Understanding NFL Preseason Betting Dynamics & Tips
Transcript
00:00It's easier to bet on the preseason than a regular season.
00:06Doesn't mean you can bet on every game, but in a regular season, both teams are trying.
00:11Coaches aren't going to tell you what they're going to do.
00:12You don't know what the play calls are going to be.
00:14They'll spell it out for you.
00:16We want to run the ball tonight.
00:17We want to see this guy play tonight.
00:19We don't care tonight.
00:20We want to see some effort tonight.
00:22Another good example, the Steelers got punched in the mouth.
00:26I'd expect your Steelers to get it done against my Bills that really don't care about these
00:30games.
00:31And don't be fooled, people, because you say, oh, Josh Allen's going to play a bit.
00:34Good for him.
00:35He played last week, too.
00:36They lost 38-6.
00:37Yeah, 33-6.
00:38Yeah, whatever the hell it was, yeah.
00:41Russ Wilson's starting for the Steelers.
00:44So you're on the Steelers minus the one, one and a hook?
00:47Yeah, I think the Steelers will beat the Buffalo Bills.
00:50McDermott is one of these guys.
00:51You know, McDermott and Tallman are good buddies.
00:56I think Pittsburgh wants to see more after the first week.
01:01And you know, the game's basically a toss-up.
01:02Put it this way, I've been a Bills fan a long time.
01:05They've never been good in the preseason.
01:07Like in the old days, the new days, any day, Scott.
01:11Anytime the Bills win a preseason football game, it's just sort of by accident in the
01:14fourth quarter.
01:15But they're never going to come out and just, oh, they look really good in the preseason.
01:19They don't care.
01:20McDermott does not care.
01:22And Tallman is a good preseason coach.
01:24He does care.
01:25After Harbaugh, he's got a second-best record in the NFL in the preseason.
01:29They got punched in the mouth, you know, sloppy ball handling, as you saw, Scott, last week.
01:35I'd expect the Steelers to be much crisper.
01:39I do like the Steelers to beat the Bills.
01:41And the Spuds come down as well.
01:43What about the Vegas Lanes, six and a half to Dallas in Sin City?
01:49Wow.
01:50Absolutely insanity, isn't it?
01:51Because you got the Gardner-Mensch, you ain't no coddle battle going on.
01:55But look, last week, the odds makers got it wrong.
01:58Another little tip for people betting the preseason here.
02:02Don't overreact when you hear, oh, the starting quarterback is playing.
02:07So what?
02:08Even the starting quarterback is playing.
02:09Let's say the best case scenario, he plays, and he scores one touchdown.
02:13They take him out of the game.
02:14There's your advantage.
02:15They're not the ones deciding the game, Scott.
02:18So yeah, you might get that, all right, he got us a touchdown, but he's not playing anymore.
02:22It's like talking about a starting pitcher that you know is going to pitch one inning.
02:25It's like, okay, we can waste our time talking about these starters so much.
02:29Talk to me about who's going to be playing in the second half.
02:32It's not so much the starters, guys.
02:34It's what's the coach is, what does he want from the game, right?
02:39Like the Raiders are trying to win these games.
02:41They're starting their quarterbacks.
02:43But look, they lost last week and they were overvalued, Scott.
02:46They're overvalued again.
02:47You know the Cowboys suck in the preseason.
02:50You're getting six and a half points with Trey Lance because he's the one that's going
02:53to be out there on the field.
02:54I'll take it.