The transition to autumn will be a slow one for most of the country this year.
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00:00Accuweather's long range experts say that the cooler crisp air autumn is known for won't
00:05happen anytime soon for most of the United States.
00:09We are looking at a very slow transition as far as temperatures into fall because we are
00:13forecasting most of the nation to be above average.
00:17Several factors are at play this year, including the tropics, which are forecast to be active
00:22this hurricane season, and the status of La Nina, a weather pattern caused by cooler-than-normal
00:27ocean temperatures in the Pacific.
00:29Astilox says a weak La Nina is expected to form this fall, which could lead to a northern
00:34storm track that results in drier conditions for many areas in the U.S., allowing temperatures
00:40to surge.
00:41We do feel that the entire United States overall should be warmer than average.
00:46It'll come down to soil moisture.
00:48Anywhere in the Rockies, the Northern Plains, the Great Lakes and Northeast should see above-normal
00:52temperatures.
00:53An active hurricane season is expected this fall.
00:57With AccuWeather forecasting, there will be 20 to 25 named storms, with four to six
01:01direct impacts to the United States.
01:04Pastilox says hurricane-prone areas could be wet at times this fall, and the increasingly
01:08wet soil could limit temperatures from running above historical averages.
01:13This year has been busy in terms of tornadoes, and that risk will continue.
01:18Pastilox says a northern storm track could extend the severe risk further north than
01:22average for this time of year, from the Plains over to the Mid-Atlantic.
01:26If you don't get the tornado output from the tropics, September-October could average
01:31below on the tornado output, but could pick up again in November.
01:35Pastilox says the warmer-than-historical average temperatures will have an impact on the early
01:40season snow potential, particularly in the eastern half of the country, where any significant
01:45snow is expected to hold off until November.
01:48In the west, wildfires are expected to burn into the fall, trending down by October in
01:53the northwest.
01:54Overall, the number of acres burned across the country will be just below average, but
01:59more than in 2023.
02:01Reporting for AccuWeather, I'm Lincoln Riddle.