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00:03We're at the showdown again this afternoon.
00:04The Guardians at home taking on the Twins.
00:07Both teams trying to make that push towards playoff baseball
00:10in October.
00:11The odds makers have this one projected to be very close.
00:13Take a look at the starting pitches.
00:15It's Bailey over getting the nod for the Twins.
00:18And Tanner Bybee getting the start here for the Guardians.
00:21You can see on the money line, very close to being a pick.
00:23And the total sits right around 7 and 1⁄2.
00:26So not a lot of runs expected for the Wednesday afternoon
00:29out there, progressive Phil Donahue.
00:31Now, you take a look, too, and you say, boy,
00:33that looks like a pick-em.
00:34Well, technically, even with the odds market, it's a pick-em.
00:37And along with the analytical market,
00:38it looks like a pick-em as well.
00:40If we're lining these pitchers up, I just told you,
00:41there's 27 pitchers I've rated today.
00:4416 and 17, excuse me, 15 and 16 today,
00:47that's pitching in this game.
00:48So that tells you how close these pitchers are.
00:514.15 XFIP number, 4.25 XFIP number side by side.
00:55If we're focusing on Tanner Bybee on the mound today,
00:57you look at his numbers.
00:59He hasn't been great over the past 30 days, to say the least.
01:02An ISO power number against 236.
01:05Awaited on base percentage against a 363.
01:08He's really been hammered, dubs, by left-handed batters,
01:11both on the season and over the past 30 days.
01:14So if we're looking at some RBI chances,
01:16you're probably gonna look at the twins and say,
01:18give me some left-handed batters.
01:19Walner fits that profile, and Larnach fits that profile,
01:22because you look at Walner, a .323 ISO
01:24gets right into pitching over the past month.
01:26That is sensational.
01:27You look at Larnach, .224 ISO power number
01:30through his 69 bats over the past 30 days
01:32against right-handed pitching.
01:33That makes some sense.
01:34If we flip it over to the other side with Ober on the mound,
01:37he hasn't really struggled in this set necessarily,
01:40but 110 at bats that he's faced,
01:42he does have a combined .238 ISO power number,
01:45which is a little bit dangerous.
01:46However, that lineup that we love so much
01:49on a night-to-night basis,
01:50just taking Josh Nail and Jose Ramirez,
01:52they have struggled over the past month
01:54against right-handed pitching in this side.
01:56So if you're asking me on a side, it is a true pick-em,
01:59but if you did want some RBI opportunities here,
02:01take the two lefties on that twins lineup,
02:03Walner and Larnach.
02:04One of those guys is gonna get an RBI tonight,
02:07and both of those guys are priced at plus money,
02:09so you put some extra money in your back pocket today.