Where Did BJP Go Wrong? Political Activist Yogendra Yadav Sheds Light on the Unexpected Numbers

3 months ago

In this compelling interview, Yogendra Yadav, activist and founder of Swaraj India, offers a critical analysis of recent political events in India. Yadav discusses the inaccuracies of exit polls, the role of media bias, and the overconfidence of the BJP.

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Transcript

00:00All the numbers that were coming in, almost all of them were 99% in the same direction.

00:06What is this?

00:07The samples that are collected,

00:09what went wrong in that, what went wrong in the data,

00:11what went wrong in its interpretation,

00:12or was there something else going on behind the scenes?

00:17You are right.

00:18Look, this is not just about the exit poll.

00:21Look, it doesn't make much difference if the exit poll gives the wrong information.

00:25Because by then, the votes have already been cast.

00:27The exit poll only makes a difference in the satta market,

00:29it makes a difference in the share market.

00:31And to be honest, I had nothing to do with either of these.

00:35I mean, it doesn't matter to me.

00:38But what worried me the most was that before the elections started,

00:44two months ago, the Prime Minister blew the trumpet 400 times.

00:49And the entire media of this country started blowing the trumpet 400 times,

00:53400 times, 400 times.

00:54If Modi comes, it's Modi. If Modi is there, it's possible.

00:57I mean, as soon as people started calling him the spokesperson of Modi,

01:01and many times, I'm sorry, I felt this many times on the channels,

01:06I stopped going to these channels.

01:08I felt, why do they make a poor BJP spokesperson?

01:11The anchor himself is a BJP spokesperson, more than them.

01:13So, they blew the trumpet 400 times, 400 times.

01:17After that, so many opinion polls came before the elections.

01:20Everyone said that BJP is going to do a great performance.

01:24BJP, someone showed 320, someone showed 370, someone showed 411.

01:29So, in a nutshell, before the elections started, the atmosphere was set up

01:34that BJP has won now, only the formality is left.

01:39And then, during the entire election period, when there was a ban on opinion polls,

01:43at that time, the media released the same targets in bulk.

01:47This is a matter of debate.

01:49I think it's a small matter that the exit polls were wrong.

01:52The impression that was made in the mind of the voters before the exit polls,

01:56that BJP will come, this is very dangerous.

01:59This has caused a lot of damage.

02:01Okay.

02:02Yogendra, what was it, in your opinion, from your understanding,

02:07which BJP failed to read, or maybe miscalculated?

02:12Was it the public sentiment?

02:13Like you said, there is fever, they must have known.

02:17Whether you call it nonsense, they bit more than they could chew.

02:21Still, the figures that came out, I don't think BJP had any hope or had any hope.

02:27Where was it wrong?

02:30This happens with dictators all over the world.

02:33They think that everything can be shot.

02:37And what happens is that once you fool the public,

02:41the second time you fool them.

02:43After that, it seems that anything can be given to the public.

02:46Say 15 lakhs, the public will forget.

02:49Taken for granted.

02:52Taken for granted, sorry.

02:55Yes, you tell the public that good demonetization,

02:58give me 50 days, then hang me from the pole, the public will forget.

03:03Tell them that we will double the farmer's income,

03:07don't even answer later, the public will forget.

03:10So this complete conceit and hubris,

03:18put together, creates a situation in which

03:21undemocratic or rulers with undemocratic bent of mind

03:26tend to believe that they can spin anything around.

03:29And with media in your body,

03:31it was very easy for them to believe.

03:33What is the media?

03:34Call at 3 o'clock in the evening and spread this news.

03:36What is it in the evening?

03:37Who has the courage to speak against us?

03:39After this, the signals that are coming to you,

03:45you tell them to leave it, what difference does it make?

03:49Manage it.

03:49This is that everything can be managed.

03:53This is what happened.

03:55It can't be that BJP officials couldn't see that

03:58inflation is a question,

04:00unemployment is such a terrible problem in this country,

04:04that there is a question of inequality in the country,

04:08people are in a dilemma about the Adani issue,

04:12there is no good message coming out of arresting the Chief Ministers,

04:16there are electoral bonds, all these things are fine.

04:19But there is this ego that everything can be managed.

04:24This is the fate of the great people in the world.

04:27This is what happened with Mrs. Gandhi in 1977.

04:30This is what happened.

04:32Okay, this raises a question that

04:35the figures that have come,

04:37the kind of results that have come now,

04:39because the person you spoke to, the Prime Minister,

04:43the way he behaved, the way he managed the government,

04:48after the results of these elections,

04:50the pair, clearly said Narendra Modi and Amit Shah,

04:54and the numbers that have been collected,

04:56do you think there will be some change in their politics?

05:00Will there be some change in their methods,

05:02even if they make a government?

05:06It didn't take till last evening.

05:07Listen to their speech last evening.

05:09It seemed as if they had prepared a speech of 320 people.

05:13And even after 230 people came,

05:15they were still running the speech of 320 people.

05:17And even in that,

05:19usually, if you go to an exam,

05:22and if you get half the marks in the exam,

05:26then an ordinary person like me would not have the courage

05:29to come on TV and say,

05:31great success, thank you, the country is with me.

05:34To say all these things,

05:36you need first-class shamelessness,

05:38and a special kind of disconnect,

05:40this ego.

05:42We will manage all this.

05:44Yesterday, all the TV channels

05:46cut the Prime Minister and showed him.

05:48Till last evening,

05:50it seemed as if,

05:52look, we will manage everything.

05:54Announce it from the beginning.

05:56Look, BJP does not have a majority.

05:58The majority has not yet submitted

06:00a letter to the President.

06:02BJP's legislative party

06:04has not yet held a meeting.

06:06PM Modi has not yet been elected.

06:08And you cannot elect him without

06:10DDK and JDU.

06:12But they are announcing from there

06:14that Modi's third term has come

06:16and all this has happened.

06:18This is the part where

06:20once you run the narrative,

06:22manage it.

06:24So till last evening,

06:26we did not learn the lesson.

06:28But it is possible that

06:31after this,

06:33the attitude will change.

Where Did BJP Go Wrong? Political Activist Yogendra Yadav Sheds Light on the Unexpected Numbers

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