These Voter Shifts Reveal Why VP Harris Polls Better Against Trump Than Biden

3 months ago

On "Forbes Newsroom," HarrisX Founder and CEO Dritan Nesho discusses a new HarrisX/Forbes poll which showed Vice President Kamala Harris performing much more competitively against former President Trump than President Biden had before.

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Transcript

00:00There is like you said earlier never a dull moment in politics. That's certainly the case this week. On Sunday we saw President Joe

00:08Biden drop out of the 2024 presidential race. Within a few days Vice President Kamala Harris became the likely Democratic nominee.

00:16And now Forbes and Harris X has a poll head to head matchup between former President Donald Trump Vice President Kamala Harris. What

00:25can you tell us. Well we went to field on Monday for three days to really look at how Vice President Harris would reset the

00:35race if at all. And what we found is that she significantly narrowed Trump's post-convention lead. If viewers might remember

00:47after the convention in our post-convention poll Trump was up by eight points with regards to Biden. And then when you factored in

00:57undecideds he was still up by six points. And then when you compared him to Kamala Harris he was up fairly significantly nine points

01:06without factoring in undecideds. And when you factored in undecideds that number went up into a double digit lead of about 11

01:16points. When we look at the state of the horse race today we can say that Harris has momentum. And right now the horse race Trump is

01:26only up by two points 47 percent. Sorry 49 percent to 47 percent compared to Kamala Harris and only about up three points with likely

01:39voters. So her rollout has been quite strong. And you could say that it has reset the race where to the point where it's now a very

01:50competitive race again at least based on the national polling that we have done. So it reset the race. And I am curious because she

02:00did narrow the lead between Trump and the Democratic challenger. Where are what are her new strengths.

02:08Great question. So again up until now one of the weakness of the Biden campaign was suburban women and suburban women made

02:21large part of the undecided group of voters roughly 10 to 12 percent of voters that stood in the middle. Harris has managed to turn

02:32the position of Democrats on undecideds in general both independent undecideds and suburban women that were part of the undecideds. But

02:43actually it is very competitive with suburban women in a way that the Biden campaign was not. And now she's winning suburban women by 12

02:54points. And that's a fairly significant strength for her campaign compared to President Biden's campaign. So that's where we've seen a

03:05clear strength from Kamala Harris. She's also consolidated Biden's vote or Biden's coalition. She's winning 95 percent of all of the

03:16voters that said that they would vote for Biden with only about 3 percent breaking rank and about 2 percent being undecided. But you know

03:27some clear momentum especially with women. Now Vice President Harris has some challenges. And one of the most interesting challenges

03:36that we're seeing in the polling is that she's fairly behind with African-American men. And she's winning 65 percent of

03:46African-American men and losing 35 percent of African-American men to President Trump. In this regard President Trump is doing quite

03:54well still with African-American men. Three times better than what he had in the 2020 election. So the question is are these

04:05African-American male voters are they're going to go home to the Democratic Party and become part of Kamala Harris's base or is Trump

04:16actually giving them a better vision for the future and speaking to them in a more convincing way about the issues that matter to them. And

04:24this is something that is to be seen and should be tracked very very closely.

These Voter Shifts Reveal Why VP Harris Polls Better Against Trump Than Biden | HarrisX/Forbes Poll

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