Discover how a groundbreaking machine learning algorithm, the Vanderbilt Suicide Attempt and Ideation Likelihood (VSAIL) model, is revolutionizing suicide prevention efforts. Developed and tested at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, this algorithm utilizes electronic health records to predict the 30-day risk of suicide attempts and suicidal ideation. The recent trial published in JAMA Network Open showcased the algorithm's effectiveness in identifying high-risk individuals, with staggering results revealing the prevalence of suicide attempts and ideation among patients. With suicide rates on the rise globally, this innovative approach offers hope for early intervention and saving lives. Learn more about this cutting-edge technology and its potential impact on suicide prevention strategies.
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00:00A machine learning algorithm designed to predict suicide attempts recently underwent a prospective
00:10trial at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, where it was originally developed.
00:16The findings of this trial have been published in JAMA Network Open.
00:21Known as the Vanderbilt Suicide Attempt and Ideation Likelihood, VSAIL, model, this algorithm
00:28leverages routine data from Electronic Health Records, EHRs, to estimate the 30-day risk
00:33of visits related to suicide attempts and suicidal ideation.
00:39Over the course of the 11-month trial, approximately 78,000 adult patients were assessed at VUMC's
00:45hospital, emergency room, and surgical clinics.
00:50By stratifying these patients into eight groups based on their suicide risk scores, the algorithm
00:55revealed that the highest risk group alone accounted for more than a third of all documented
01:00suicide attempts, and nearly half of all cases of suicidal ideation.
01:06According to the EHR data, 1 in 23 individuals in this high-risk category reported suicidal
01:12thoughts, and 1 in 271 attempted suicide.
01:18Suicide rates have been climbing among newer generations in many developed countries.
01:24Even in nations like Spain, where suicide rates are relatively low, suicides outnumber
01:29homicides by a factor of 10.
01:33In 2017, over 47,000 Americans died by suicide, with an estimated 1.4 million suicide attempts
01:41occurring that year.
01:44On average, the United States sees 129 suicides per day, with Tennessee experiencing a higher
01:51than average rate of one suicide every eight hours.
01:55Overall, suicide is the 10th leading cause of death in the United States.