Climate Change Hoax Debunked - Great Full Documentary - The Cold Truth By Martin Durkin
Sequel to "The Great Global Warming Swindle" documentary, "Climate: The Movie" highlights a different perspective on the climate change debate and is supported by scientists who have signed the Clintel's World Climate Declaration. This group of researchers seeks to present an alternative narrative in the face of the dominant discourse. Climate The Movie is a must-see film for anyone concerned with the future of science and humanity. Features distinguished scientists (Nobel physicist, Princeton astrophysicist, among others) showing how climate "science" has been corrupted by politics, money, and the lust for power. Presents extensive data and reasoning showing that CO2 has been purposely demonized as the alleged key to climate control, knowing that this implies control of the vast majority human energy resources (fossil fuels). This completely ignores the obvious source of historical climate change - solar radiation and its variation with cloud cover, orbital parameters, and the sun's magnetic and thermal changes. Well-presented, in a calm and non-apocalyptic manner that stands in distinct contrast to most climate alarmism. Wonderful piece of work. Climate The Movie does as it says, presents the Cold Truth. It gives a good overview of how climate change came to dominate current political discourse. It features a raft of prominent scientists, physicists, climatologists and Patrick Moore (the founder of Greenpeace) all who dared to dispute the prevailing consensus that the science is settled. The documentary meticulously details the 4 other more reliable measurements of temperature change (rural surface stations, ocean gauges, satellite readings and atmospheric balloons) to show that all the IPCC reports and models are mostly based on sites that have been engulfed over time by urbanization and hence subject to distortions in the record by the urban heat island effect. The 4 methods confirm only a slight temperature rise and this is reported alongside the long term historical records going back centuries and then tree ring and ice core testing going back millennia to show that we've been warmer before when there was no industrial output to blame.
Finally many current media myths and obsessions were debunked including no increase in hurricanes and storms, hotter daily temps in the 1930's than recently and significantly fewer modern forest fires than the '20' and '30s.
The way prominent scientists, environmentalists, politicians and the media exaggerate and distort the truth to manipulate the masses into accepting all of the constraints on lifestyle and escalating costs of enforcing net zero is dramatically laid out. This documentary is an important contribution to the debate of climate science that is in reality far from settled. Sensational video showing what the state of the Earth's climate really is. Scientists, Nobel laureates, climate researchers, astrophysicists describe what is really happening, and what is our real threat.
Finally many current media myths and obsessions were debunked including no increase in hurricanes and storms, hotter daily temps in the 1930's than recently and significantly fewer modern forest fires than the '20' and '30s.
The way prominent scientists, environmentalists, politicians and the media exaggerate and distort the truth to manipulate the masses into accepting all of the constraints on lifestyle and escalating costs of enforcing net zero is dramatically laid out. This documentary is an important contribution to the debate of climate science that is in reality far from settled. Sensational video showing what the state of the Earth's climate really is. Scientists, Nobel laureates, climate researchers, astrophysicists describe what is really happening, and what is our real threat.
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NewsTranscript
00:00:00People are dying, entire ecosystems are collapsing.
00:00:09We are in the beginning of a mass extinction and all you can talk about is money and fairytales
00:00:16of eternal economic growth.
00:00:19How dare you?
00:00:26This is the story of how an eccentric environmental scare grew into a powerful global industry.
00:00:33It's a wonderful business opportunity, okay?
00:00:36You want climate, we'll give you climate.
00:00:39There's a huge amount of money involved and this is a huge big money scam.
00:00:44There are not just now billions, but there are trillions of dollars at stake.
00:00:50It's a story of self-interest and big government funding.
00:00:54People like me, our careers depend on funding of climate research.
00:01:00This is what I've been doing just about my whole career.
00:01:02This is what the other climate researchers are doing with their whole career.
00:01:06They don't want this to end.
00:01:07If CO2 isn't having the huge negative impacts that we claimed it was having originally,
00:01:13how are we going to stay in business?
00:01:15A lot of people's livelihoods depend on it.
00:01:18They're not going to give that up.
00:01:20This is a story of the corruption of science.
00:01:23There's no such thing as a climate emergency happening on this planet now.
00:01:27There's no evidence of one.
00:01:30The climate alarm is nonsense, you know?
00:01:32It's a hoax.
00:01:33I've never liked hoax.
00:01:34I think scam is a better word, but I'm willing to live with hoax.
00:01:39It's a story about the bullying and intimidation of anyone who dares to challenge the climate alarm.
00:01:45To speak up against or about climate change in any sort of skeptical way was essentially
00:01:50career suicide.
00:01:52Activists are even calling for any skepticism to be criminalized.
00:01:59It's the story of an assault on individual freedom.
00:02:03It's a wonderful way to increase government power.
00:02:06If there's an existential threat out there that's worldwide, well, you need a powerful
00:02:12worldwide government, you know, to cope with it.
00:02:15We see all these kind of authoritarian measures being adopted in the name of saving the planet.
00:02:23You've suddenly got the population under control all over the world.
00:02:34We called it industrial progress.
00:02:37Since the Industrial Revolution, the development of free market capitalist mass production
00:02:42has made ever more goods ever more affordable to ever larger numbers of people.
00:02:46Mass production marched hand in hand with mass consumption.
00:02:51In the modern age, ordinary people enjoy a level of prosperity never before achieved
00:02:56in human history.
00:02:57But all the while, we are told we were destroying the planet.
00:03:06Computers have calculated what is in store for us as we produce and consume ever more.
00:03:11The weather will get worse.
00:03:13The planet will boil.
00:03:15We greedy humans must accept limits on our lifestyle.
00:03:19Consume less, travel less.
00:03:22Those who deny the climate crisis are not just wrong, they're dangerous, spreading the
00:03:26poison of doubt among a gullible population.
00:03:30These deniers should be shunned and shamed and censored.
00:03:34For these climate deniers are flat earthers.
00:03:37They are anti-science.
00:03:44Teaching at New York University is one of these climate deniers.
00:03:47Professor Stephen Koonin is one of America's leading physicists.
00:03:51He was a science advisor to President Obama and both vice president and provost of Caltech,
00:03:57one of the most prestigious scientific institutes in the world.
00:04:05I teach climate science to my students at NYU.
00:04:10And I always tell them, check the data or the papers yourself.
00:04:15And they all come out of that course with their eyes wide open.
00:04:21Professor Koonin's best-selling book, Unsettled, argues that mainstream scientific studies,
00:04:27accepted by official agencies, do not support the notion that there is any kind of climate
00:04:31crisis at all.
00:04:34Because I've been called a denier.
00:04:37And my response is, tell me what I'm denying.
00:04:40Because I'm quoting from you directly from the official U.N. scientific reports.
00:04:48Dick Linzen also dismisses the claims of climate alarmists.
00:04:52He's one of the world's leading meteorologists, was professor of meteorology at both Harvard
00:04:57University and MIT, and has served on the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
00:05:02Change, or IPCC.
00:05:06Even the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, if you go to their section on Working
00:05:13One, Group One, which is the science, they don't support any of these claims.
00:05:20And I assure you, having served on it, it's biased.
00:05:24But you couldn't get any real scientist to agree some of the nonsense that's being promoted.
00:05:30Bill Happa is also a denier, and is another of America's leading physicists.
00:05:35He has been science advisor to three presidents, and professor of physics at both Columbia
00:05:39and Princeton University.
00:05:41There's this mischievous idea that's promoted that scientific truth is determined by consensus.
00:05:49In real science, you know, there are always arguments.
00:05:52No science has ever settled.
00:05:53You know, it just is absurd when people say the science of climate has settled.
00:05:58There's no such thing as settled science, especially climate.
00:06:02Dr. John Clauser is one of the most respected scientists in the world.
00:06:07In 2022, he was awarded the Nobel Prize for physics.
00:06:11The science that's being done is appallingly bad, in my opinion.
00:06:15There are a large number of scientists who are in violent disagreement.
00:06:18They refer to themselves as skeptics.
00:06:21Since I am no longer worried about losing funding or a job, whatever, I call myself
00:06:27a climate change denier.
00:06:30These very eminent and respected scientists, and others like them, are not flat earthers.
00:06:36They do not deny science.
00:06:38So what's the evidence that has caused them to dismiss the climate alarm as nonsense?
00:06:50We are told that current temperatures are unprecedented and dangerously high.
00:06:56It's possible to check if this is true because we have evidence of Earth's climate history
00:07:00dating back hundreds, thousands, even millions of years.
00:07:06The desert of Judea by the Dead Sea.
00:07:09Professor Nir Shavi from the Racker Institute of Physics has come here looking for clues.
00:07:15Thousands of years ago, this place was underwater and etched into the rocks are lines which,
00:07:20if you know how to read them, tell the story of Earth's climate history.
00:07:25So here's the climate.
00:07:27We're at the lake bed of what used to be Lake Lisan.
00:07:32It's a lake that existed until the end of the last Ice Age.
00:07:37Back then, the lake level was maybe 100 meters above where we're located.
00:07:42When we want to reconstruct climates of the past, we have to look for evidence, for clues.
00:07:49And when the lake existed, it had the deposits.
00:07:53And by looking at these layers here, we can actually reconstruct how the climate has changed.
00:08:01Warmer water means more life, the accumulation of more shells and bones from sea creatures
00:08:07and other changes that are reflected in the ancient layers of the lake bed.
00:08:12The lines act as a kind of thermometer.
00:08:14And this is just one way geologists can reconstruct past climate.
00:08:18In other places, we can go to stalagmite caves and see the annual rings that you have
00:08:24in the stalagmite.
00:08:25Or we can drill a course from the bottom of the ocean and then look at layers there.
00:08:32Or many other places.
00:08:33But here, I think this is one of the nicest places because you can actually see, you can
00:08:37actually see how the climate has changed.
00:08:43So when we look back in time, what do we find?
00:08:48For 200 million years, dinosaurs roamed the Earth, an Earth marked by fertile, dense forests
00:08:59teeming with life.
00:09:01And at no time during those 200 million years were temperatures as cold as they are today.
00:09:08If you go back, let's say, 200 million years, it was maybe 13 degrees warmer than it is
00:09:15now.
00:09:16But on the geological perspective, this is not at all unprecedented.
00:09:21For the last 500 million years, temperatures have varied greatly.
00:09:28But for almost all that time, the Earth was much, much warmer than today.
00:09:33Compared to the last half billion years, the Earth right now is exceptionally cold.
00:09:38In fact, there are very few times when it's been this cold.
00:09:42We're relatively cold.
00:09:44Maybe not quite the coldest it's been in 500 million years, but pretty close to it.
00:09:50We are in a remarkably cool period if we look over the last 550 million years.
00:09:56In fact, only one other time period in that last 550 million years was the temperature
00:10:01as cool as it is now.
00:10:03The mammals who now inhabit the Earth began to evolve around 60 million years ago, when
00:10:08the world was much warmer than today.
00:10:11We just look at the last 65 million years.
00:10:14So this is after the dinosaurs go extinct, mammals really start to take over, and our
00:10:19evolutionary ancestors start to live on the land.
00:10:22Any time period within the last 65 million years was warmer than it is essentially today.
00:10:28The Earth's mammals, humans included, appear to thrive when it's warm, warmer than it is
00:10:33now.
00:10:35There's no doubt that warm is better than cold in geological history.
00:10:39We are a tropical species.
00:10:41A human being in the shade, naked, dies at 20C from hypothermia.
00:10:48We evolved on the equator in Africa.
00:10:51And the only reason we were able to get out of there eventually was fire, shelter, and
00:10:55clothing.
00:10:56Over the last 50 million years, temperatures steadily declined, plunging the Earth into
00:11:04what geologists call the late Cenozoic Ice Age.
00:11:08We are still in that Ice Age.
00:11:11The reason there's all that ice on the poles is because we're in an Ice Age.
00:11:15Everybody knows that who knows anything about the history of the Earth.
00:11:19This is an Ice Age.
00:11:20We're at the tail end of a 50 million year cooling period, and they're saying it's too
00:11:24hot.
00:11:25If we zoom in on the past few million years, we see temperatures sinking, and as they do,
00:11:32fluctuating between extremely cold periods and slightly milder periods.
00:11:37The extremely cold periods are called glacial maxima, when the planet is mostly covered
00:11:42in ice, and the slightly less cold are called glacial minima, when there's just ice at the
00:11:47poles.
00:11:48For the past 10,000 years, fortunately, we've been in a slightly less cold glacial minimum,
00:11:54known as the Holocene.
00:11:59With milder weather, humans began to emerge from their caves, and several thousand years
00:12:03ago, we see the rise of the first great civilizations.
00:12:07In a blissful period which, according to many studies, was considerably warmer than
00:12:11today.
00:12:12This is known as the Holocene Climate Optimum.
00:12:16It was called an optimum because people thought that warmer was better.
00:12:21Since then, temperatures have declined and begun to fluctuate.
00:12:24In Roman times, there was a blissfully warm period, followed by a brutal cold period in
00:12:30the Dark Ages.
00:12:32Then came the Balmy Medieval Warm Period.
00:12:35According to many studies, as warm or warmer than today, followed by an especially cold
00:12:41period known as the Little Ice Age, possibly the coldest in the last 10,000 years.
00:12:46And here it is, the Roman Warm Period, the Cold Dark Age, the Medieval Warm Period, and
00:12:52then the very cold Little Ice Age, from which, for the past 300 years or so, we've been recovering.
00:13:00The longest instrumental record of temperature in the world comes from central England, and
00:13:05this is what it shows.
00:13:06Since the worst of the Little Ice Age, from 1650, the temperature has risen, gently, by
00:13:11little more than one degree Celsius.
00:13:15The central England record of temperature is a world treasure, you know, it's the longest
00:13:21continuous record that we have, and it's certainly not a very alarming record.
00:13:26It began in the depths of the Little Ice Age, and so you can see the slight warming that
00:13:32followed the Little Ice Age, and there's certainly nothing very alarming that's happening
00:13:37today at the very end of the record.
00:13:40Most of the warming that we're observing today is the recovery from the Little Ice Age, whatever
00:13:45calls that.
00:13:46Well, you know, we're talking over the entire industrial period of about one degree centigrade.
00:13:55To put this one degree in perspective, let's look at New York's Central Park.
00:14:00Reports show that there has been no overall change in temperature here since 1940.
00:14:05But from one year to the next, the average temperature can vary by three degrees Celsius,
00:14:10without many New Yorkers even noticing.
00:14:13In fact, between the warmest year in the 1960s and the coolest in 2000, there's a difference
00:14:18of five degrees Celsius.
00:14:20The average temperature on this day, in this year, might be five degrees different from
00:14:27the average temperature a year ago, or two years.
00:14:30You know, when I hear people pontificating about one and a half degrees leading to the
00:14:36end of civilization, I think, what have they been smoking?
00:14:39You know, are you crazy?
00:14:43According to thermometer readings since 1880, there's been a very mild increase in temperature.
00:14:48Only by stretching the y-axis on this graph is the increase noticeable.
00:14:53This is the rising line used by official agencies as proof of global warming.
00:14:58But is it accurate?
00:15:03Professor Ross McKittrick is an expert in statistical analysis at Guelph University.
00:15:09He noticed something odd about modern thermometer records.
00:15:12Thermometers, even in the same region, give out very different readings,
00:15:16depending on where they're located.
00:15:19I was interested in the question of, how do you explain the spatial pattern of warming?
00:15:22So some places warm a lot, some places don't warm much.
00:15:25And it turns out it's highly correlated with the spatial pattern of economic activity.
00:15:31Where there are more people and there is more human activity, there's more heat.
00:15:35This is known as the urban heat island effect.
00:15:39Urban heat island effect is essentially London, right?
00:15:42You pick London.
00:15:43With buildings, with a lot of activities, tend to be of a few degrees.
00:15:48I mean, we're talking now Celsius, right?
00:15:49Even four or five degrees Celsius warmer than outskirts.
00:15:52This is a phenomenon of urbanization.
00:15:55These days, the obvious effect is actually concrete retaining heat.
00:16:00This can be illustrated with the satellite heat map of Paris.
00:16:04The center of Paris can be as much as five degrees Celsius warmer
00:16:08than the surrounding countryside.
00:16:12Paris, London, Beijing, Shanghai, you name it, New Delhi,
00:16:18all of them absolutely demonstrated the defects.
00:16:22So how has this affected the official temperature record?
00:16:25In the early part of the 20th century,
00:16:27it was normal to erect weather thermometers just outside towns,
00:16:31close enough to check every day, but away from the heat of urban life.
00:16:36But over the 20th century, those towns have expanded.
00:16:39Suburbs have spread.
00:16:40There are more roads, more cars.
00:16:43Thermometers, which were once outside towns,
00:16:45are now surrounded by shopping malls, offices, factories and houses.
00:16:51These towns and all the locations where thermometers are located,
00:16:55on average, they've all grown in population, let's say, since 1880.
00:16:59You've got buildings growing up around the thermometers.
00:17:03You've got parking lots.
00:17:05So you've got all of these non-climate influences,
00:17:08which are affecting the temperatures,
00:17:09which raises questions about the quality of thermometer data
00:17:13for monitoring global warming.
00:17:15To correct for this corruption of the data,
00:17:19an obvious solution is to use only records from rural weather stations,
00:17:23which have been less affected by urban development.
00:17:26This has now been done by a team led by Dr Willie Soon.
00:17:29We combine all the best rural stations,
00:17:33anything that we can correct for, we correct for.
00:17:35And we show, if you just don't use this data set and use only rural,
00:17:40you get a very different kind of picture.
00:17:43According to rural temperature records,
00:17:46temperatures rose from the 1880s but peaked in the 1940s.
00:17:50Then there was a marked cooling until the 1970s.
00:17:53After that, temperatures recover,
00:17:55but are still today barely higher than they were in the 1940s.
00:18:00What we see is that basically you have a warming from the 1900s,
00:18:041850s or so to 1930s and 40s and started to warm and then cool
00:18:09in a substantial way to the 70s, about 76 or so.
00:18:13Instead of a long-term systematic warming trend,
00:18:16it has a variability, multi-decade or like every 50, 60 years or so,
00:18:21kind of a variation.
00:18:24It's not just rural thermometers that show little warming.
00:18:28Merchant ships and other naval vessels
00:18:30have been measuring the temperature of the sea since the 19th century.
00:18:35In red, we see the land temperature record since the 1860s,
00:18:39which has been inflated by urban thermometers.
00:18:42But in blue is the ocean temperature record.
00:18:45From around 1900, the two begin to diverge.
00:18:48Ocean records show far less warming in the 20th century
00:18:52and the pattern more closely resembles the rural temperature record.
00:18:58Sea is not supposed to be, quote-unquote,
00:18:59contaminated by urban heat island effect.
00:19:01Am I right? Yes.
00:19:03So when we compare the two records within the range of uncertainty,
00:19:06this behaviour actually fits.
00:19:08Scientists have also studied temperature change by looking at tree rings,
00:19:12which again shows very little warming.
00:19:14There's a gentle rise till the mid-20th century,
00:19:17a cooling to the 1970s, followed by a mild recovery.
00:19:20Once again, it shows temperatures today
00:19:23are barely different to those of the 1930s and 40s
00:19:26and the pattern closely resembles rural temperatures.
00:19:34Satellites too seem to be telling a different story.
00:19:38Our ability to measure global temperature accurately
00:19:41took a leap forward when satellites began to orbit the Earth.
00:19:45One of the scientists who pioneered the use of satellites
00:19:48to measure temperature is Dr Roy Spencer,
00:19:50who in the 1980s was senior scientist for climate
00:19:54at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Centre.
00:19:58We were discussing over lunch,
00:19:59isn't there some way we can use satellites to monitor global temperatures?
00:20:04Because, as you know, the temperature network of thermometers
00:20:09is pretty skimpy around the world,
00:20:11so it's kind of hard to get a global temperature.
00:20:15Dr Spencer's development of weather satellites was revolutionary.
00:20:18He and his colleague, Professor John Christie,
00:20:20have been awarded NASA's Medal for Exceptional Scientific Achievement.
00:20:25Our satellite data begins in January of 1979,
00:20:28that's when we have complete global coverage,
00:20:31and we have it right up to the present.
00:20:35There was one critical question about temperature
00:20:37that satellites were singularly well-equipped to answer.
00:20:42Has there been a spurious warming
00:20:44that has crept into the global temperature record over land
00:20:48that's just a result of an increase in population?
00:20:51And that's something that we've been analysing
00:20:54and working a lot on lately,
00:20:55and we're finding that, especially in urban areas, it's large.
00:21:00Since 1880, most of the warming, it looks like,
00:21:03is due to the urban heat island effect.
00:21:06We're lucky to have a few independent scientists
00:21:09like John Christie and Roy Spencer
00:21:12with their satellite measurements of temperature.
00:21:15You know, before they started releasing this,
00:21:20ground-based temperature records were going wild.
00:21:22They were going up, you know, like crazy with no bounds.
00:21:27But now they have to contend with the fact
00:21:29that there's this independent and probably better way
00:21:33of measuring the whole globe's temperature,
00:21:36which is not alarming at all.
00:21:40Evidence from multiple sources now agree
00:21:42that the official global temperature record,
00:21:45as used by world governments and reported in the world's media,
00:21:48is showing far too much warming over the last 120 years,
00:21:52artificially inflated by urbanisation.
00:21:55You look at the weather balloon record, the satellite record,
00:21:58the rural record, the ocean record,
00:22:00doesn't warm nearly as much as land.
00:22:02All of these indications show that,
00:22:05like, the big warming pulse in the record
00:22:07is the northern hemisphere land record.
00:22:10And that's also where most of this data contamination is happening.
00:22:15But of the mild warming that has taken place
00:22:17in the last 300 to 400 years,
00:22:19can any of it be attributed to human emissions of CO2?
00:22:25EVOLUTION
00:22:31Professor Henrik Svensmark
00:22:33is visiting the Hebrew University of Jerusalem
00:22:36and taking a stroll in the Evolution Garden,
00:22:38dedicated to preserving the oldest surviving plant species on Earth.
00:22:43These plants aren't just pleasing on the eye.
00:22:46They can also tell us about levels of CO2 in the atmosphere
00:22:49in Earth's geological past.
00:22:51What we have here is a ginkgo tree,
00:22:54and it's actually a living fossil,
00:22:56in the sense that this type of tree
00:23:00first appeared about 270 million years ago.
00:23:03On the underside of the leaf,
00:23:05there are what we call stomata,
00:23:07the cells where they can uptake CO2.
00:23:10So they're actually measuring how much CO2 is in the air,
00:23:14and then they adjust the number of these stomata
00:23:17to how much CO2 there is.
00:23:19And by looking at fossils
00:23:21and measuring how many there are at a different time,
00:23:24it says something about what was the level of CO2 back in time.
00:23:30So when we look back in time, what do we find?
00:23:33Over almost all of the last 500 million years,
00:23:36the level of CO2 in the atmosphere
00:23:38has been far, far higher than it is now.
00:23:41Even with modern industry's contribution to CO2 levels,
00:23:44by geological standards,
00:23:46By geological standards,
00:23:48the level of atmospheric CO2 today
00:23:50is close to being as low as it has ever been.
00:23:55At present, we have about 400 parts per million.
00:24:0050 million years ago, it might have been 2,000 parts per million.
00:24:04So a much, much higher concentration of CO2.
00:24:09I think current estimates of global CO2
00:24:12is 423 or so parts per million today.
00:24:15If we look through the Phanerozoic,
00:24:17the last 550 million years,
00:24:20we would see CO2 on the order of 7,000 parts per million.
00:24:25CO2 is plant food.
00:24:27And the result of much higher levels of atmospheric CO2
00:24:30in the past was a much, much greener world.
00:24:33Periods of elevated CO2 tend to be time periods
00:24:36of a huge biodiversity on the planet.
00:24:41In fact, we're in a CO2 famine
00:24:43if we look over the last 550 million years.
00:24:47At the depths of the most recent glacial maximum,
00:24:49the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere sank so low,
00:24:53all life on Earth came close to extinction.
00:24:56They say CO2 is higher than it's been for 100,000 years.
00:24:59But what they don't tell you,
00:25:01in that period they're talking about,
00:25:02is that CO2 sank so low that all life on Earth nearly died.
00:25:0620,000 years ago,
00:25:08CO2 is at the lowest level it has ever been
00:25:10in the history of the Earth, 180 parts per million.
00:25:14If it had gone down another 30 parts per million,
00:25:17we'd all be dead.
00:25:19There is a low point of CO2
00:25:21where photosynthesis becomes so inefficient
00:25:25that plant life would die.
00:25:27Then everything else starts to perish after that.
00:25:30During the last glacial maximum,
00:25:33there's good evidence that in many parts of the world,
00:25:36there was plant starvation from not enough CO2.
00:25:40So we should be very grateful
00:25:42that CO2 levels are beginning to go back up.
00:25:45We're still far from the historical norms,
00:25:47which would be several thousand parts per million.
00:25:50There's not enough fossil fuel to get there,
00:25:53but at least we're making a start.
00:25:57But has the small recent increase in CO2
00:25:59affected the temperature?
00:26:02We would now show you a picture of CO2,
00:26:04but we can't because it's invisible.
00:26:07CO2 makes up a tiny fraction of the gases in the atmosphere,
00:26:10just 0.04 of a percent.
00:26:14It is just one of 25 different greenhouse gases,
00:26:17which taken as a whole,
00:26:18form only one part of Earth's complex climate system.
00:26:22So what evidence is there that this trace gas
00:26:25is having any noticeable impact on the climate?
00:26:29If it were true that higher levels of CO2
00:26:31caused higher temperatures,
00:26:32we should be able to see that in Earth's climate history.
00:26:37Here, scientists are drilling into ancient ice cores.
00:26:40These cores tell us both about past temperatures and CO2 levels.
00:26:45Scientists have indeed found a link between temperature and CO2.
00:26:49The trouble is, it's the wrong way round.
00:26:53So it's true over the last few million years
00:26:56of the ice age that we're in now
00:26:58that CO2 and temperature are correlated,
00:27:01but if CO2 is the driver, it has to change first,
00:27:04and the temperature has to change second.
00:27:07In fact, when you start to look at the data very specifically,
00:27:10you see the exact reverse.
00:27:11Temperature starts to rise first,
00:27:13and then on the order of a century to a few centuries later,
00:27:17we start to see a rise in CO2.
00:27:19It's long been known that the temperature actually moves first.
00:27:24So temperature goes up, CO2 goes up after that.
00:27:27Temperature goes down, CO2 goes down.
00:27:30Ice ages start when carbon dioxide is at its maximum,
00:27:35and ice ages end when carbon dioxide is at its minimum,
00:27:39which is the exact opposite of what would occur
00:27:41if carbon dioxide was controlling the temperature.
00:27:44The question of whether CO2 drives the climate is easily resolved.
00:27:47You can look back in time over hundreds of millions of years,
00:27:50CO2 levels have changed radically many times.
00:27:53Did this cause temperature change?
00:27:54No, absolutely not.
00:27:56CO2 has never driven temperature changes in the past, never.
00:28:00Nor is it clear in recent times that CO2 is having any effect on temperature.
00:28:05Here we see industrial output of CO2 since 1750.
00:28:09From the mid-19th century to the mid-20th century,
00:28:11there was only a slight increase.
00:28:13It's not until the 1940s that industrial production of CO2 begins to take off.
00:28:19But this doesn't match the temperature record.
00:28:21According to rural thermometers,
00:28:23most of the warming in the past 200 years occurred before the 1940s,
00:28:27and have barely changed since then.
00:28:31One of the embarrassments that IPCC doesn't like to talk about
00:28:35was that the 1930s, when human influences were much smaller,
00:28:40were particularly warm.
00:28:41That's the puzzle, that the first early part where we have such a sharp warming,
00:28:46from the 1900s to 1930s and 1940s,
00:28:49CO2 could never cause that temperature rise.
00:28:53But the 1930s and early 40s were so hot,
00:28:56it's puzzling.
00:28:57More puzzling still is what happened next.
00:29:01By the end of World War II, CO2 was really going up,
00:29:05and yet the temperature was going down.
00:29:08From 40 to 70, while the CO2 continued to rise,
00:29:11this thing started to cool.
00:29:13What happened?
00:29:14Journalists were writing about the coming ice age.
00:29:18It was on the cover of Time magazine.
00:29:201970s, the new ice age was the big story.
00:29:23And how about since the 1970s?
00:29:26According to computer climate models,
00:29:28over the past half century,
00:29:30rising CO2 should have led to this increase in temperature.
00:29:35But according to multiple satellite and balloon measurements,
00:29:38what actually happened was this.
00:29:41Well, what we found from the satellite data
00:29:43is that the global atmosphere is not warming up
00:29:47as fast as the climate models say it should be.
00:29:51There's a couple dozen climate models now
00:29:54that have been worked on for decades.
00:29:58You know, billions of dollars,
00:29:59tens of billions of dollars have been invested
00:30:01in these climate modeling efforts.
00:30:03And we find that generally speaking,
00:30:05virtually all of the climate models
00:30:07produce too much warming over this period
00:30:09since 1979 up to the present.
00:30:12Now, even if we say the surface thermometers are correct,
00:30:18they still don't produce as much warming
00:30:22as most of the climate models say there should have been,
00:30:25let's say, in the last 50 years.
00:30:27The models individually and even collectively,
00:30:31when you average over all of them in so-called ensembles,
00:30:34they don't get it right.
00:30:36You can already see that the main support
00:30:39of the climate alarm movement,
00:30:42which are these enormous computer models,
00:30:44they're clearly wrong.
00:30:45They don't agree with what we observe.
00:30:48You know, they're all running much too hot.
00:30:51They don't get the geographical distribution
00:30:55of temperatures anywhere close.
00:30:57They don't get El Nino, La Nina cycles.
00:31:00They're just nonsense.
00:31:03All climate models are based on the assumption
00:31:05that CO2 drives temperature change.
00:31:08But actual observations and historical evidence
00:31:11clearly suggest that it doesn't.
00:31:13Yes, I assert that there is no connection whatsoever
00:31:17between CO2 and climate change.
00:31:20That's all a crock of crap, in my opinion.
00:31:23There is no truth to the idea
00:31:26that the Earth is warmer now than it has been in the past.
00:31:29It's a lie.
00:31:31There is no truth that CO2 is higher than it should be.
00:31:34That is a lie.
00:31:36Earth's climate has changed many times
00:31:39over the course of its long history
00:31:41and will continue to change without any help from us.
00:31:44Climate always changes, you know.
00:31:46Who denies climate change?
00:31:48It's always changing.
00:31:50But if CO2 doesn't drive climate change, what does?
00:32:01In Earth's atmosphere, there are powerful forces at work
00:32:05and perhaps the most powerful of all are clouds.
00:32:09CO2 is quite unimportant in controlling the Earth's climate.
00:32:14What is important is clouds.
00:32:16Clouds don't absorb any energy at all.
00:32:19They simply reflect all of the sunlight back out into space.
00:32:24Big, bright white clouds.
00:32:25If you look at the Earth, you see lots and lots of them
00:32:29and they vary dramatically from one day to the next.
00:32:33That is hundreds of times more powerful
00:32:37than the trivial effects of CO2.
00:32:42But what controls the number and density of clouds on Earth?
00:32:47Professor Henrik Svensmark from the Danish National Space Institute
00:32:50is in Jerusalem with the astrophysicist Nir Shaviv.
00:32:55Together, they've been exploring cloud variation
00:32:57and its effect on climate.
00:32:59And strangely, they've found a link between clouds
00:33:02and exploding supernovae far off in our galaxy.
00:33:07When you have big stars, they don't live very long.
00:33:11I mean, relatively only maybe a few million years,
00:33:14up to 40 million years.
00:33:16But they end their life in a huge explosion,
00:33:19which we call the supernova.
00:33:25An exploding supernova sends out vast quantities of debris,
00:33:29tiny charged subatomic particles known as cosmic rays,
00:33:33travelling almost at the speed of light.
00:33:36And as they hit Earth, they develop into seeds
00:33:39which attract water vapour and form clouds.
00:33:42Professor Shaviv noticed that the amount of cloud cover on Earth
00:33:46is related to our journey around the Milky Way.
00:33:50As our solar system orbits the galaxy over millions of years,
00:33:54it passes through the galaxy's spiral arms,
00:33:57dense clusters of stars.
00:33:59As it does, we are exposed to more or less cloud-forming cosmic rays.
00:34:04And this corresponds to historic temperature changes on Earth.
00:34:07The really mind-boggling thing is that, using geology,
00:34:12you can reconstruct the climates on Earth over the past billion years
00:34:16and you can reconstruct our galactic journey
00:34:19and both tell the same story.
00:34:22But what about temperature change on shorter timescales?
00:34:28The sun, our source of heat and light,
00:34:31a seething mass of gigantic magnetic stars,
00:34:34which vary in strength and number over time
00:34:36and which affect Earth directly and indirectly.
00:34:40When it is very active,
00:34:41the sun sends giant gusts of solar wind through the solar system.
00:34:49The solar wind warms us indirectly by acting as a barrier,
00:34:53limiting the number of cloud-forming cosmic rays reaching Earth.
00:34:58It's just a matter of time before the sun goes away.
00:35:01So, from the sun, we have the solar wind.
00:35:04It carries the sun's magnetic field out to a large distance
00:35:08and it works like a shield against cosmic rays.
00:35:12When the sun is more active, you have a stronger solar wind,
00:35:16you have less cosmic rays reaching the inner solar system
00:35:20and reaching the atmosphere,
00:35:21and the clouds which are then formed are less white.
00:35:24They reflect less of the sunlight,
00:35:26which means that it's going to be warmer here.
00:35:29Here is a proxy reconstruction of ocean temperatures
00:35:32over thousands of years,
00:35:34and here is one of solar activity over the same period.
00:35:38What is causing the ocean temperature to change
00:35:40is clearly variations in solar activity.
00:35:46Because IPCC is determined to go on a narrative
00:35:49that only CO2 can drive the climate system,
00:35:52they turn off the sun, essentially, right?
00:35:54So, they turn off the sun,
00:35:57they turn off the sun, essentially, right?
00:35:59Because the sun is just a background thing for them,
00:36:01that it doesn't do anything.
00:36:04Astrophysicist Willie Soon decided to look again
00:36:07at the rural temperature record for the past 150 years.
00:36:12Then he looked at a record of changes in solar activity
00:36:14over the same period.
00:36:16To Dr Soon, it was obvious that it was the sun,
00:36:19not CO2, that was driving temperature.
00:36:22As of 2023, IPCC says that the sun has absolutely zero chance
00:36:29to explain the changes of the climate system on a broad scale,
00:36:33let's say global warming on northern Helmsfield.
00:36:35We say no.
00:36:37We can easily demonstrate the sun can explain all of it.
00:36:40There's zero for the CO2, 100% for the sun.
00:36:43How's that?
00:36:46Why are these and other studies never reported
00:36:49in the mainstream media?
00:36:50And if climate change is natural,
00:36:52what are we to make of the alleged terrifying increase
00:36:54in extreme weather events,
00:36:56of the heat waves and hurricanes,
00:36:58of forest fires, droughts, and the rest?
00:37:07My first instinct as a scientist,
00:37:09and what I teach my students, is,
00:37:11well, let's look at the data.
00:37:13And when you do that, you discover,
00:37:16as you can read in the IPCC reports,
00:37:19that it's pretty hard to find trends in extreme events,
00:37:23much less attribute them to human influences.
00:37:27You've now had decades of putting the idea in people's heads
00:37:31that any time the weather's bad,
00:37:33it's climate change and greenhouse gases.
00:37:35So I think people at this point can't help themselves.
00:37:38If you have a heat wave, immediately everybody's thinking,
00:37:41oh, what have we done to the weather?
00:37:44If somebody says in the news,
00:37:46this is the warmest day since 1980 or something,
00:37:50well, you can look up the temperature records
00:37:52and see for yourself whether it was, in fact,
00:37:55warmer in the 1930s, as it often is.
00:37:59U.S. temperature records are the best in the world.
00:38:02And here is the official U.S. government record
00:38:05of heat waves in the U.S. over the past century.
00:38:09It shows very clearly that the 1930s
00:38:12were far more prone to heat waves
00:38:13than we are today.
00:38:16Not only were there more heat waves in the 1930s,
00:38:19the heat waves then were much hotter than those of today.
00:38:23Likewise, official figures show
00:38:25that the number of hot days in the U.S. has markedly declined.
00:38:32The United States was much hotter in the 1930s.
00:38:36North Dakota reached 121 degrees.
00:38:40South Dakota was 120 degrees.
00:38:42Wisconsin was 114 degrees.
00:38:45These sort of temperatures are just completely
00:38:48out of range of anything people experience now.
00:38:53A common mistake is to suppose
00:38:55that higher average temperature will mean more hot weather.
00:38:58But this isn't true.
00:39:00Here again is the Central England temperature record,
00:39:03the longest instrumental temperature record in the world.
00:39:06Summer temperatures over the past 300 to 400 years,
00:39:09since the end of the Little Ice Age,
00:39:11have barely changed at all.
00:39:13It is winter temperatures that have been slightly rising.
00:39:16The Earth's climate has not been getting hotter.
00:39:18It's been getting milder.
00:39:21That's certainly being observed all over the world.
00:39:23If you look at temperature records,
00:39:25high temperatures are almost unchanged.
00:39:28But cold temperatures at night or during the winter
00:39:32are going up a little bit.
00:39:34Not very much, but you can measure it.
00:39:36When the average goes up,
00:39:38it's really more due to the coldest temperatures
00:39:42getting warmer.
00:39:44So the temperature's getting milder
00:39:46rather than getting hotter.
00:39:51What about the increasing number
00:39:52of wildfires we're often told about?
00:39:55If you look at the actual number of forest fires
00:39:57from satellite observations,
00:39:59the actual number is going down.
00:40:02Here is an estimate of global wildfires since 1900.
00:40:06It shows a clear decline.
00:40:08And here is a record of areas affected by wildfires in the US.
00:40:12It shows that wildfires were far, far worse in the 1930s.
00:40:17From 1930s and 1920s, when you have data,
00:40:20the thing was huge,
00:40:22five to ten times bigger than the current level.
00:40:25How about hurricanes?
00:40:28The US has by far the best record
00:40:30of hurricane activity in the world.
00:40:32Over the past 120 years,
00:40:34there is no overall change.
00:40:36In fact, the trend is slightly down.
00:40:38When you look at the data for hurricanes,
00:40:41technically tropical cyclones,
00:40:43you see that there is no long-term trend.
00:40:47How about the rest of the world?
00:40:49Here is a chart of global hurricane activity
00:40:51over the past 40 years.
00:40:54Hurricanes have been around forever, you know.
00:40:56We've got good proxy records of hurricanes
00:41:00and there's been no change in their frequency.
00:41:02Even the IPCC admits that.
00:41:05How about melting ice caps and drought?
00:41:08Here's a satellite record of temperature in Antarctica
00:41:11since the late 1970s.
00:41:13It shows no increase whatsoever.
00:41:16And here is a record of global drought since 1950.
00:41:19There is no observable increase at all.
00:41:24Polar bears are meant to be going extinct,
00:41:26but studies suggest their numbers are growing.
00:41:29The Great Barrier Reef, too,
00:41:31has a record of ice caps and drought.
00:41:33The Great Barrier Reef, too,
00:41:35has recently reached record levels.
00:41:39There's no such thing as a climate emergency
00:41:41happening on this planet now.
00:41:42There's no evidence of one.
00:41:45Yeah, the extreme weather event story is just absurd.
00:41:48There's no basis to it at all.
00:41:51It's just based on propaganda.
00:41:53The actual data shows the opposite.
00:41:55I've shown you the official data,
00:41:57the official science.
00:41:59Tell me what I'm denying.
00:42:02The climate alarm is nonsense.
00:42:04You know, it's a hoax.
00:42:07I've never liked hoax.
00:42:08I think scam is a better word,
00:42:09but I'm willing to live with hoax.
00:42:14But why are we told again and again
00:42:16that man-made climate chaos
00:42:18is an undisputed scientific fact
00:42:21beyond question, beyond doubt?
00:42:25To answer this,
00:42:26we must examine the so-called consensus
00:42:28on climate change.
00:42:31Thank you very much.
00:42:33Until the 1980s, global warming
00:42:34was little more than an eccentric scare story
00:42:37put about by radical environmentalists.
00:42:40But then the cause was picked up
00:42:41by an ambitious young senator, Al Gore,
00:42:44who would soon become vice president.
00:42:46A billion dollars a year of public money
00:42:48was made available for research
00:42:50into climate change.
00:42:51This quickly rose to two billion.
00:42:53Up to that level.
00:42:55Academic researchers in various disciplines
00:42:57began to apply for this climate funding.
00:43:02If you want to qualify for money
00:43:04that's labeled climate,
00:43:06well, you take whatever you're doing
00:43:08and you add a little bit of climate speak to it
00:43:12and away you go.
00:43:14You're dealing with the sexual habits
00:43:18of cockroaches, you'll add,
00:43:20and the impact of climate.
00:43:22So all I have to do is add a little wrinkle
00:43:26to my grant application to explain how,
00:43:28well, I'm worried that climate change
00:43:30will mean the death of all the maple trees.
00:43:31And so right away you qualify for funding.
00:43:35Academics of every kind
00:43:37lined up for climate funding.
00:43:39Climate became an exciting new area of interest
00:43:42for sociologists, biologists,
00:43:45professors of English literature,
00:43:47lecturers in gender studies,
00:43:48and many more.
00:43:50And it also served to create a community.
00:43:54I mean, you know,
00:43:55you've become a climate scientist now,
00:43:58even though you know nothing
00:44:00about the physics of climate.
00:44:02Thousands of papers were published
00:44:04on climate change and prostitution,
00:44:06climate change and beer,
00:44:07climate change and the Black Death,
00:44:09climate change and disability,
00:44:10climate change and video games,
00:44:12and everything else imaginable.
00:44:13There's an almost comical list of studies out there.
00:44:17Just do a Google search on climate change
00:44:20and everything comes up.
00:44:23Few of these papers ever questioned
00:44:25whether climate change was actually true.
00:44:29After you've done the research
00:44:30and you write the paper up,
00:44:32sometimes you find there's no effect at all
00:44:34from climate.
00:44:35But you still have to say in your papers,
00:44:37oh yes, climate change is real
00:44:39and we just need to study this some more.
00:44:42Since so few of these so-called climate studies
00:44:45challenged the idea of climate change,
00:44:47it was declared that there was a scientific consensus.
00:44:50Climate change must be true.
00:44:52Climate also became a new focus
00:44:54for government-funded research bodies.
00:44:57Scientific research in the United States
00:45:00tends to be dominantly funded by government grants.
00:45:04And so whatever government grants are offered
00:45:08sort of determine much of the science being done.
00:45:12It was during the Cold War
00:45:14that many government research bodies were set up.
00:45:18But the end of the Cold War
00:45:19But the end of the Cold War
00:45:21and pressure on government spending
00:45:23has left many of them struggling
00:45:25to justify their continued funding.
00:45:29United States Congress only funds problems.
00:45:33Okay, research into problems.
00:45:35Whether it's money that goes to NASA or NOAA
00:45:38or National Science Foundation
00:45:39or Department of Energy
00:45:41or any other alphabet soup, you know, organization.
00:45:44It's always been a problem to support your research
00:45:48or your existence or raison d'etre.
00:45:51And so climate was a godsend.
00:45:53If Congress is willing to pay you
00:45:56to find evidence of global warming,
00:45:58by golly, as a scientist,
00:46:00we're going to go find evidence of it.
00:46:02Because that's what we're being paid to do.
00:46:04And guess what?
00:46:05If you don't find evidence
00:46:06or say the evidence suggests it's not a problem,
00:46:09your funding ends.
00:46:11This totally corrupts the way we look at the science.
00:46:16The famous gangster asked,
00:46:18why do you rob banks?
00:46:20And he said, well, because that's where the money is.
00:46:25The climate alarm brought funds.
00:46:27And the bigger the supposed threat,
00:46:29the more funds seemed to flow.
00:46:31The publicly funded science establishment
00:46:33now had a direct financial interest
00:46:36in playing up the alarm.
00:46:38So there's a huge incentive to over-exaggerate
00:46:41or to speak in hyperbole,
00:46:43even if the data doesn't support
00:46:45exactly what you're saying,
00:46:47because that's what brings the funds.
00:46:50I was in that boat.
00:46:51I was someone that was defending climate change
00:46:54as a grad student quite a bit,
00:46:55because the truth is,
00:46:57I didn't give it too much thought,
00:46:59but I thought, well,
00:47:00it's getting a ton of attention.
00:47:02It brings a ton of money into the earth sciences.
00:47:05Even if I don't buy all the hyperbole,
00:47:07what's the problem?
00:47:10By the late 1990s,
00:47:11what had started as an environmental scare story
00:47:14was gaining momentum.
00:47:22Western governments and their senior civil servants
00:47:24were more than willing to address the climate problem.
00:47:29Green taxes were levied,
00:47:30green regulation expanded,
00:47:32and this in turn generated
00:47:33more climate-related jobs and activity.
00:47:37Take the banking sector, for instance.
00:47:39Say to a banker,
00:47:41we want you to file reports
00:47:42with the regulatory commission
00:47:44on how climate change is going to affect your bank.
00:47:47Well, the banker doesn't know anything about this subject,
00:47:49so then they have to commission studies from academics.
00:47:53And of course, the academics are happy to come and tell them,
00:47:56well, it's going to be terrible for your bank.
00:47:58It's going to cause all kinds of problems,
00:48:00and you need to give us money to research this.
00:48:03Green subsidies and regulation
00:48:05meant there was now money to be made in climate.
00:48:07Renewables firms sprouted,
00:48:09consultancy firms offered advice
00:48:11on what they called sustainability and climate compliance.
00:48:15It's a wonderful business opportunity, OK?
00:48:18You want climate, we'll give you climate.
00:48:21The renewables industry alone
00:48:23now turns over a trillion dollars a year,
00:48:25and that's expected to double in the next few years.
00:48:30What used to be a cottage industry
00:48:32has now blossomed to become
00:48:35a major part of the world economy.
00:48:37The growth of this climate industry
00:48:39has seen an explosion of highly paid green jobs.
00:48:42Chief sustainability officers, carbon offset advisors,
00:48:46ESG consultants, climate compliance lawyers,
00:48:49and countless others.
00:48:52Students started to come into our departments,
00:48:55as earth science departments, with a focus on climate.
00:48:58That never happened before.
00:49:00But they started to look at their career prospects,
00:49:04and they were smart,
00:49:05and they were looking at who's hiring.
00:49:07And the fact of the matter was,
00:49:09is that everything in the hiring pool
00:49:11had climate somewhere attached to the name.
00:49:13I started a few years ago seeing programs
00:49:15like a master's degree in climate finance.
00:49:19And I just went, what on earth is climate?
00:49:23I don't understand what a master's degree in finance is.
00:49:26Well, now you need a university
00:49:27that's going to teach this program,
00:49:29you need professors of climate finance.
00:49:31Every single school or university
00:49:34or business will have a climate officer
00:49:37or climate officers and a climate program.
00:49:40And you look at any of these institutions or businesses,
00:49:45you will find they all are signed up to it.
00:49:47And anyone who hasn't signed up will come under pressure.
00:49:52At the last gathering of the publicly funded UN's IPCC,
00:49:5670,000 delegates flew in from around the world.
00:50:00Government bureaucrats, green NGOs,
00:50:02carbon sequestration consultants,
00:50:04environmental journalists, heads of renewables companies.
00:50:08But this is just the tip of the iceberg.
00:50:10Many hundreds of thousands of jobs worldwide
00:50:13now depend on the climate crisis.
00:50:15When you start building this enormous population
00:50:20whose job is to manage the crisis,
00:50:23and also explicitly to make sure that people
00:50:31are alarmed about the crisis,
00:50:34because this whole industry depends on the existence of the crisis.
00:50:39But therein lies the one great threat
00:50:41to this multi-trillion dollar industry.
00:50:44All the jobs, all of the funding,
00:50:46are totally dependent on there being a climate crisis.
00:50:50If CO2 isn't having the huge negative impacts
00:50:54that we claimed it was having originally,
00:50:56how are we going to stay in business?
00:50:58How do we justify our existence?
00:51:01If climate change isn't this existential threat
00:51:03that we claimed it was over the last four decades or so.
00:51:06People like me, our careers depend on funding of climate research.
00:51:12This is what I've been doing just about my whole career.
00:51:14This is what the other climate researchers are doing with their whole career.
00:51:18They don't want this to end.
00:51:20If NASA said global warming is not a problem,
00:51:23where does their funding disappears, right?
00:51:27So they can't say that.
00:51:28You've got the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change.
00:51:33If they said the climate isn't changing, they'd have no reason to exist.
00:51:38The IPCC has a self-preservation instinct
00:51:41to show that climate change is an existential threat.
00:51:44Otherwise, there's no reason for them to be collecting the money
00:51:46and doing the work in the first place.
00:51:49There are not just now billions,
00:51:52but there are trillions of dollars at stake.
00:51:55There's a huge amount of money involved.
00:51:57This is a huge, big money scam.
00:52:00A lot of people's livelihoods depend on it.
00:52:03They're not going to give that up.
00:52:04If suddenly the notion becomes apparent that this is not such a problem,
00:52:12you're going to see that as an existential threat.
00:52:15Scientists who studied the natural causes of climate change
00:52:19began to be viewed with suspicion,
00:52:21as two Harvard astrophysicists discovered.
00:52:24How much does the sun change?
00:52:26And how does it change?
00:52:28And why does it change?
00:52:30And then we didn't even want to get into the temperature record.
00:52:34Immediately they would come after us
00:52:36because when we started to estimate that the sun changed
00:52:40significantly in terms of climatic sense,
00:52:43immediately the attack is there
00:52:45because it's not following the narrative
00:52:46because they need the CO2 to be the only one,
00:52:49the only dominant player.
00:52:51When you tried to say,
00:52:53well, you were just looking for the background of natural variability,
00:52:58the response would be,
00:53:00we can't have natural changes as an effect.
00:53:03It has to be human caused.
00:53:06And some of that was directly stated,
00:53:09but most of it was indirect.
00:53:12Your funding for this kind of project will be dropped.
00:53:15This kind of project doesn't go anywhere.
00:53:18By that time, anything that contradicted the narrative
00:53:24of global warming as a serious problem
00:53:28was not going to get funded.
00:53:31Editors of academic journals came under pressure
00:53:34not to accept papers
00:53:35which were deemed to be sceptical of the climate crisis.
00:53:39We will not publish anything that questions this.
00:53:44I mean, it's not something surreptitious.
00:53:47Scientists who dared to point out in public
00:53:50that there was no climate chaos
00:53:51began to be sidelined and shunned.
00:53:54If a scientifically qualified person stands up and says,
00:53:58we don't see an upward trend in the data on Pacific typhoons,
00:54:04well, suddenly they lose standing
00:54:05to address the topic of Pacific typhoons,
00:54:07not because what they said is wrong,
00:54:09but because it's off message.
00:54:11They can marginalize any kind of criticism of the narrative
00:54:16by saying you're not qualified to talk about this
00:54:20because you don't support the narrative.
00:54:23And then having marginalized everyone
00:54:25who doesn't support the narrative,
00:54:26they can turn around and say,
00:54:27well, everybody who counts supports the narrative,
00:54:29so we must be right.
00:54:31Environmental journalists ignored sceptics
00:54:34and instead offered headlines to anyone
00:54:36prepared to make the most outrageous claims
00:54:38and predictions about a climate apocalypse.
00:54:43It's gone to where it has nothing to do
00:54:44with the science anymore.
00:54:46It doesn't matter if your alarmist prediction
00:54:49doesn't come true.
00:54:50You're still going to retain your status as an expert
00:54:54and the media is still going to come
00:54:56and ask you for your opinion,
00:54:57even though you were crazy wrong about your predictions.
00:55:05But the consensus on climate
00:55:07is not only enforced by those in the climate industry.
00:55:10To explain the broader appeal of the climate alarm,
00:55:13we must look at the politics behind climate.
00:55:26From the start, the climate scare was political.
00:55:29It came from the environmental movement,
00:55:31the sworn enemy of free market industrial capitalism.
00:55:37Finally, we've got them.
00:55:40We can claim that it is the free markets
00:55:43who are destroying the planet
00:55:44and we need big government to save us.
00:55:48The climate problem, it is said,
00:55:50stems from the irresponsible actions
00:55:52of greedy, feckless individuals
00:55:54who have too many babies and drive too much
00:55:57and consume too many products.
00:55:59And of the capitalist corporations
00:56:01who pander to their whims.
00:56:03The solution is for government to have greater power
00:56:05to regulate private companies,
00:56:07but also to guide and reshape
00:56:09the lives and habits of individuals.
00:56:11The policy agenda has sprawled
00:56:14into micromanaging everybody's lives
00:56:17on the most minute detail.
00:56:18What kind of stove you can use,
00:56:20what kind of heater you can have,
00:56:22how much you can set the thermostat out,
00:56:23where you can drive, what kind of car.
00:56:25You can't, according to the planners,
00:56:28we're not going to have internal combustion engines
00:56:31an hour from now.
00:56:32All of these things require the government to get involved, right?
00:56:34Because the government has to sort of force changes
00:56:38upon the public.
00:56:39If it was up to the public,
00:56:40we wouldn't be buying electric vehicles
00:56:42because, you know, they're impractical.
00:56:45Support for the climate alarm
00:56:46is now virtually synonymous
00:56:48with disdain for free market capitalism
00:56:50and a yearning for bigger government.
00:56:53It's liberals versus conservatives
00:56:55in the United States.
00:56:56And generally speaking,
00:56:58liberals are worried that we're destroying the planet.
00:57:01And they're also, of course, for big government.
00:57:03And then conservatives are at the other end of the spectrum,
00:57:07where a lot of them don't believe
00:57:09that we're destroying the planet
00:57:11and they don't want government involved
00:57:13in their personal lives.
00:57:16Paying lip service to the climate alarm
00:57:18has become almost universal
00:57:19among those who depend on government
00:57:21for their livelihoods.
00:57:23This includes those in the publicly funded education,
00:57:25arts and science establishments.
00:57:28Tony Heller recalls his time at Los Alamos labs.
00:57:33The entire county of Los Alamos
00:57:35was kept going by government money,
00:57:38that we had the highest incomes in the state.
00:57:41So naturally, people who lived in Los Alamos
00:57:44supported big government
00:57:46because that was where their livelihood came from.
00:57:49That was where their good schools came from.
00:57:51You know, everything good in Los Alamos
00:57:53came from the government.
00:57:54So of course, they were all believers in big government.
00:58:00Among the largely publicly funded western intelligentsia,
00:58:03support for more government spending and regulation
00:58:06is almost a defining moral badge.
00:58:10In these circles, to question the climate alarm
00:58:12is socially unacceptable.
00:58:14To be a climate skeptic is taboo.
00:58:19Somebody that goes against it,
00:58:21it really does get met with a lot of anger and vitriol.
00:58:26And, you know, you're called a denier,
00:58:28a science denier and a heretic.
00:58:30Your colleagues won't engage with you anymore.
00:58:34You don't get invited to conferences.
00:58:37Your students may desert you.
00:58:41This is all really terrible.
00:58:44Professors Henrik Svensmark and Nir Shaviv
00:58:46describe what happened when they published their results
00:58:49on the climatic effects of solar activity.
00:58:52It was like all hell had broken loose because of this work.
00:58:57I had no idea that things would escalate as they did
00:59:02and it completely changed my life.
00:59:05Once we said that, people didn't like hearing it
00:59:10and we became a persona non grata.
00:59:13I mean, I have so many instances of people doing really nasty things.
00:59:20When I applied for a job,
00:59:23a group of scientists write to the university,
00:59:27say they shouldn't hire me.
00:59:30And that's a typical story, unfortunately.
00:59:36If you don't agree with a standard polemic,
00:59:39you become an outcast.
00:59:41You're shunned.
00:59:44As if you have leprosy.
00:59:47For Professor Sally Balliunas,
00:59:49the personal attacks became too much.
00:59:52I retired early.
01:00:00And my family said I should have retired even sooner,
01:00:04years sooner.
01:00:05So they noticed the toll.
01:00:07It took a toll on them and me.
01:00:13Dr Matthew Wielicki was an assistant professor of geology
01:00:16at the University of Alabama
01:00:18when he decided to speak out about the climate scare.
01:00:21As a result of the backlash, he has decided to leave teaching.
01:00:25To speak up about climate change in any sort of sceptical way
01:00:28was essentially career suicide, absolutely.
01:00:31There was no possible way that I would publish
01:00:35in quite a few of the mainstream journals
01:00:37that I was required to publish in.
01:00:39I essentially isolated myself from many of the funding institutions.
01:00:44This is one of the reasons you can build a consensus in a community
01:00:48is because anybody who is sceptical of that consensus
01:00:52essentially gets kicked out of the community.
01:00:54Speaking out in scientific ways
01:00:59that go contrary to the consensus,
01:01:02I would say is a career killer
01:01:04for people at the early stage of their careers.
01:01:08If I were 30 years old in a university
01:01:11trying to make a career,
01:01:13I would certainly keep my mouth shut.
01:01:15And in fact, I went to some effort
01:01:18to keep my mouth shut when I was younger.
01:01:20I knew climate was nonsense then,
01:01:22but I was a little bit careful.
01:01:25If a young person is questioning this,
01:01:28they can't put that in a proposal.
01:01:31The proposal will be denied
01:01:34and they can't effectively publish
01:01:37because the gatekeeper will keep them out.
01:01:39And so it would end their career.
01:01:43You have to go along with the global warming story.
01:01:47If you don't, you're going to get cut off.
01:01:49You're going to lose funding.
01:01:50You're going to get your career ruined.
01:01:52You're going to be trashed by the community.
01:01:54You'll be despised by your co-workers.
01:01:59The so-called consensus on climate
01:02:01has itself become a weapon,
01:02:03a form of bullying, intimidation and censorship
01:02:06used against those who refuse to conform.
01:02:09It's a tool that people use to bludgeon their opponents
01:02:13and the sceptics and to attack their character.
01:02:17According to its critics, far from being scientific,
01:02:21the militant intolerant climate consensus
01:02:23represents a devastating assault
01:02:25on free scientific inquiry.
01:02:28I see my job as a scientist
01:02:30as just laying out the facts
01:02:33and letting people decide what they want to do.
01:02:35When you can't talk about the facts,
01:02:39things become corrupt.
01:02:41If you shut the door on ideas,
01:02:43if you say you're not allowed to test it,
01:02:47you're not allowed to have that idea,
01:02:49you've left the realm of science.
01:02:53I don't think climate researchers
01:02:56will ever back down from their claim
01:02:59that increasing CO2 is the control knob
01:03:03on today's climate system.
01:03:05I don't think they will ever back down from that,
01:03:08no matter what the evidence is.
01:03:09It's clear it's now a cult
01:03:13that's completely divorced from science.
01:03:18But the apparently unstoppable climate scare
01:03:21does not just represent an attack on science.
01:03:24It is starting to shape for us a new kind of society.
01:03:28Environmentalists like to pose as anti-establishment,
01:03:32but their demands are well-received
01:03:33and piously echoed by King Charles
01:03:36and the Archbishop of Canterbury,
01:03:38the BBC, the UN, the EU,
01:03:41by heads of government,
01:03:42the World Bank and World Economic Forum,
01:03:45in fact, by the entire state-funded ruling establishment.
01:03:50Global warming is a global pandemic.
01:03:52It's a global pandemic.
01:03:54It's a global pandemic.
01:03:56Global warming is like the perfect problem
01:04:00that government can get involved in
01:04:03to grow the influence of government.
01:04:06It's a wonderful way to increase government power.
01:04:10And if there's an existential threat out there
01:04:14that's worldwide,
01:04:15well, you need a powerful worldwide government
01:04:19to cope with it.
01:04:20If you're a climate activist,
01:04:21you're actually facilitating a huge validation
01:04:27of the government running our lives.
01:04:29Many environmentalists, most environmentalists,
01:04:31all environmentalists
01:04:32who consider themselves to be radical, progressive alternatives
01:04:36are in fact simply reinforcing the mantras
01:04:39and the mainstream arguments of the entire establishment.
01:04:41The demands on the government
01:04:43mean that the government suddenly gains the authority
01:04:45to interfere into every nook and cranny of our lives
01:04:49and how we live.
01:04:50Everything has a climate narrative attached to it.
01:04:53How much you consume,
01:04:54where you spend your money,
01:04:55how much you travel,
01:04:57who you interact with,
01:04:58what types of food you eat,
01:05:00whether you eat meat.
01:05:01Everything has some sort of aspect
01:05:04that can be controlled with a climate lens.
01:05:08Suppose 20 years ago,
01:05:09somebody had hatched the idea
01:05:11that I would really like to ban cheap energy.
01:05:17I'd really like to control
01:05:18everybody's appliance purchases.
01:05:20I'd really like to tell everybody where they can go.
01:05:23And basically, I'd like to have
01:05:25dictatorial control over everything.
01:05:27Well, it's not going to fly.
01:05:28I know everybody would think you're a nut
01:05:30and would ignore you.
01:05:31But fast forward 20 years,
01:05:33that's what's happening.
01:05:36The publicly funded establishment in the West
01:05:38is so large and powerful,
01:05:41it is able to impose and enforce
01:05:43the official consensus on climate
01:05:45through its control of schools, universities,
01:05:47government, and much of the media.
01:05:53State broadcasters like the BBC
01:05:55exclude climate sceptics.
01:05:57Broadcasting regulatory bodies
01:05:59forbid private stations
01:06:00from disseminating sceptical views,
01:06:03threatening them with having
01:06:04their broadcasting licenses revoked.
01:06:08What normally happens in an emergency
01:06:10is that all normal forms of openness and democracy
01:06:14have to be suppressed,
01:06:16because how else to deal with an emergency?
01:06:19So we are facing a situation,
01:06:21not unlike lockdown,
01:06:23where basically all normal forms of behavior,
01:06:27normal forms of social communication,
01:06:30and normal forms of democracy
01:06:33are essentially ruled out.
01:06:37Activists are even calling
01:06:39for any scepticism to be criminalized.
01:06:42In certain jobs and professions,
01:06:44it is now dangerous to express dissent on climate.
01:06:47It's no surprise that people who are more sceptical
01:06:52will think twice before voicing their concerns,
01:06:56because they might risk their careers,
01:06:58they might risk their business,
01:07:00they might risk being sacked.
01:07:02If you're a professional of any kind
01:07:04in science or law or medicine,
01:07:07if you belong to a professional association
01:07:09or you are in a university,
01:07:11you can be fired for saying what you believe.
01:07:14The consequence is a censorious,
01:07:18authoritarian regime that has to control
01:07:22every move, every word,
01:07:24everything you want to do,
01:07:26because everything you do is a potential risk
01:07:31to the survival of mankind.
01:07:42Climate protesters condemn capitalism,
01:07:45but at their anti-capitalist rallies,
01:07:47it's hard to spot anyone who looks like a worker,
01:07:50like a docker or crane driver or steel worker
01:07:53or a beautician or a trucker.
01:07:56The workers, it appears, are totally absent
01:07:58from these rallies, and for very good reason.
01:08:01Today's climate alarmists complain
01:08:03not that capitalism isn't producing enough,
01:08:06but that it's producing too much.
01:08:09The modern capitalist system has led to prosperity.
01:08:13More and more people have more and more things.
01:08:16The modern anti-capitalism of the present time
01:08:19is a critique of capitalism that it gives us too much.
01:08:22They think that the problem with capitalism now,
01:08:25it's actually that it's giving out too many rewards
01:08:28en masse to ordinary workers,
01:08:31and what they want instead,
01:08:32and this is often very explicit, actually,
01:08:34is a much more austere, simple kind of lifestyle
01:08:38in which the mass consumption, the consumption choices
01:08:41of the great bulk of the population
01:08:43are controlled or even prohibited.
01:08:46You have to consume less, you have to holiday less,
01:08:50you have to drive less, you have to eat less, and so on.
01:08:54It seems that what upsets many environmentalists
01:08:57is not the failure, but rather the success of capitalism
01:09:00in producing an abundance of affordable goods for the masses.
01:09:05Ordinary working people, for once,
01:09:09we've arrived at a point in history,
01:09:11in the Western world at least,
01:09:13where mass manufacturing has allowed them cheap clothes,
01:09:17cheap food, cheap furniture, therefore you get a clash.
01:09:21When affluent environmentalists express their disdain
01:09:24for mass consumption,
01:09:26people going on those big, huge cruise ships,
01:09:30it's like thousands of them,
01:09:33it's like thousands of them, it's like, what are they doing?
01:09:35Oh my God, there's all those cruise ships,
01:09:37like ruining Venice, you know, ruining all our beautiful,
01:09:40we own them, don't we?
01:09:42They're not, what are they going there for?
01:09:44What you have here is a classic example of class hypocrisy
01:09:48and self-interest masquerading as public-spirited concern.
01:09:53You could take these kinds of green socialists
01:09:55much more seriously if they lived off-grid,
01:09:58they cut their own consumption down to the minimum,
01:10:00they never flew.
01:10:01Instead, you get constant talk
01:10:03about how human consumption is destroying the planet,
01:10:05but the people making all this talk
01:10:07show absolutely no signs of reducing their own.
01:10:12What environmentalists call degrowth
01:10:14is being achieved by the trashing
01:10:16of our conventional energy and transport systems
01:10:19and the forced introduction
01:10:21of expensive and unreliable alternatives.
01:10:24Already, this is having the desired effect
01:10:26on industrial manufacturing,
01:10:28which is straining under the burden
01:10:29of punitive green taxes and regulation
01:10:32and higher energy prices.
01:10:35The people behind the climate alarm
01:10:37couldn't give a damn about manufacturing.
01:10:39They have nothing to do with it.
01:10:40They don't know people who work in manufacturing
01:10:42whose jobs and lives depend on it.
01:10:45They're not excited by industry or industrial progress.
01:10:47They explicitly want to shut it down.
01:10:50Kisii, Kenya, East Africa.
01:10:54According to many leading environmentalists,
01:10:56the world's poorest people should not aspire
01:10:58to the lifestyle of people in the first world.
01:11:02The planet will not cope.
01:11:06Grace Nyakananda is one of the many Africans
01:11:08who do not have electricity or gas
01:11:10to cook with or heat their homes.
01:11:14She's a young woman who lives in a small village
01:11:17where she has no electricity or gas
01:11:19to cook with or heat their homes.
01:11:23The resulting indoor smoke
01:11:24from burning wood and dried dung
01:11:26is the deadliest form of pollution in the world,
01:11:29for millions, the cause of lung disease,
01:11:31blindness and early death.
01:11:47It's not just cheap, reliable electricity that Africa needs.
01:11:51Agricultural productivity here is incredibly low.
01:11:54Increasing it takes fossil fuels to make fertilizer
01:11:58and drive tractors and other farm machinery.
01:12:01Jasper Moshogu is a farmer.
01:12:04Each and every African wants to develop
01:12:07and increasing, improving agriculture
01:12:09is one of the easiest ways to do that.
01:12:12Agriculture is tightly tied to the environment.
01:12:16It's tied to fossil fuels.
01:12:19Fossil fuels that the Western nations are saying
01:12:23we should not have access to.
01:12:26Around a third of the food produced in Africa
01:12:29rots before it ever reaches the mouths of consumers.
01:12:32To prevent this terrible waste,
01:12:34Africa needs plastic packaging,
01:12:36refrigerated lorries and good roads.
01:12:39All are reposed by Western environmentalists.
01:12:42All come with industrial development.
01:12:44All rely on affordable fossil fuel energy.
01:12:48Diarrhoea from drinking dirty water
01:12:50still kills hundreds of thousands of African children.
01:12:54But clean water requires large industrial water purification plants
01:12:58and a modern water supply network.
01:13:01And this will come only with cheap energy.
01:13:04I think it's pretty obvious that the West
01:13:08has got what it has because of fossil fuels.
01:13:11When people say Africa doesn't need fossil fuels,
01:13:14I wonder.
01:13:15I don't think they want what's best for us.
01:13:17They don't want us to develop
01:13:19and that means we continue being starving.
01:13:22We continue being poor.
01:13:26Most people don't know what climate change is.
01:13:28They don't care.
01:13:29They just want food on their table.
01:13:32They want to beat poverty.
01:13:33They want to beat hunger.
01:13:35They need money to better their lives.
01:13:37They want to flourish.
01:13:38That's just it.
01:13:41When they use the word sustainable development,
01:13:43they're talking about no development.
01:13:45Exactly.
01:13:46The point is that to develop sustainably
01:13:48means not to use too much energy,
01:13:50not to use too much carbon, net zero,
01:13:53the idea that you mustn't use too many resources,
01:13:54the fact you mustn't produce enough consumer goods
01:13:57because consumption is bad.
01:13:58So ultimately, the idea of development is out the window.
01:14:04The Greens think the Africans should never use their resources
01:14:10the way the Europeans or the Americans
01:14:12or the Canadians or the Australians have used theirs.
01:14:16They are also in favour of punitive taxes,
01:14:20border taxes on any African country
01:14:23that wants to export their goods to Europe
01:14:26if they do use their resources.
01:14:28So that sums up the ethical ruthlessness
01:14:34and depravity of the Green agenda.
01:14:39But climate alarmists have a problem.
01:14:42Many countries in Africa and across Asia
01:14:45are simply ignoring the environmentalist demands
01:14:47of Western governments and international agencies.
01:14:50Communist China is estimated to be building an average
01:14:53of two new coal power plants a week.
01:14:56China now uses more coal than the rest of the world combined.
01:15:02Which is one of the reasons
01:15:03why this whole climate agenda is falling apart
01:15:06because the rest of the world is not cutting emissions,
01:15:09is not moving to renewables.
01:15:12In the West too, for many people,
01:15:14climate alarmism is wearing thin.
01:15:20Ordinary people are not stupid.
01:15:22They have seen one ridiculous claim
01:15:24after another fail over and over.
01:15:26What this does is leave people
01:15:28with a profound and justified cynicism
01:15:31about what the scientific establishment says
01:15:33and about what the government says.
01:15:37To fix the climate crisis,
01:15:38we're told we must give up our cars.
01:15:43We must pay more for fuel, heating, clothes, food,
01:15:47fly less, limit where we go.
01:15:50This attack on mass travel, mass tourism,
01:15:53mass consumption holds little appeal to the masses.
01:15:59People have started to realise
01:16:00it's going to cost them a lot of money
01:16:02to simply live the lives that they weren't leading,
01:16:04that they want to lead.
01:16:06And as soon as that started to happen,
01:16:08I could see people in the United Kingdom
01:16:11who had previously been indifferent to environmentalism,
01:16:14suddenly think, how dare they do that, right?
01:16:17How dare they try and take away
01:16:19what we consider to be not luxuries, but necessities.
01:16:23The whole policy of sustainability is about restraint.
01:16:26It's about restrictions, it's about doing less.
01:16:30And that obviously for most people
01:16:32is anathema to their everyday needs.
01:16:34The fact that there is actually
01:16:35an ideological movement of people
01:16:38who think that cheap mass production
01:16:41of whether it's houses or anything else is a problem.
01:16:46I mean, for God's sake,
01:16:47no wonder people become disdainful
01:16:51of the kind of middle-class outlook of environmentalism.
01:16:54But that is literally what people say.
01:16:56How can we stop people buying cheap things in shops?
01:17:03When climate protesters climbed onto an underground train
01:17:06in London's East End,
01:17:08they were not cheered on by working commuters.
01:17:11They were held abuse, pelted, angrily dragged off the train
01:17:15and received rough treatment on the platform.
01:17:18If you were to go into a pub
01:17:22frequented mainly by what the Americans call
01:17:24blue collar workers,
01:17:26you will find that being sceptical
01:17:29about climate change policy
01:17:30is not going to get you thrown out.
01:17:32Quite the contrary,
01:17:33some people will probably buy you a drink.
01:17:35They can tell that behind all the talk
01:17:37about climate, emergency, climate crisis,
01:17:40what there actually is,
01:17:42is an animus and a hostility towards them,
01:17:45their lifestyle, their beliefs
01:17:48and a desire to change it by force if necessary.
01:17:55Punitive and restrictive policies
01:17:57carried out both in the name of climate change and COVID
01:18:01have sparked protests in Britain, Canada
01:18:03and other Western countries.
01:18:05Anti-establishment politicians and movements
01:18:08are gaining support.
01:18:11What they underestimated was the fury
01:18:14that this would meet with ordinary people
01:18:17who just say, you can't do this.
01:18:18So you suddenly get this new movement.
01:18:22Many working people are not merely sceptical
01:18:25but positively angry about the climate alarm
01:18:27and all that flows from it.
01:18:30There is a suspicion or perhaps realisation
01:18:34that climate change is an invented scare,
01:18:37driven by self-interest and snobbery.
01:18:40Cynically promoted by a parasitic,
01:18:43publicly funded establishment
01:18:45hungry for ever more money and power.
01:18:48An assault on the freedom and prosperity
01:18:51of the rest of us.