Bronx
12:59or Brockton, Massachusetts where I grew up.
13:01It's what my profile on Instagram, my profile on X
13:05if I still have a profile on X
13:07because this billionaire in chief Elon Musk
13:10puts his material at the very top
13:12for tens of millions of people to see.
13:15They did a study that Elon Musk has now reached
13:18some two billion people with his recent tweets
13:22at the same time that he censors and shadow bans
13:25and delists and de-boosts the rest of us.
13:31The pro-felicity.
13:33Someone like Kamala Harris can project herself
13:35to be all these different things
13:37but when you actually look at her concretely
13:40as vice president, can anyone point
13:42to any actual concrete accomplishment that she made?
13:46So her entire campaign again is Trump bashing
13:49and Trump bashing.
13:50That's not to say what is Trump actually accomplished.
13:55I think it goes both ways
13:57but this idea of pro-felicity is mighty dangerous.
14:02We should be judging people not just by their words
14:05but in this social media era,
14:08it's very easy to hide behind one's profile
14:14and we really don't know what's at the core
14:17of behind the profile.
14:20So again, it comes down to this theme
14:22that I think looms large in this election
14:24of appearance versus reality.
14:27Exactly.
14:27So we are now joined.