A landmark study from OpenResearch provides more data on the benefits of universal basic income, the OpenAI founder’s favored solution for a future in which AI takes everyone's jobs.
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TechTranscript
00:00Today on Forbes, OpenAI founder Sam Altman gave thousands of people free money.
00:06Here's what happened.
00:08For the past eight years, an experimental project financed by OpenAI's billionaire co-founder and CEO, Sam Altman,
00:16has been quietly testing a utopian idea.
00:18What if everyone in the world were given free money, regularly, with no strings attached?
00:25So-called universal basic income was one of the first concepts probed by OpenResearch,
00:30a moonshots lab linked to OpenAI, that Altman has personally contributed tens of millions of dollars to
00:36in a crusade to shape a future he sees as inevitably disrupted by artificial intelligence.
00:42Now, the project is publishing the results of an extensive trial
00:46that cumulatively gave away $45 million to thousands of people across America
00:51in what it has called, quote,
00:53the most comprehensive study ever on guaranteed income.
00:57The study's findings were shared Monday in two papers published by the National Bureau of Economic Research.
01:03They are the first of several that OpenResearch plans to release,
01:06detailing a three-year-long trial in which 3,000 participants in Texas and Illinois
01:12were chosen at random to receive a $1,000 or $50 monthly stipend.
01:17The point of the investigation was to learn how our lives might change
01:21if we were given a small, unconditional allowance.
01:24Its initial findings revealed that people who received this money
01:27tended to spend it on basic needs, medical care, and helping others.
01:32Upcoming papers will focus on subjects like children, mobility, crime, and politics.
01:38Throughout the trial, researchers collected data from phone and online surveys,
01:43interviews, and time diaries,
01:45as well as third-party sources like educational records and credit reports.
01:49They also drew blood from willing participants to track changes in certain health biomarkers.
01:55Once their analysis is finished, the team hopes to de-identify and publicly share their data set.
02:01OpenResearch director Elizabeth Rhodes told Forbes, quote,
02:05Our goal is to just produce the data and make it available in whatever form works best for people,
02:10and as widely as possible.
02:13Theirs is hardly the first endeavor to measure the benefits of a guaranteed income,
02:17but the study by OpenResearch is on the larger end of several dozen pilot programs around the world.
02:22The biggest is a 12-year trial in Kenya that started in 2017
02:27and is funded by the philanthropic organization GiveDirectly.
02:31Countries like the U.S. and Canada have also flirted with the concept.
02:35Since the 1980s, residents of Alaska have received annual payments
02:39generated by the state's oil and gas royalties.
02:42And last year, California launched its first state-funded guaranteed income test,
02:47which will target former foster youth.
02:50Karl Weiderquist, a basic income historian and professor at Georgetown University in Qatar, said,
02:56We're currently experiencing a, quote,
02:58third-wave basic income movement, after witnessing its popularity rise in fits and starts over many decades.
03:05He was contacted by OpenResearch a few years back to provide his thoughts on the trial,
03:08which had not yet begun, and told Forbes they chose, quote,
03:12decent amounts to study.
03:14Now, he wants the federal government to move forward on implementing basic income.
03:19He said, quote,
03:20We have lots of data on what basic income can do.
03:24We just disagree about whether we want this to happen.
03:28Altman has said repeatedly that he sees universal basic income as a poverty solution,
03:33dating back to his time as the president of startup accelerator Y Combinator.
03:37In a blog post from almost a decade ago, he made a unique appeal to researchers.
03:42He wrote, quote,
03:43We'd like to fund a study on basic income.
03:46I've been intrigued by the idea for a while, and although there's been a lot of discussion,
03:50there's fairly little data about how it would work.
03:54Recently, basic income has been evangelized by Silicon Valley technologists,
03:58who see it as a salve for human joblessness caused by automation.
04:02In 2017, Elon Musk claimed, quote,
04:06It's going to be necessary, as, quote,
04:08There will be fewer and fewer jobs that a robot cannot do better.
04:12Musk changed his mind this year, saying, quote,
04:15We won't have universal basic income. We'll have universal high income.
04:20He didn't explain the difference.
04:22Altman has called it a, quote,
04:24obvious conclusion to his prediction that, quote,
04:27Computers will replace effectively all manufacturing.
04:31For full coverage, check out Sarah Emerson's piece on Forbes.com.
04:37This is Kieran Meadows from Forbes.
04:39Thanks for tuning in.
04:52you