Dereck Lively's Rebound Odds in Boston-Dallas Series Analysis

  • 3 months ago
Transcript
00:00 (upbeat music)
00:03 It will begin, Boston and Dallas can't wait.
00:05 If you missed yesterday, two bets are already in
00:08 for this series.
00:09 Derek Lively, series rebound leader, 14 to one.
00:13 I think it's a great number.
00:15 I think he has a very legitimate chance
00:18 to actually lead the series in rebounds.
00:22 But I think even more than that,
00:24 and I know some people won't love this,
00:26 but I don't really care.
00:27 You have great hedge opportunities.
00:29 You really do.
00:30 What if Chris Stapps negatively impacts Tatum's rebounding?
00:35 It's on the board.
00:37 We don't have a huge sample size of Tatum and Chris Stapps
00:39 in the playoffs.
00:40 I know it didn't negatively impact Tatum
00:42 in the regular season,
00:44 but Tatum also only averaged eight and a half rebounds
00:46 a game with Chris Stapps in the regular season.
00:48 That's not what Tatum's expected to do
00:50 in a playoff series.
00:51 So we don't know fully.
00:53 I know Luca has been great rebound in the basketball,
00:57 but Luca's also relied on a lot of huge rebound games.
01:01 A big part of the reason why Luca was the series
01:03 rebound leader against the Minnesota Timberwolves
01:06 is 'cause Derek Lively missed a game.
01:08 So now you bring Derek Lively in,
01:12 who's been incredible for Dallas,
01:15 and could potentially command 30 minutes a night
01:18 in the finals 'cause you have to play your best
01:19 for as long as you possibly can,
01:21 then Derek Lively can average double-digit boards
01:25 in this series.
01:26 And at minimum, he can get off to a hot start.
01:29 Can we get 20 rebounds through the first two games?
01:32 If we do, no matter what happens,
01:35 we're getting a nice number.
01:37 (upbeat music)
01:39 (bells chiming)

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