AccuWeather's long-range experts forecast warm fall for the United States

The transition to autumn will be a slow one for most of the country this year.

Transcript

00:00Accuweather's long range experts say that the cooler crisp air autumn is known for won't

00:05happen anytime soon for most of the United States.

00:09We are looking at a very slow transition as far as temperatures into fall because we are

00:13forecasting most of the nation to be above average.

00:17Several factors are at play this year, including the tropics, which are forecast to be active

00:22this hurricane season, and the status of La Nina, a weather pattern caused by cooler-than-normal

00:27ocean temperatures in the Pacific.

00:29Astilox says a weak La Nina is expected to form this fall, which could lead to a northern

00:34storm track that results in drier conditions for many areas in the U.S., allowing temperatures

00:40to surge.

00:41We do feel that the entire United States overall should be warmer than average.

00:46It'll come down to soil moisture.

00:48Anywhere in the Rockies, the Northern Plains, the Great Lakes and Northeast should see above-normal

00:52temperatures.

00:53An active hurricane season is expected this fall.

00:57With AccuWeather forecasting, there will be 20 to 25 named storms, with four to six

01:01direct impacts to the United States.

01:04Pastilox says hurricane-prone areas could be wet at times this fall, and the increasingly

01:08wet soil could limit temperatures from running above historical averages.

01:13This year has been busy in terms of tornadoes, and that risk will continue.

01:18Pastilox says a northern storm track could extend the severe risk further north than

01:22average for this time of year, from the Plains over to the Mid-Atlantic.

01:26If you don't get the tornado output from the tropics, September-October could average

01:31below on the tornado output, but could pick up again in November.

01:35Pastilox says the warmer-than-historical average temperatures will have an impact on the early

01:40season snow potential, particularly in the eastern half of the country, where any significant

01:45snow is expected to hold off until November.

01:48In the west, wildfires are expected to burn into the fall, trending down by October in

01:53the northwest.

01:54Overall, the number of acres burned across the country will be just below average, but

01:59more than in 2023.

02:01Reporting for AccuWeather, I'm Lincoln Riddle.