After a busy tornado season so far in 2024, more severe storms are expected from Texas to Ohio this week.
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00:00 a very active season. So a little perspective. How has it been going here?
00:05 You can see that we're dealing with a huge surplus were more than four.
00:09 Well, almost 400 reports above average here about 350 reports above average
00:15 here for where we would typically be by now. In fact, we had about as many
00:18 tornado reports now as we would typically expect to have it a year by
00:21 the end of summer by the end of August. So it's quite a gap in a little bit
00:25 more perspective. How do we compare to recent years? We're just looking at the
00:28 past 15 years of data. There's only one year that's actually had more tornado
00:32 reports by this point on the calendar on. You could see Texas and Iowa have
00:37 been atop the leaderboard. You don't want to be on this leaderboard for
00:41 most tornado reports. And right behind that, Nebraska, Missouri have had many,
00:45 many reports of tornadoes. Now, these don't necessarily reflect individual
00:49 confirmed tornadoes. There's some redundancy with the count sometimes, but
00:53 these are the number of reports that have been filed by the Weather Service.
00:56 And here's that list for perspective's sake. You have to go back to 2011. That
00:59 was the year with the super outbreak Tuscaloosa and parts of the south,
01:04 Alabama especially, faced some tenacious tornadoes in the month of April of 2011.
01:09 That was followed by the El Reno tornado and also the Joplin tornado. We had a
01:14 very bad May that year as well, and that really inflated the tornado
01:18 statistics. By June 3rd, we had 1700 tornado reports that year. This year is
01:23 in second place among the past 15 years. Five years ago, we had many. We had a
01:27 tremendously active late May, two week stretch in late May of 2019, but we're
01:32 above that pace again this year. And here we have some severe thunderstorm
01:36 threats here. Kansas and Minnesota facing the worst of this through this
01:40 evening. So we have to stay weather aware here. We're gonna be watching for
01:44 more damaging wind gust potential, large hail potential, and we have some power
01:48 outages out there in parts of Wisconsin as well, with trees and power lines
01:51 down areas of the face the worst of this today and are facing the worst of
01:54 this. This evening will be Rochester, Minnesota, the Twin Cities, also areas
01:58 near Omaha, Nebraska and Des Moines, Iowa. So we're watching these storms
02:01 move east through the evening and tonight and breathe. These storms also
02:05 have a future into the Great Lakes area. So Cleveland, Ohio will be facing some
02:08 of this in about 24 hours. Yeah, not good news. Not what you want to hear.
02:13 But of course, storms never stop at state lines. They are going to continue
02:17 to roll further east. Cleveland heads up as we do head into our Wednesday.
02:22 You could see some severe weather. Now, when we say some, we do mean isolated
02:27 in nature, but that does not mean that you can't see a strong storm. When we
02:31 talk about our risk, we we dive in deeper to how much in terms of coverage
02:38 those storms are going to be impacting. So you could see if you isolated strong
02:41 storms anywhere from Cleveland, Columbus, Nashville, even Shreveport,
02:46 with hail flooding downpours and damaging winds anywhere between 50 to 60
02:50 MPH. Yeah, you're accurate. The local storm exit 75 MPH. So those winds are
02:56 going to be howling future radar. Let's show you. I'm going to pick this up
03:01 where Jeff left off. This is Wednesday morning at seven a.m. Eastern time.
03:06 We're tracking that nasty line moving out of the Midwest right through
03:09 Indianapolis. But here comes the storms closer east right through Cleveland,
03:14 Columbus, Charleston, really down through the Ohio Valley, even Pittsburgh
03:18 getting in on some of that action. You'll see some breaks in the cloud
03:21 cover. That's not a good thing. The sun certainly going to help heat the
03:26 surface and help fuel some of these storms. Even as we head into Wednesday
03:30 evening, still tracking this line as it does head a little bit further east.
03:34 Now, even as we head into Thursday afternoon, we're still tracking some
03:38 wet weather as the storm does advance. This is Thursday into Friday, so
03:43 thankfully less humid conditions are going to be filtering in behind the
03:47 storm, though still street and highway flooding could cause some travel
03:52 concerns, especially there across New England and even down through eastern
03:57 and central Pennsylvania. Small hail, locally gusty winds in the Northeast
04:02 still going to be a concern as we head into the later half of the week, though
04:07 with this storm, it's also going to be cooling things down a little bit. So
04:12 with that less humidity, you're also going to feel those temperatures drop
04:16 Thursday through Sunday. Highs are going to be running now between 6 to 12
04:21 degrees below the historical averages. That's a big switch up because we've
04:25 been typically talking about above historical average temperatures here in
04:29 this region. Franklin showers, even some small hail, gusty winds here, even as
04:33 we head into the weekend. Let's look at your seven day forecast because it does
04:37 stay pretty active here in areas like Pittsburgh, kind of in between Wednesday.
04:43 Stormy Thursday could see a storm to as well as the shower Friday. We're gonna
04:48 dip 66 just for the high, so you'll certainly you'll certainly feel those
04:52 changes in the air and we're gonna be tracking some showers Sunday into