"Saksikan tayangan kami Official Youtube IDX Channel di Power Breakfast, Selasa (22/10/2024) dengan tema Cermati Saham Pilihan: CPIN, CTRA, ERAA, MAPI."
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00:00Thank you for joining us, I'm still talking with Mr. Nafan, Mr. Nafan, if we talk about Samsam Pilihan this morning,
00:12from you, we will also see on the television screen, for example, Samsam Pilihan this time,
00:17among them is Cepin, with support at 49.50, resistance at 52.50, with recommendation by,
00:24then there is CTRA, with support at 13.30, resistance at 15.15, recommendation by,
00:30then after that there is ERA, with recommendation by, with support at 44.20, and resistance at 500,
00:38and there is also MAPI, there are two stocks from the retail sector that were recommended this morning,
00:46by Mr. Nafan, MAPI with support at 16.40, and resistance at 18.90, recommendation by on weakness.
00:53For CTRA, the recommendation was by on weakness.
00:56Okay, we will discuss Samsam Pilihan this morning from you, Mr. Nafan.
00:59We go to Cepin first, is this still related to the free food that will start to run in the government of Prabowo Subianto?
01:08Yes, actually if I admit that this has been priced in from the success of Cepin in experiencing a breakout from the down channel.
01:19On the other hand, Cepin is still experiencing a bullish, in my opinion,
01:26and of course this is an escalation from the previous move by Cepin, this can be tested to the theoretical level of Direkt Fibonacci,
01:34so it came to 5200, already at 5250, then I was at 5350.
01:43Okay, if we talk about Cepin itself, can this be a stock that we can collect in the medium to long term, Mr. Nafan?
01:56Yes, if the escalation can be intact, I think this is the second moving average,
02:03this is MA20 or MA60, this will form a golden cross pattern, so later as long as the golden cross happens,
02:11this will give hope that in the long run, the trend from Cepin can potentially uptrend in the future.
02:18Okay.
02:19This is from the technical side.
02:21Okay, what's interesting so far is that Cepin is moving to weaken 0.5% at level 5052, but then it's not close to the support level,
02:30even if there is a further weakening, it will get closer to the support level that is recommended.
02:37Are you still waiting to continue to weaken or can you enter now?
02:43Okay, here the weakness is only 0.5%, even if I look here from MA10 or MA60, this is starting to form a golden cross pattern,
02:57I think a reasonable correction from Cepin is useful for bio-weakness or acumulative buy,
03:04because so far the bullish phase from Cepin is still valid,
03:09especially the theoretical target when it breaks out from the non-channel is still not achieved,
03:14it gets 3 target price that I mentioned earlier.
03:18Okay, from Cepin we go to CTRA, Computer Development, what is it like, Mr. Nafan?
03:22Here for CTRA, of course it will benefit from Mr. Prabowo's hopes to build 3 million units of houses.
03:36We look at the CTRA movement, actually from the perspective of Elliot Wave, in the long run there is Elliot Wave 3,
03:46the target price is at level 1570, the potential upside can be almost 16% of the current price,
03:56so it must still be in the uptrend in the long run for CTRA,
04:01while in the short term, I admit that it looks a bit sideways, but there is still a bullish consolidation for CTRA.
04:11Even now CTRA is experiencing a boost in the form of a bullish-harami pattern.
04:16So this can be an acumulative buy.
04:19The closest resistance is level 1420, if it breaks above 1420, then in the middle is level 1515 for CTRA.
04:30Okay, interesting, the last level is at 1360, but the support level that you recommended is at level 1330,
04:37which is actually quite close, even if it wants to go in, it will just go in like that.
04:41For CTRA itself, considering the quite interesting target price.
04:46Then from CTRA to the era, Mr. Nafan?
04:49Okay, here is the era, related to consumer cyclicals,
04:56here the era is experiencing a rebound from MA20.
05:03And if I look at the chart, this era is actually still escalating, still in an uptrend,
05:12between the range of right-angled bullish broadening wedge pattern.
05:18Similar to ANTAM, but ANTAM has hit the highest target of the broadening wedge pattern.
05:23While in this era, the highest target is level 500 to 520,
05:30can use Fibonacci extension in the range of 138.2% to 191.8%.
05:37While for the nearest target era, the closest resistance is at Fibonacci level 464.
05:43Even so, the potential upside is actually quite achieved, the target is almost achieved.
05:48But at least in the long run, the current era is still in the markup phase or uptrend category.
05:58Okay, from our era to MAPI, please Mr. Nafan.
06:02Okay, here for MAPI, okay.
06:05For MAPI here, part of consumer cyclicals, it will test to wave 5.
06:12Wave 5, so the escalation is quite limited, not too significant compared to wave 3.
06:23For wave 5, the maximum target is at level 1125.
06:30While for the nearest target, this is the first and second resistance, at level 1815, then at level 1890.
06:40So far, if we look at the movement of MAPI, it is currently in consolidation.
06:47But while moving average 60 is still relatively escalating well,
06:51of course, the opportunity to move on to wave 5 is still wide open.
06:58Moreover, the gap is still not closed.
07:00The gap is at level 1815, this is the second target price.
07:04So, in my opinion, it can be a bio-weakness for MAPI.
07:07Okay, those were some options this morning from Mr. Nafan,
07:11including CEPIN, CTRA, ERA, and also MAPI with their own recommendations,
07:16bio-weakness, accumulative bio-weakness, and also bio-weakness.
07:19We will take a look at the market surface this morning for IHSG,
07:24located in the red zone, at level 7760.688.
07:30So far, the gainers are VKTR, TNCA, Wi-Fi, SMLE, Raja, KKGI, NPKL, PICO, PANI, MLPL, MHKI.
07:42And the losers are BSBK, WIRG, Telkom, TOBA, YOTF, INET, LUCK, and also SAME.
07:49In short, Mr. Nafan, what is your analysis on the opening of the market today,
07:54and in terms of projections, at least up to the closing of the 1st session, Mr. Nafan?
07:59Well, in my opinion, it's thin, in my opinion, for the IHSG range.
08:03This is in the range of support at 7740, while the resistance level is at level 7795.
08:14I hope, because previously there was a candlestick pattern in the form of a stall pattern,
08:19this must still be in the category of bullish candlestick.
08:22So, it is hoped that the movement of the IHSG will only be mixed,
08:27and in the future it can be mixed to higher.
08:31Because so far, the IHSG has maintained at least above MA5.
08:36MA5 is also supported by what I mentioned earlier.
08:39And all moving averages still tend to move up.
08:44Even if the range of the IHSG is still in the up channel with the highest resistance at level 8050.
08:51So, in fact, if the weakness of the IHSG, we can take advantage of it for cumulative pay.
08:59Moreover, the cooperation between the IHSG in October, November, December, January and February
09:04is a positive majority over the last 8 years.
09:07And various analysis from you, hopefully you can be a reference for today's market players.
09:11Mr. Nafan, thank you for joining us.
09:13Our time is very short, we will continue in the next episode.
09:16Mr. Nafan, good luck to you, I always see you.
09:18Thank you, Mr. Wiki, good luck for the ADX channel.
09:21Thank you, Mr. Nafan.