Get ready for an action-packed Football Friday! Peter Klein dives deep into the full NFL Week 6 preview, giving you all the insights you need to stay ahead of the game. Discover key matchups, player predictions, and expert analysis for each exciting game on the schedule. Peter also provides fantasy breakdowns, helping you make informed decisions to optimize your lineup. Peter also gives his thoughts on every game on the CFL schedule for Week 19 as well.
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Twitter: twitter.com/primetimeklein
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SportsTranscript
00:00Welcome, everyone, to Couch Potato Diary.
00:08Happy Football Friday.
00:09My name is Peter Klein, and thank you very much for tuning in today.
00:14Long-time viewers and listeners will be like, Football Friday?
00:18I thought it was Fights and Football Friday.
00:20And it still is, just in a different way.
00:22So I've kind of been, like, teasing, ooh, big announcement on these.
00:29I, first of all, I don't like to say, oh, big announcement coming.
00:33It's like, yeah, announcement coming.
00:35But also, I do think I blabbed about this earlier in the week, so again, for those following,
00:40and also for Conrad, who I just talked to about this stuff, this isn't a giant shock.
00:45But ya boy is going back into the mainstream, kind of.
00:50I am going to be on Sportsnet 960, The Fan, from 1 to 3 with Logo, every Friday, from
00:57here on forward.
00:59So things around these parts are going to be changing a little bit.
01:05Not a ton, just timing-wise, and different things like that.
01:10It's been always very important to me, whenever I go do anything with 960, to just let them
01:16know, like, look, I want to keep doing everything else that I am doing, because I love doing
01:21these.
01:22Since we've been going live with these, I have been having the time of my life that
01:24this is the most fun I've had doing anything Couch Potato-y so far, is doing the shows,
01:29doing them live.
01:31We got Gino back in the chat, he's getting ready for the Pats and the Swift Current Broncos.
01:38No, I am not abandoning Conrad on Game Over.
01:42Sportsnet has been, I was going to say they've been very supportive of it.
01:46That isn't entirely accurate, although they haven't been unsupportive of it, they just
01:49haven't said anything about it.
01:52Probably most it has been is like, hey, are you still doing that thing?
01:54It's like, yes, we're still doing that thing.
01:57Okay, cool.
01:58So I probably won't be plugging it on the air a whole lot when I'm there, but yes, I'm
02:02going to be back on Sportsnet 960 from 1 to 3 Mountain Time every Friday with Logan Gordon,
02:09and so that obviously changes things here, because I am supposed to be there for noon
02:15every day to get ready for the show, and it takes me about 40 minutes from here to walk
02:20down there, and parking's a drag, so I'm not going to try to drive.
02:24Also, I don't get paid nearly enough to pay for parking downtown.
02:27So because these shows have been going a little bit longer than they were in the past, and
02:33generally around an hour, A, seven minutes of discussion about what I am doing, wildly
02:42inefficient use of time.
02:44But also, we are going to split up Fights and Football Fridays from now on.
02:49So for the early part, we're still going to go live at 10 every day, but we got a hard-ish
02:57out between 11 and 11.10 Mountain Time, which again, makes this whole description very inefficient
03:04use of time, but I still just wanted to get it out.
03:06But yes, we are going to do Football Friday from 10 to 11 in this slot every day, and
03:11then I am going to go to Sportsnet 960 and do all the blibbity blabbity stuff that I
03:16do on there.
03:18And then I am going to come back here, and at an undetermined time, you will just have
03:23to follow me on social media, at PrimetimeKlein, and hopefully the notification thing on here
03:28gets better.
03:30But we will be going live with Fighting Fridays after everything at 960 is done.
03:35Because generally, the football stuff is A, what a lot of people in here want to talk
03:39about anyway, when we've been going live at 10.
03:42So that's what I wanted to keep.
03:43And also, it's not super time-sensitive, although we are talking about the CFL as well,
03:48and they have games on Friday nights, and so I want to get all of that out as quickly
03:51as I can.
03:53And the fight stuff, none of this stuff is happening on Friday, for the most part, right?
04:00So we can kind of, that's for Saturday and Sunday and all of that, so we can push that
04:04off to later.
04:05So, keep it locked on my socials, at PrimetimeKlein, for all of those things, for all the updates.
04:13And everything like that.
04:14There may be a little more coming with me, again, I'm not going there full-time.
04:19It would take a lot for that to happen, to be perfectly honest.
04:22But I am going to be going back there, and there is a chance for a slight expansion of
04:27things, which would mean everything around here would have to change again.
04:29But, I mean, if you guys have been following me for a while, you know, it's always ever-changing.
04:34The second I set something in stone, something changes.
04:37So that's just kind of been the thing.
04:41Gino asking, those graphics are nasty, who made them, or are you a wizard?
04:47I don't know if you're talking about this, or with Game Over, with all the, everything
04:51couch potato is me.
04:53So to say I made these would be a bit of a stretch.
04:55I put my stuff into Canva templates, and am able to shoot them out.
05:01So that's what it is.
05:02All the Game Over graphics and stuff, it's been a team effort.
05:05Maude, Charlie, and Kaia has been doing a lot, and Andrew just does everything for everything.
05:11So I'm sure I missed someone in all of that.
05:12But let's get going now.
05:15Long explanation is over.
05:16Let's get into the football and break down every game from the National Football League.
05:26This time I made sure to write into my script, FANTASY, so that I keep skipping these games
05:32and having to go back and answer and all of those sorts of things.
05:37So, going to be running through every game on the NFL slate this upcoming week.
05:42And we begin very early, over in England, it is the Jacksonville Jaguars taking on the
05:48Chicago Bears.
05:49The Bears are favored by a point with the total sitting at 44 and a half.
05:54And one of those, yes, Dino, we will be talking about the 3-2 Denver Broncos.
05:58I saw that this week doing my power rankings, and could not believe it.
06:05That is an excellent statement on where the NFL is at this point right now.
06:10Gross.
06:11But anyway, the Bears favored by a point in this game, and a lot of the talk coming in
06:16is, oh well, basically home field advantage for Jacksonville, right?
06:20I know they're not the home team, but basically home field advantage.
06:25So why would anyone pick Chicago?
06:28Jacksonville, I believe the stat is they're 6-5 in these London games.
06:32So, I mean, that's better than their home record was in Jacksonville, a lot of times.
06:38But still, this is not a dominant home field advantage, whatever, whatever, whatever.
06:44They do know a few things, right?
06:45Like, you know, you know how to figure out the body clock, and you know how to adjust
06:48to all the times, and you know the places to go to eat, and you know the places to not
06:51go to eat, and all of those sorts of things.
06:54But when it comes down to the actual football, it hasn't really meant a whole lot.
06:57And so, I do not want to put a whole lot of weight into that when analyzing this football
07:03game.
07:04I more so want to look at what I think would happen if these two teams were playing at
07:09McMahon Stadium in Calgary, not necessarily whatever soccer stadium it's going to be at
07:13this time around.
07:14So, I still think that this is advantage Jacksonville.
07:17I think that their defense is just so good that it is, I assume this defense gives everyone
07:24problems.
07:25And I think if you guys have been watching this enough, you know that for Jacksonville,
07:30I do not view their offense as one that is matchup proof.
07:34Quite the opposite, actually.
07:37So I think that this is going to be a Chicago defense that gives Jacksonville a whole lot
07:42of issues.
07:43And then on the Chicago side of things, when they have the football, Jacksonville's defense
07:48right now is 32nd in defensive DVOA, which is a stat that measures efficiencies and things
07:53like that.
07:54So, I, while I'm still hesitant to put all of my chips into the middle on a Chicago offense,
08:07I do think that this week, you can trust them a little bit more because of, like, Joe Flacco
08:13ripped them a new one last week.
08:16And so part of the stats are going to be skewed because of how that game went.
08:20But I do think that you see that there is quite a few areas on the Colts that you can
08:25exploit.
08:26And Caleb Williams is getting better and better and better each week, and more and
08:29more comfortable each week.
08:32And so I think that you trust Chicago in this game.
08:34I'm going Bears minus one as a pick, and I'm going with the under at 44 and a half.
08:39And again, because there are certain rules on this platform about gambling and all of
08:43that stuff, these are just what I would do.
08:45I'm not telling you to do that.
08:48But yes, those are ones that I would pick, and the whole purpose of this segment is a
08:53pick per game.
08:54I've kind of gotten away from calling it that gimmick-wise because there are some Fridays
08:58that I just missed.
08:59But yes, we are going to, I do a pick per game, and then we'll keep track of how everything
09:04goes, and I will let you know on all of that.
09:07Before we get to our next game, Conrad in the chat, speaking of McMahon, have you heard
09:11if the new turf they're installing is FIFA approved?
09:14I have not heard that.
09:17I...
09:18Anything with McMahon, I assume, is barely approved by any health standard or anything
09:25like that.
09:26So to think that it would be a FIFA approved turf would be, I think, very optimistic.
09:32I think it would be sweet if they could do something like that and start to build that,
09:36because it's obvious.
09:37Conrad, you know, with the support around Cavalry FC, I think there is a significantly
09:43more of a footy following out here in Calgary than I think people would give this city credit
09:49for.
09:50And so I'm not saying like, oh yeah, no, just bring the national team here all the time.
09:55But I do think that there would be at least an appetite if you wanted to do something
09:59with them.
10:00Now the problem is, you have a stadium that holds twice as many people three hours from
10:03here, up in Edmonton.
10:05And so it would be, it's a tough argument to say, no, just do it here, because anyone
10:08who would come here can just go there, and the place holds more, and so you can make
10:12more money.
10:13It would be a bit of a tricky thing, but I would like for there to be a bit more of a
10:17focus on that sport here in Calgary, because it is something that is, I think, growing
10:23in a very significant way.
10:25Back to the other style of football.
10:28It is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers taking on the New Orleans Saints.
10:31Bucs favored by three and a half, the total in this game is at 41 and a half.
10:35And the entire analysis of this is I just cannot get behind trusting Spencer Rattler.
10:41Now, I will say, New Orleans' success for a lot of parts this season, I don't think
10:47has been because the quarterback is just awesome and dragging this team.
10:51You know, like the whole, um, move the sticks analogy that I like to use with Daniel Jeremiah
10:57and Bucky Brooks.
10:58By the way, just speaking this into the universe, Daniel Jeremiah, dream guest of mine, whether
11:03it be on here or on Sportsnet 960, that is a dude that I would just love to talk team
11:08building with for hours and hours and hours on end.
11:10But one of the things that they talked about is, are you a truck or are you a trailer?
11:14And Derek Carr has spent about 5% of his career being a truck, and then he got injured and
11:21went into trailer status for forever.
11:23So there isn't, and I think that is showing up in this number, um, there isn't, I think,
11:29a significant decrease if Derek Carr isn't the quarterback for the New Orleans Saints.
11:34Although I will say, if Carr was playing in this game, I do think that the Saints are
11:37probably favored.
11:38Maybe there is a bit more of a shift number-wise than you would think, but, so I do think New
11:44Orleans can keep it close.
11:45And I do think that that defense is good enough that they are going to be able to keep it
11:49close.
11:50And Tampa Bay's defense, we've seen, a little leaky, a little leaky at times, right?
11:54So there is, I think, a few ways you can talk yourself into a New Orleans number.
12:00But I just can't get behind going with a rookie quarterback in this particular game.
12:06We have seen how much it takes rookie quarterbacks to get going.
12:11And so to go with Spencer Rattler here, with minimal reps and all of those things, I just
12:17can't get there.
12:18So we are going to go Tampa Bay minus 3.5, and we are going to go with the under at 41.5.
12:23And I am now realizing that I said I wrote fantasy in here so I wouldn't skip it, and
12:26then I skipped it on the very first one.
12:28So we will do the fantasy advice here for Tampa Bay, New Orleans, and then go back to
12:31Jacksonville, Chicago after.
12:33For this game, I think you have to trust your main starters for Tampa Bay.
12:38Evans is a start every week.
12:40Godwin has turned into a start every week.
12:43Rashad White, I would try to find a better option than him, but I would also understand
12:50if you can't.
12:52But this is not one that I think you roll with Bucky Irving or anything like that.
12:55Also, there isn't going to be a whole lot of tight end analysis in this game, or this
13:00week in fantasy in general, because that position is just weird magic that doesn't make any
13:06sense and is difficult to try to track and follow in any meaningful way.
13:10So it is tough to say, oh, well, no, it's this guy over this guy.
13:14You're trying to figure out which predominantly large white man is going to trip into the
13:19end zone with the football.
13:20That's basically what the tight end position has come down to in fantasy.
13:23So if you think it is one of the guys who you have, great.
13:27If you think it's a different person that is on the waiver wire, do that too.
13:32It's very difficult to find tight end analysis.
13:34If you have a specific tight end question, or any questions at all, ask me in the chat.
13:38But yeah, for now, I don't know, maybe, is the answer on all of them.
13:43For Tampa Bay, it's a no on Rattler, although if you wanted to, I didn't even look, if you
13:50wanted to put together a DraftKings lineup, let's just see real quick, what even is Spencer
13:58Rattler price-wise?
13:59No, I don't agree to marketing, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
14:03What even is this kid in Daily?
14:07Also, just for those who play DraftKings, let me know.
14:10I hate that the main option is just the main, basically the red zone slate, right?
14:20The 11 o'clock slot and the 2 o'clock slot, for those of us here in Mountain Time, 1 and
14:244, for those who actually follow it that way.
14:26I am always having to go to, okay, no, we're doing the Monday nighter and the Sunday nighter
14:30in there as well, because those are actual football games too.
14:33So, like, unless I have, if I go through and it's like, oh, I actually don't have anyone
14:37in either of these games, maybe I'll take a look at those, but I hate that the default
14:41option is to just exclude some of those games.
14:44I just, I have never understood it.
14:46Spencer right now is $4,000 as a quarterback, which is below everybody.
14:53Like Kenny Pickett is $4,700 and he is the backup quarterback for the Philadelphia Eagles.
15:01So that's, that's where we're at in terms of Spencer Rattler's price.
15:06So if you want a major discount at quarterback and think that he and Olave will team together
15:12for a great performance, then go for it.
15:15But I, otherwise I think it would be tough to trust Spencer Rattler this week.
15:19I do think that you have to kind of go with Olave and Kamara just because of how talented
15:24they are and just kind of hope for the best in that situation.
15:29But the rest of them, like, this is not a week that I am trusting Shahid.
15:32The other one, I know I just said no tight end analysis and now here we are, but maybe
15:37this is just anecdotal.
15:38I don't really have the statistical evidence to back it up, but I do feel like rookie quarterbacks
15:44trust their tight ends and it seems like there's no Taysom Hill in this game.
15:48So Juwan Johnson is, I think, someone who I, I do believe of that clumped together group
15:55of tight ends, he is one who like in the whole, like, it's like a cartoon where all the different
16:03things are piled up and it's these circles and it's just limbs or whatever.
16:06Juwan Johnson's head kind of just sticks out over the crowd in that big muddled mess
16:12of a cartoon ball that is the tight end spot in fantasy right now.
16:16So I think of those awful ones, you can trust him maybe a little bit more.
16:21Going back to Jacksonville against Chicago for fantasy advice.
16:26I would try to avoid most jags in this game.
16:30This is not a Trevor Lawrence game.
16:32I think this pass rush really disrupts things.
16:35So I would look for a different option other than Trevor Lawrence.
16:39You probably have to start ETN and I do think that he gets a little bit, but I don't even
16:44know if this is a Bigsby game necessarily.
16:47So I would maybe look to avoid that.
16:49Hey Deeds, how's it going?
16:51Thanks for popping in today.
16:53The only jag pass catching option I would consider would be Brian Thomas Jr. as he is
16:57turned into that type of a play every week.
17:00For Chicago, I think you give a few guys a look.
17:02Caleb Williams, I'm still not all the way there in trusting him to the point of suggesting
17:08that he's starting fantasy football yet.
17:10But it's an option if you have, I was going to say if you have Mahomes.
17:15If you have Mahomes, maybe you're looking for a different option.
17:17Anyway.
17:18Swift, I think you kind of trust and just kind of like, ew, wince a little bit because
17:23it hasn't looked great this year.
17:25For super deep leagues, and as we talked about last week, that would be 14, 16 team leagues
17:29and anything beyond.
17:30We had some sickos in 18 team leagues, how dare you?
17:33But I think you can go with Roshun Johnson and again just hope that he stumbles into
17:38the end zone.
17:39But I like the pass catching options and I like the town ends this week for Chicago.
17:43Moving on.
17:44At Lambeau Field, it is the Green Bay Packers taking on the Arizona Cardinals.
17:48The total is at 47.5 with the Packers favored by 5 points.
17:53I don't know if we will have a defensive stop in this game at all.
17:58I think that both teams' defenses have shown some weaknesses.
18:03The good thing for Green Bay is McKinney keeps getting interceptions every week.
18:07Last week they did limit the LA Rams offense, but it still wasn't as dominant as you would
18:12like it to be with the Rams having one good player on the offensive side.
18:17So I think that you can still kind of take from that that Green Bay's defense has some
18:23work that needs to be done.
18:26And Arizona's defense had a couple of weeks where, oh, maybe there's something, oh no,
18:30no it's not.
18:31No, no, no, there's just, there's not.
18:33The one thing you're hoping for on the Green Bay side is that Jordan Love kind of gets
18:37it back together.
18:38Because again, this offense probably shouldn't have had as many issues as they did against
18:43the LA Rams.
18:44And so I am assuming that it's going to get back on track.
18:47But it is the one thing that is keeping me from absolutely clicking on the Green Bay
18:51pick if you know what I mean.
18:53So we're going to avoid that one.
18:54I am also going to say, um, over 47 and a half.
18:58And so for the purposes of tracking for the pick per game thing, I am going to say Green
19:02Bay minus 5, but I am also going to put over at 47 and a half.
19:06From a fantasy standpoint, stardom if you got him in this one.
19:10I don't think either defense is any good.
19:13I think you can roll with both quarterbacks.
19:14I think you can run with Connor and Jacobs in this game.
19:17Even for the 14 and 16 teamers, Emmanuel Wilson could be an option.
19:22And all the wide receivers.
19:24Marvin Harrison is a must.
19:25Jaden Reid has turned into a must.
19:27But I think you can go with the secondary options.
19:28I do, as we've talked about, Michael Wilson is someone who has turned into a viable threat
19:34for the Arizona Cardinals in fantasy football.
19:37And I do think that Romeo Dubs' temper tantrum is going to help get him a little bit more.
19:44And I think you can trust the tight ends in this game.
19:46So yeah, smoke him if you got him in this Arizona-Green Bay matchup.
19:50On the opposite end of that, we go to Tennessee, where the Titans are taking on the Indianapolis
19:54Colts.
19:56The Titans favored by two and a half points, with a total of 42 and a half.
20:00My pick for this game is Tennessee minus two and a half, because I think they have just
20:05a couple more good players than Indy.
20:07Neither of these teams is playing very well right now.
20:11We have question marks around the quarterbacks at both teams.
20:14Will Levis gets hurt a couple of weeks ago, but they have the bye week.
20:18A lot of presumptions is that he is ready to go.
20:21And now, Anthony Richardson has been back at practice, and doing the damn thing there.
20:25Which, I don't think that helps or hinders this offense in any way, shape, or form.
20:30So, these are two teams that I don't really have a great grasp on.
20:34I continue to think that Tennessee should be better than they are, and I kind of continue
20:38to think that Indy should be worse than they are.
20:40And so, I am going to make a prediction based off of that, and go with Tennessee minus two
20:47and a half.
20:48But this is the furthest thing from a game that I'm going to be clicking on.
20:50From a fantasy standpoint, I don't want any of the quarterbacks.
20:53Even if Joe Flacco is in there, I don't really want it.
20:57For running back on Tennessee, Pollard's a start.
21:00He's worked his way into that.
21:01And TyJ Spears is getting a little bit more of the offense as the season goes along, so
21:05for the 14 and 16 teamers, you can go with that one as well.
21:10And honestly, because we have bye week situations and stuff like that, it might be a play you
21:13have to go with anyway.
21:15Calvin Ridley, again, is a flex consideration.
21:19I think you can trust him.
21:21Waiting for DeHop to break out.
21:22I'm wondering when Nuke Hopkins is going to have his moment here and start to get going
21:27with this offense, because he is way too talented to be as quiet as he has been so far this
21:32year.
21:33On the Colt side, it sounds like Jonathan Taylor is not practicing still.
21:37Sermon didn't look great last week, and the Titans, I have a perception of them that their
21:43defense is pretty good.
21:44Let's just see here real quick, what has Tennessee done against fantasy running backs
21:49this year?
21:50This is always tricky to do the research for me, because I'm in seven leagues, and a few
21:54of them have different scoring, but I know that I set up the Vampire one to have just
21:58as vanilla, or in this case, mayo in your coffee scoring as possible.
22:04So what have the Titans done against running backs this year?
22:08It has been, okay, well, they've given up the 20th most fantasy points to running backs
22:12this season.
22:13So Sermon isn't necessarily one that I think you have to rush out and start.
22:17There are, in most cases, if you got him, you kind of have to, but I wouldn't be rushing
22:22to it.
22:23And I think there's a good comparison in this game.
22:25Deeds saying Spears was a bye week grab for me.
22:30I think I might trust Spears more than I trust Sermon in this game.
22:34That's kind of where I have those guys at.
22:36Michael Pittman is an IR player now, so I think that Downs has a real opportunity to
22:42step up and show what he can do.
22:43We saw Pierce be the deep ball guy last week.
22:46That is a, if you're projected to lose, let's take a home run swing with this kid and see
22:50what he's got.
22:52But I think there are a couple of passing options in Indy, but basically everyone in
22:56this game, with the exception of probably Pollard, is flex consideration at best.
23:02Philadelphia taking on the Cleveland Browns.
23:04The Eagles favored by 9.5, with a total at 42.5.
23:08This is such a difficult one to look at, but I think this is the most intriguing game
23:13of the week.
23:14Because the Cleveland Browns have obviously quit.
23:16Like, it's just, it's done.
23:20They have packed it up and just enjoying the finer parts of being in Cleveland in autumn.
23:27Because they, offensively, if they make a play, odds are it's coming back because of
23:31a penalty.
23:32Defensively, they have talented players, but they're out on the field a whole lot because
23:35the offense can't do shit.
23:36And so they get worn down.
23:38And I think just emotionally this team is beat to hell.
23:42So I would have some concerns about everything on the Cleveland side.
23:47But for Philadelphia, it has not looked great this season.
23:51They have picked up wins, which have been nice, but it hasn't really looked as convincing
23:57as you would have hoped it would if you were, say, a podcast host who picked them to win
24:02the division and finish first in the conference.
24:05That really hasn't played out in the strong, convincing way that I would hope.
24:11Right now, they are a game and a half back of the commanders for first in this division,
24:15so not where we thought they would be.
24:17It looked really bad against Tampa Bay a couple of weeks ago.
24:22They did just enough to beat New Orleans.
24:25And it looked better than I think 15-12 would lead you to believe, but still not great.
24:29It didn't look great against Atlanta, and it looked okay at times against Green Bay,
24:34but that was a weird one with the turf being what it was.
24:36This needs to be a convincing win for the Philadelphia Eagles, and it just hasn't at
24:42any point this year.
24:44And so that is where I have kind of the trepidation that, like, it just feels like... it's one
24:51of the things we talked about, honestly, I know I've just bounced between three different
24:53thoughts.
24:54Hey, can you... can you tell that I kind of upped the vibe ounce today?
25:01But for the NFL this year, any time we have said, you know what, this needs to be a statement
25:08game for this team, it hasn't been.
25:11And there's such a trend with teams who are underdogs by more than five and a half points
25:15just winning straight up, that while it's difficult to trust the Cleveland Browns, I
25:20think you can at least put a bit of a sprinkle of hope, if you know what I mean, on the Browns
25:26as a bit of an underdog play here, because I just can't trust that Philadelphia is going
25:31to get it worked out.
25:32And so, against all better judgment, I am going Cleveland to plus nine and a half.
25:37But again, the furthest thing that I would be looking at in terms of making any type
25:44of a financial investment in anything in this game, Conrad going, die Eagles, die.
25:51Conrad, I don't know if we've talked about, who is your football team?
25:55You know what, we probably have, and I forgot, and I'm really sorry about that.
25:58I just kind of assumed because of San Diego ties, we were Chargers people, but I mean,
26:03because of San Diego ties, maybe we're not Chargers people, so, but we're obviously
26:07not, okay, we are Chargers people, okay.
26:09That is very aggressive against the Eagles then, but understanding, it's been frustrating
26:15so far this year.
26:17Ah, that's it.
26:19We got there.
26:20See, when in doubt, just assume that.
26:22So that checks out for sure.
26:24Also, sorry, I forget that I put these up on social media, or not on social media, I
26:29put these up on YouTube and in podcast form after, and the chat doesn't pop up in there,
26:33so they don't have a clue what we're talking about.
26:36Conrad says, die Eagles, die in the chat.
26:38I say, I thought you were a Chargers fan, he says I am, and then fuck Dean Spanos.
26:42So that is the second part of the phone call that you guys couldn't listen to when I was
26:47just rambling on there.
26:49From a fantasy standpoint, I know I just said that I don't think the Eagles get it done,
26:53but I do think that you have to trust your Eagles in fantasy this week.
26:58Jalen Hurts probably, you know, even though it hasn't looked all that good, where is Jalen
27:02Hurts?
27:03I don't know why I keep closing the fantasy thing on my, um, I keep closing the fantasy
27:08thing on my laptop.
27:09Well, I know why.
27:10It's because I'm constantly worried that we're going to be having those delay issues again,
27:14and so having more than two windows open at one time just feels like it would completely
27:18overwhelm anything that I am doing, which is, again, a great fear to have as a streamer.
27:25Pupsnap.
27:26Thanks, Juju.
27:27Man.
27:28Juju Smith-Schuster.
27:29Helping people out.
27:31That is, that is for sure.
27:33What a performance last week, and again, maybe go out and check and just see, where's, where's
27:37this guy sitting right now, waverwire-wise?
27:39Because I think that he's going to have a lot of options, or a lot of games like that,
27:43maybe not necessarily points-wise, but targets-wise and opportunity-wise, and I think that because
27:48there aren't a lot of buy, maybe a whole lot of people aren't necessarily picking him
27:51up.
27:52Jalen Hurts right now is, well, I guess it's weird to take a look at where they're ranking
27:58because we're into buy weeks and stuff like that, so he did miss a week, but right now
28:01he is very low on the quarterback list.
28:04I do think you have to kind of trust him this week.
28:06As Conrad says in the chat, the Browns are the, uh, the Browns are the Browns.
28:11Um.
28:12Oh, I think that was directed to the Browns are the Browns comment.
28:15That's fair.
28:16But still, gave me a chance to throw some Juju Smith-Schuster analysis in there, which
28:20we always like to take it.
28:22But for the, uh, for fantasy for this game, I do think that you kind of have to roll with
28:27Hurts and see, but because he has Brown and Smith back, we are assuming, I think that
28:32this offense does get back to what we think it is going to be.
28:36Saquon Barkley's always amazing, so you have to go with him, and from the tight end position,
28:40again, Dallas Goddard is better than most, so roll with it.
28:44For the Browns, I'm not sure who you're trusting in this matchup, to be perfectly honest with
28:49you.
28:50Jerome Ford, I'm still waiting for him to break out, I still think there's a talented
28:53running back in there, I just think the situation's really bad, also I don't know if I'm trusting
28:57the offensive line there a whole lot, but Ford is probably a flex option, but even like
29:02Amari Cooper at this point, there are probably some rosters that have Amari Cooper on there
29:07that have three better options than Amari Cooper because of how bad this offense is.
29:12Cooper is so good that if you want to throw him in there and hope that you take advantage
29:16against a Philadelphia secondary that has been taken advantage of, I have no problem
29:20with it, but I'm the furthest thing from suggesting that he is a must-start this week.
29:25On to Houston, against the New England Patriots.
29:32Texans favored by six and a half, the total is at 37 and a half.
29:35I, again, everything in me is saying, hey, do not trust going with Drake May in this
29:44spot because as we have talked about here, Drake May is obviously the better quarterback
29:49than Jacoby Brissette is, but this team is not set up to help a rookie quarterback thrive
29:55in the National Football League, and so for him to be getting his first real game snaps
30:00behind an offensive line that is leaky against a Houston pass rush that, while Houston's
30:07defense maybe has taken the slightest step back, the pass rush hasn't.
30:11And so I have real concerns about the safety of Drake May in this game.
30:16I think that they are going to be relentless in getting after him and really putting some
30:21pressure on Drake May.
30:23So I do feel like this is a tough spot that New England is putting this kid in.
30:31I do think that there is a concern, though, in Houston.
30:36The offense still hasn't really put it all together.
30:38They looked dominant against Buffalo.
30:41They looked like a team that scored more than 23 points when you just look at the game and
30:47how it was played, but it still hasn't really clicked.
30:51And the one thing New England can do, it's defend on not Thursday night games.
30:56And now, no Niko Collins in the lineup for the Houston Texans, and a New England defense
31:02that does a pretty good job of taking away the number one options on those teams, I do
31:07think that they are going to be a team that tries to take Stephon Diggs away, and if you
31:12can connect on with Takedell deep over the top, by all means go for it, but he is, we're
31:17not going to let Stephon Diggs beat us.
31:20If you're going to hit a couple of big shots, go for it, but that's going to have to be
31:23the way that you win this game.
31:24So I actually think, like, the under is THE play in this one.
31:28And honestly, I don't know why I didn't highlight this for myself before, but we are absolutely
31:32going to highlight that one there.
31:35Under 37.5, but I'm also going to say New England, plus 6.5.
31:38I think the Texans win, but I do think that it is close.
31:41From a fantasy standpoint, as talked about, CJ Stroud, he's the 10th ranked quarterback
31:45in fantasy right now, I would still see if I could have other options out there.
31:51For example, in the Vampire League, my wife, who is in 2nd place right now, is a team that
31:57has CJ Stroud, but also has Jared Goff.
32:02Rollin' with Jared Goff this week, in this matchup, so I think there are some quarterbacks
32:05out there that you can trust over a CJ Stroud.
32:08Deeds, excellently put in the chat, yes, optical blinking.
32:12Thank you for the chat, but we are all famous in here.
32:16We are an incredibly influential group in this chat, but thank you for that anyway.
32:23At the running back spot, if Joe Mixon is playing, I think you kind of have to play
32:26him, just because of how good he was in Week 1, but if it is Pierce or Akers or anyone
32:32like that, absolutely not.
32:34As I just discussed, I think New England is going to do a good job of limiting both wide
32:38receivers that you really focus on in Houston, so I don't know if I'm trusting anyone
32:45in this game on either side, really.
32:48I would do my best to not put Diggs out there, and Dell would be a, if you are desperate,
32:54sort of a play.
32:55On the New England side, it's the same as always.
32:58You are trusting no one, with the exception of Ramondre Stevenson, and even then you're
33:01hoping he doesn't fumble.
33:02Washington, taking on Baltimore.
33:04The Ravens favored by 7 points, with a total at 51.5.
33:08I think this game is going to be insanity.
33:10I think this game is going to be so much fun, and this is the game where I am going to take
33:17Washington seriously.
33:18I know we had the chat earlier in the week about, oh, well, who has Washington beat?
33:23And I countered with, who has anyone beat?
33:25Because no one's anyone in the NFL right now.
33:27The best team in the league, no one's taking seriously.
33:30And so if you're not doing that, who can we take seriously, really, in this league?
33:34And so, I think that this Washington team is legit.
33:39I do have worries about their defense, still, for sure, but I do think that this is going
33:44to be a team that is going to be able to put points up.
33:47And they're facing a Baltimore secondary that has been very vulnerable to passing attacks
33:53this season.
33:54And so I think this game turns into the shootout that everyone thinks it is going to be.
34:00Number 51 and a half is pretty high, given how the NFL has been going.
34:04But I think Washington is able to keep up with Baltimore.
34:07The one way that I think the Ravens win, and it's the thing that is keeping me from going
34:11the over on this game, I wonder if Baltimore tries to, to steal a basketball term, dribble
34:18the air out of the ball.
34:19I think they try to just kind of run some clock, run this game down, and try to slow
34:24it down and play it at a pace that Washington, I don't, I don't want to say they're not
34:29comfortable at.
34:30We just haven't seen them play at it, and we certainly haven't seen them thrive in it.
34:34So I think that this is going to be, that would be the game plan if it were me, if it's
34:39Baltimore.
34:40Although you can certainly understand if they want to take some shots against a defense
34:43that is lacking in the talent department, although they have been coached very, very
34:47well by Dan Quinn so far this year.
34:50But I think that the holes in the Baltimore secondary do leave them vulnerable.
34:54I'm taking a shot in this one.
34:56I'm going Washington money line.
34:58I'm going Washington to win this straight up.
35:00I'm not even suggesting.
35:03They're giving me seven points, I'm not going to take the points.
35:05I'm just going to go right at it.
35:07We're getting Washington to win this one.
35:08And from a fantasy standpoint, this one's easy.
35:11You're starting everybody.
35:12If they have B-A-L or W-S-H beside their name, throw them on in there.
35:18I'm trusting Hill.
35:19I'm trusting Isaiah Likely, sure.
35:22Ertz on Washington, get them on in there.
35:25Robinson, yes.
35:26Ekler, totally.
35:28All of them, throw it on in there.
35:31And let's give this one a whirl, because I think this game is going to be insane.
35:34Again, on the opposite end of that, Chargers taking on the Denver Broncos.
35:38The total in this game is 35 and a half, with the Chargers favored by three points in this
35:45game.
35:46Oh, Conrad, another 0 and 5, that's tough.
35:51I am 0 and 5 in one of my leagues as well, and it's a keeper league, so we have started
35:55the teardown.
35:57This is the Conrad v. Gino bowl in this chat right now, with the Chargers favored by three
36:02against the Broncos.
36:04Denver, I will say, I am not one who is really in a spot where I give credit to Denver a
36:12whole lot, based off of, you know, fandom.
36:15I would like to say that I'm not biased on this show, but I mean, come on.
36:19Come on.
36:20But as a Raider fan, yeah.
36:21I'm not really one who throws out a lot of confidence against Denver.
36:25But, they've looked better.
36:27They've looked better.
36:28I... and better than I expected, quite frankly.
36:31I bo-leave.
36:32Love the shoutout there, Gino.
36:34A little bit of Bo Dallas in there.
36:36Howdy, if you will.
36:37But I do think that Bo Nix is looking a little bit better and a little bit more comfortable
36:42in this offense already.
36:43And that gives you some pretty big optimism for Denver.
36:47And makes me, as someone who was very much a Bo Nix disbeliever, gives me a little bit
36:52of a, ooh.
36:53Ooh.
36:54It's starting to look like what it would look like if I was going to be wrong on that particular
36:58call.
36:59And, since a bit of a scare early on, Javonte Williams has also looked pretty good.
37:03But this defense continues to stand very strong.
37:05Now, as Conrad mentioned, they are a defense that is without their number one tackler now
37:10in Alex Singleton, who played a full game on one ACL, which, bravo to him.
37:17And, but also, that is why the ACL is already a, oh, well, he's walking off the field.
37:21So maybe it's not as bad.
37:23You can do that on an ACL for a bit, and then eventually, you know, kind of just fall apart.
37:29But you can do that for a bit.
37:30But still, nonetheless, very impressive.
37:32The one thing I will caution against, like, oh man, watch out for Denver.
37:36Here they come.
37:37Is that they have looked good against the Raiders, who everyone looks good against.
37:42I was going to say they looked good against the Jets.
37:44They didn't.
37:45They were just able to limit a very limited Jets team.
37:47And then, they looked legitimately good against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a defense that has
37:52proven to be a little bit leaky.
37:54And so I do think that maybe some of the reins need to be pulled in on these Broncos a little
37:58bit, and I think the Chargers are going to be the ones to do that.
38:01Conrad mentions in the chat, the quarterback has one ankle, and that is definitely a concern.
38:06You can go on one ACL, but one ankle, it's tough.
38:09It is concerning that every game he looks hobbled.
38:11And every game, it, there's going to be a moment where it's, okay, well, he's going
38:15off to the sideline, and that blue tent is getting propped up here again.
38:20But I just think that the Chargers have the edge still in this game.
38:24You obviously like the quarterback significantly better.
38:26I would still take a one-legged Justin Herbert over a Bo Nix almost any day of the week.
38:32And from a running back perspective, I do think that there is, like, J.K. Dobbins and
38:38Gus Edwards, while I do like Javante, I think that group has really been going.
38:43Pass catchers, it's a watch, but I think the Chargers are just a bit of a better version
38:47than what, of the Denver Broncos right now.
38:50And so, I am going to go Chargers minus three in this game.
38:53I do think the Chargers go out and get the job done.
38:56Also, I just like the Chargers coach a little bit better.
38:58But, again, credit to Denver for being better than I thought you were going to be at the
39:01start of this season.
39:03From a fantasy perspective, my first note was, do you even own anyone in this game?
39:07We are looking at the running backs here.
39:09Dobbins and Javante Williams are the only ones I would look at.
39:11All the other pass catching options, fine on the bench this week, even as we are into
39:16bye weeks.
39:17Alright, we're going to have to pick up the pace on this a little bit.
39:18Pittsburgh against the Raiders.
39:19It's a good one to pick up the pace on.
39:21Pittsburgh, minus three, total, thirty-six and a half.
39:23I'm going Steelers minus three.
39:25I don't think you need to analyze a whole lot of this game.
39:27The Raiders spent the better part of this week doing a quarterback competition, which,
39:31by design, means that they were splitting reps in practice, as they get ready for one
39:36of the best defenses in the NFL, which is utterly insane to me.
39:40The Raiders cannot run the ball.
39:41Their best wide receiving option doesn't want to be there, and thus isn't right now.
39:46And defensively, they just gave up thirty-eight points or whatever it was to the Denver Broncos,
39:51who as we discussed, improved, but not that improved.
39:54They also had Andy Dalton look very good against them, and we saw last week what good defenses
39:59do to Andy Dalton.
40:01Christian Wilkins is now on the IR.
40:04They have, like, two good players defensively, and about the same amount on offense.
40:09I do not see a world where the Raiders do anything in this game.
40:13Now.
40:14I have said that about the Raiders before, and then they somehow, someway, come up with
40:17a victory.
40:18I just don't think this is one of those games.
40:20I think Mike Tomlin is the type of coach that Antonio Pierce aspires to be, and I think
40:25Tomlin coaches circles around Pierce in this game.
40:28I think the Steelers win this one in a rout.
40:31Pittsburgh minus three is the play.
40:33From a fantasy standpoint, I think you can trust Justin Fields, the aforementioned Bownicks
40:37having a good game, and Andy Dalton having a good game.
40:40I think you can roll with Fields right now.
40:45With no Wilkins, you're trusting Najee Harris, and seeing what secondary back Pittsburgh
40:50throws out there, Jalen Warren limited in practice, and I think Cordero Patterson had
40:53an injury as well, but if either of those guys can go, I think you maybe take a look
40:57at it as well.
40:58And then Pickens in the wide receiver I think you can go with.
41:02The Raiders traditionally have been very bad against tight ends, but have actually been
41:06okay against them this year, so Friar Muth is maybe an option for you, but I'm sure you
41:12can find some other ones as well.
41:14On the Raiders side, the only players you even consider every week are Jacoby Myers
41:18and Brock Bowers.
41:20Atlanta taking on Carolina.
41:21The Falcons favored by six.
41:23The total is at 47 and a half.
41:26Under is I think a bit in play here, because I just don't think Carolina is going to hold
41:30up their end of the bargain on this.
41:32I think that we saw last week that while Carolina's offense got better with Andy Dalton, it's
41:38I think maybe a little bit more that they played the Bengals and the Raiders than it
41:42was that Andy Dalton was this great defense, which then led us down the conspiracy theory
41:46of oh, they didn't want Bryce Young to look good against two lesser defenses, so they
41:51just stuck him out there against two good defenses, and oh well, it's obviously not
41:54going to work.
41:55Let's go to Andy Dalton now.
41:56Um.
41:57A little bit of throwing him to the wolves in that.
42:00Like, this is.
42:01There isn't a whole lot of analysis in this game.
42:02Atlanta is getting better.
42:04Carolina is still bad.
42:06The Falcons are significantly better.
42:07We're going Falcons minus six.
42:09From a fantasy standpoint, you're starting your Falcons.
42:12I.
42:13Like, Mooney, London, Pitts, Robinson, probably even Algier, I'm rolling with all of those
42:18guys.
42:19And on the Carolina side, I think you have better options than Andy Dalton.
42:23At quarterback, I would hope you would.
42:25And you do go with Chuba.
42:26Chuba Hubbard has been on fire, fantasy-wise.
42:29And Deontay Johnson has looked better with Andy Dalton in this offense, so I think those
42:33are two guys you can trust.
42:34But that's basically it.
42:36The game that everyone's excited about this Sunday is the Detroit Lions taking on the
42:40Dallas Cowboys.
42:41Detroit favored by three.
42:42The total is at 52 and a half.
42:45Boy, it's nice to have a couple of games in the 50s this week.
42:47I know we have a couple in the 30s, which, like, three years ago, you would have never
42:51thought possible.
42:52But here we are.
42:54But this one, I think, does have shootout written all over it.
42:57We kind of mentioned last week that we were worried about Dallas and their banged-up defense,
43:02and then they were able to somewhat limit the Pittsburgh Steelers in a 20-17 win on
43:07Sunday Night Football.
43:09I do think that Detroit is a little bit better to exploit that.
43:14And we saw them get back on track this week against Seattle on Monday night.
43:18I think they continue that momentum here.
43:21And while Detroit's defense is still one I have some concerns with, I think they're able
43:24to just outscore any of their problems against the Cowboys.
43:28So give me the Lions, minus three, in this spot.
43:32As again, I think they're just kind of a better version of what the Cowboys are putting out
43:36there right now.
43:37From fantasy, you're starting your Lions.
43:39Goff is a play this week.
43:40Jamison Williams, Amon Ross, St. Brown, yes.
43:43Both running backs, of course.
43:44Sam Laporta, uh-huh.
43:46All of them.
43:47You're going with it.
43:48For Dallas, I think you can trust Dak this week.
43:50Detroit gives up some points through the air.
43:52Rico Doudle is the running back you want in Dallas.
43:55And we saw last week, Kenneth Walker had a real big game against Detroit, so there could
43:59be something there for Rico Doudle.
44:01CeeDee Lamb is in every week.
44:03And I do think that Jalen Tolbert, getting all those targets last week, that continues
44:07this week.
44:08And I think he is a play as well.
44:10We'll be waiting all day for Sunday night.
44:12And this is, this is what I call a brownie points Sunday nighter.
44:17Um, and it's a little, I don't want to say frustrating for me.
44:20But we are, in our household, it's Canadian Thanksgiving.
44:24We are doing Thanksgiving dinner on Sunday.
44:27But who we are doing with, they still have to work on Monday.
44:32And quite early.
44:33Because they're both shift workers.
44:34And so we have said, we gotta be done by seven so they can go to bed.
44:38So the only football I will be able to watch on Sunday is this fucking thing.
44:42Between the Bengals and the Giants.
44:44But if you have a significant other in your life who is not necessarily in the football
44:50watching mode, this is a big one where, you know what?
44:56I get.
44:57Like, we've been watching football all day.
44:59And Sunday night football, it is, like they, they have set it up.
45:03It's prime time.
45:04It's when the best matchups go.
45:05But you know what?
45:07Tonight's about us.
45:08Let's just, let's, you want to watch a movie?
45:10You want to go for a walk?
45:11You want to go out and, here in Southern Alberta, inexplicably, see the Northern Lights everywhere?
45:17You want to, you want to just go do that?
45:18We don't need to watch this one tonight.
45:19This is, I've watched too much football lately.
45:22It's time for me and you time.
45:24This is, this is that game.
45:25This is a brownie points game.
45:26Because it's the Bengals and the goddamn Giants on Sunday night football for no good reason.
45:30Bengals are favored by four.
45:31The total's at 47 and a half.
45:34The Bengals defense has given me major, major, major worries.
45:38And I, this line feels like a trap.
45:43Because there is no way the Giants have played well enough to be within four points of Cincinnati.
45:50And I guess they looked good last week against Seattle, so maybe that is kind of dragging
45:54this line a little bit closer than it should be.
45:56But you look at both rosters, and there's just, there's no way that I am trusting the
46:01Giants in this spot.
46:02And so when you see it's only minus four, it's like, ugh, ugh, they're telling me I'm
46:06missing something.
46:07What am I missing?
46:08Because you look at, like, Cincinnati, they're going to want to attack through the air against
46:12the New York Giants.
46:13I mean, against everyone, right?
46:15And I think the Giants are not really equipped to handle a Chase, a Higgins, and all of those
46:21guys.
46:22So I think they're going to be able to have success.
46:23Now, the one thing on the Giants' side is I think Brian Dayball scheming against this
46:27defense that doesn't look like it can stop anything is actually, you know, quite the
46:33sign and quite the thing to look at.
46:35But the Giants have Malik Nabors on the IR right now, or not on the IR, sorry, but he's
46:38not practicing.
46:39And so I have major concerns about what this offense is going to look like.
46:43And the Giants, yes, they look good against the Seahawks, but they needed a blocked field
46:49goal at the end to seal that game away.
46:51If the Seahawks hit that and then go in in overtime, this line is probably like Bengals
46:55minus six, Bengals minus seven.
46:57So I think we're getting a value here.
46:58I am going to go Cincinnati minus four, but it's not what I'm clicking on because I am
47:02worried about Dayball against this defense.
47:04From a fantasy standpoint, you're starting your Bengals.
47:06And I think you can even trust in the run game Moss and probably Chase Brown as well.
47:12For the Giants, with Nabors still not practicing, I do think you can go with Wandale Robinson.
47:17And honestly, Daniel Jones is a boy, if you're desperate, you can roll with this one and
47:22just go with it.
47:23Because I think that there will be some points to be had against this defense.
47:28But in terms of the rest for fantasy, it's tough because it's Sunday night, Singletary
47:32is limited.
47:33So I think in deeper leagues, you can still give it a shot with Tyrone Tracy in like 14-16
47:38team leagues, but you may want to avoid that one, maybe a little bit more and try to find
47:43someone else.
47:44And then we go to Monday night.
47:45It's Buffalo taking on the Jets.
47:47The bills are favored by two and a half.
47:49The total is at 40 and a half.
47:51I know that the new coach bump has been a thing in the NFL lately in that first game.
47:56But a lot of times that is when you are going from a coach that people don't like to a coach
48:00that people do like.
48:02You know, like the Raiders got a bump going from Josh McDaniels to Antonio Pearce.
48:08I felt happier when that move happened.
48:10And he wasn't even my coach, he was a coach on my team, but still, like, that was much
48:15more vibes based.
48:18This one, it feels like the vibes are off.
48:20Like it feels like, oh well Aaron Rodgers definitely had a say in it.
48:22Aaron Rodgers was like, no, I was as blindsided as everybody else.
48:25This is a coach that a lot of people liked, and a coach on the side of the football that
48:28was actually playing well.
48:30Now there's talk about, okay, well this guy is going to be in charge of play calling and
48:33all of these sorts of things.
48:35And so yes, maybe you feel a little bit better that, well the play calling is going to be
48:39better if it's not Nathaniel Hackett running it.
48:41But we still have, they made these changes like Tuesday and Wednesday.
48:44I get you have an extra day because it's Monday night football, but still, that is a quick
48:48turnaround to implement a whole lot of changes.
48:51Doing it against Buffalo does make you feel a little bit better because this defense isn't
48:54good.
48:56But it just feels so tire-fiery out in New York right now that I have to go with the
49:01Bills in this game.
49:02I think Josh Allen gets right.
49:03I think that James Cook is going to be able to run on this Jets team similar to the way
49:09that Minnesota was able to run before Aaron Jones got hurt in that game out in England.
49:14So I think James Cook, that we're going to go old school with this Buffalo offense and
49:17Sean McDermott is going to love it because they're going to run the ball like 50 times
49:21in this game.
49:22But I think James Cook is definitely a guy that you can look at.
49:25Shakir's not practicing, so I don't love any of the pass-catching options from a fantasy
49:29standpoint for Buffalo.
49:32You have to start Allen every week.
49:34He is your quarterback, right?
49:36I do think that Aaron Rodgers is an okay option fantasy-wise this week, given the Buffalo
49:41secondary thing, but we just talked about why I'm maybe a little hesitant on that one.
49:46And I think you have to trust Brees Hall and Garrett Wilson.
49:49Wilson does finally show up, you're hoping that Brees can as well in a matchup that maybe
49:54feels like a bit of a plus one for them.
49:56So those are my picks and my predictions for every game in the NFL this week.
50:03Let's close the show with a little bit of CFL talk, shall we?
50:17So unlike the NFL, there's going to be no point spread picks in this one.
50:21If you want what I think are the best plays for that, check out the Best Bets article
50:27over at 3downnation right now.
50:29Article?
50:30Piece?
50:31I never really know what to call it.
50:32Calling anything I do a piece feels very, um, incorrect.
50:38It feels very much like I'm trying to be something that I am not.
50:42And I'm not just like looking at stats and hammering out a piece after I do trivia on
50:46a Wednesday night.
50:47But I just linked it in the chat for those of you who are watching live.
50:52That is the 3down piece with my best bets picks for this week in the CFL.
50:57We've actually done pretty well.
50:58We went perfect last week with a nice little 3-0 mark.
51:03And we are actually 6-3 in the last three weeks.
51:07So that's how it's going.
51:09But quickly on the CFL, we'll just break these games down a little bit.
51:12Winnipeg is looking like a complete football team.
51:14And it still didn't look perfect in the first half last week against Hamilton.
51:18But boy did it look better in the second half.
51:21And the one thing that I think that you can really buy into from a Winnipeg standpoint
51:25right now is how well that defense is playing.
51:29They have been giving up an average of 190 yards through the air in the last three weeks
51:34since the two wild games against Saskatchewan.
51:38They have done a really good job of limiting teams.
51:40Now, that's Edmonton twice and Hamilton once.
51:43So I can understand that maybe there is a bit of a hesitance to like, okay, maybe we're
51:47not taking this team super seriously.
51:48But again, that was Edmonton on their real good run, getting close to a playoff spot,
51:55and Hamilton kind of the same.
51:57Hamilton was on a roll, and then Winnipeg just shut that down last week.
52:01So I think that defense is going to be good enough to limit things for Toronto.
52:04The one thing that gave me the slightest bit of pause on this game is Toronto's defense
52:09has been really good against the run.
52:12Winnipeg still sets up so much of their offense around Brady Oliveira and really tries to
52:17get him going and establishes him as a guy that is the focal point of their offense.
52:23Now, they've done a good job, like against Saskatchewan, the Riders were able to bottle
52:27him up in the run game, but he was able to go out and get it done in the pass game.
52:31And so they have still been able to use him in ways that gets him going and puts them
52:36in favorable situations on second down.
52:38So I think they're going to be able to scheme that up again.
52:40I'm going to go Winnipeg in this game.
52:43Saskatchewan taking on the BC Lions.
52:45If the Lions were playing a style of football that I felt confident in, I would go with
52:51the Lions here.
52:52As Saskatchewan, they do have the three wins in a row.
52:55There's still something missing offensively, but they are at least getting there.
52:59But this defense, they've gotten healthy, and now they're excellent again, and really
53:04putting pressure on quarterbacks and forcing some very bad decisions.
53:08So it's going to be a really intriguing matchup to see how that one goes.
53:13And I do also think a big part of what Saskatchewan is able to do is their run defense is, I think
53:18it's second best in the league right now.
53:21And that one you can kind of quibble on a little bit, just because Toronto has allowed
53:26the fewest rush yards in the league and fewest yards per game, but teams are also running
53:31on them the least amount.
53:33And part of that is, well, it's not working, so why would we keep doing it?
53:36But also, you know, it's just game flow, right?
53:39And how different games go.
53:40So Saskatchewan still has one of the best, one of the best, we'll say, run defenses in
53:45the league.
53:46And if they can limit Stanback, which they've been able to do this year, if they can limit
53:50him and force Rorik into those 2nd and 8th, 2nd and 9th type of situations, those are
53:55the spots where this defense has been able to take advantage of teams and really force
54:01them into turnovers and force them into mistakes.
54:05And so that's where I think Saskatchewan thrives.
54:07And also, I think it's going to be a bit of a quieter game for Stanback.
54:12So we will see.
54:13But the thing that I always tell you to watch on the rider's side is make sure that you
54:18see how this team is calling plays and how they are executing.
54:21If they are able to, because so many times it's just run on 1st down, Harris pass for
54:25the rest on 2nd down.
54:26If it is either Armstead, Ouellette, Hickson, whoever it is in that backfield, if they're
54:32able to get 4, 5, 6 yards on 1st down, this offense runs so much smoother than when it's
54:40the other way and teams have figured it out and now Harris, who is so good at throwing
54:44for 6 yards when you need 8 on 2nd down.
54:47We'll see how that goes, but I do think Saskatchewan, home field advantage and all
54:51that as well get the win and they pick up a victory over BC.
54:55Edmonton taking on Calgary, both of these teams aren't very good.
54:59I do think that the Stampeders are just worse right now and so that is the main piece of
55:05the analysis is that I think the Stampeders are a worse football team than the Edmonton
55:09Elks and so I have to pick Edmonton.
55:11But also, Calgary's run defense is one of the worst in the league and the Elks, with
55:15Trey Ford in there, they have turned him a bit more into just a passer this year, but
55:21they have been able to run the ball so effectively in games where he has played because so much
55:25of the focus is on what Trey Ford is going to do and teams just forget that others can
55:30run the football.
55:31There's a few more stats for that in the 3-down piece there if you want to check that
55:37one out, but yes, I just think that Edmonton's strengths match up with Calgary's weaknesses
55:44so effectively.
55:46The one stat that is a little bit skewed in this, and I don't believe I put it in the
55:483-down piece, but you look at the turnover differential and you think that, okay, well
55:54these two teams, like, they really don't match up.
55:56And the one thing is that, and now, the numbers are skewed because of their matchups together,
56:01so that is the counterpoint to it, but Edmonton's turnover differential is boosted by the fact
56:09that they got 9 against Calgary in those two games around Labor Day, so this isn't the
56:13ball hawking defense that those stats would lead you to believe, and I have no idea what
56:17the offense looks like with Schill's under center for Calgary, but I just, I think he's
56:21going to have to score a lot of points to keep up with what Edmonton is going to be
56:24able to do.
56:25And on Thanksgiving Monday, it is Montreal taking on the Ottawa Red Blacks, Ottawa has
56:30been just dominated by Montreal's defense this year, I think that the looks that they
56:35show have just completely thrown this offense off, and whether it is Brown or Massoli under
56:40center, turnovers have been a big problem for the Red Blacks, I think that continues
56:44here.
56:45I think Montreal picks up the dub.
56:47Alright, that is going to do it for Football Friday, so again, check me out on Sportsnet
56:51at 9.60, coming up at 1 o'clock, you can, you know, I don't know what we're going to
56:58talk about yet, but it's going to be fun, and I'm looking forward to it, and then after
57:02that is done, I have a couple errands I have to run, and then I will make my way back home,
57:06so around 4 or 4.30, you can expect a Football Friday from me, and we will get that going
57:12here on Twitch.tv slash PrimetimePK.
57:15So the schedule changing a little bit, also, they've been very inconsistent anyway, so
57:20this isn't a gigantic thing, but the team-specific podcasts that I had started on here are going
57:25to go away, it was a bit more time-consuming, and also, as Conrad, you know, I'm back on
57:30Game Over, so a Flames podcast here doesn't make a whole lot of sense for me, so I would
57:36not, I wouldn't be doing that anyway, and it just, it was too much of a time commitment,
57:40so the ColoradoCast, Dinomite, the Let's Raid, and the Rider Happy Hour, all mothballed for
57:48now, and that's going to be that.
57:49But yes, in the meantime, check out everything I'm doing.
57:52Follow me on social media here, make sure you follow at PrimetimePK for all the updates
57:57on everything that we got going on here with Twitch, there's going to be a little bit more
58:01kick content coming up as well, PrimetimeKlein, Twitter, Instagram, and TikTok, make sure
58:06you go over and subscribe to Game Over Calgary for Flames news, not just from me, but from
58:12a lot of great sources.
58:13I'm Conrad, doing an awesome work with the Game On yesterday, I don't know who is doing
58:18it today, or if there is one today, but we will be rocking with that, and it is post-game
58:23coverage after every game, so make sure you check that out, I will put that here in the
58:30chat, oh, no, wrong one, oh wait, maybe that'll work anyway, ah, nope, didn't work.
58:36I don't know why my OBS doesn't let me put it in the chat from here, but there we go.
58:42Yes, as Deeds is saying, have a great Thanksgiving, everyone, Conrad's scripting the Game On right
58:47now, so check that out on the Game Over Calgary YouTube channel, later, Toxic, talk to you
58:52guys a little bit later on this afternoon, have a great rest of your day, everybody.