On "Forbes Newsroom," HarrisX Founder and CEO Dritan Nesho spoke about a new HarrisX/Forbes Poll showing that "convicted sexual assaulter" is a worst label for former President Trump than "convicted felon."
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NewsTranscript
00:00 When you look at this poll about Trump's verdict and the reaction to it 24 hours after, was
00:06 there anything interesting, any takeaways when you look at it based on demographic?
00:11 Well, I think that, you know, we had some interesting questions that we formulated together
00:19 with the news team at Forbes.
00:22 So they're less about demographic differences where things are roughly falling in line or
00:28 with expectation and much more about the reaction to this verdict compared to the previous verdict,
00:36 right, that Trump received in the civil case, the sexual assault case that E.J. Carroll
00:42 put forward.
00:43 And so we asked the question, do you think this felony verdict on business falsification
00:49 charges, the Hajimani verdict is worse than the civil case in which Trump was found guilty
00:56 of sexual assault, or do you think that that civil case was worse?
01:03 Forty eight percent said the felony verdict is worse.
01:08 Fifty two percent said the sexual assault case is worse.
01:12 And that holds roughly consistent.
01:17 And when we ask which label do you think is more damaging to Donald Trump, 59 percent
01:22 said actually convicted sexual assaulter is a worse label than convicted felon, which
01:28 was 41 percent.
01:31 So again, Trump, there's so many cases and the public has been inundated with so many
01:39 of these legal pieces that it has created almost a level of sensitivity towards them.
01:46 And they're sticking more to issues based decisions than to these character based decisions.
01:54 At the end of the day, a majority of the country doesn't like either Biden or Trump.
01:59 So this election doesn't seem to be unfolding and playing out on the basis of personality
02:05 and character.
02:06 It's unfolding and playing out on the basis of issues.
02:10 Or we see a lot more resistance to the public moving on news topics or news events like
02:18 the one we just went through with the felony conviction and a lot more on issue based.
02:26 That's really interesting.
02:27 So as we've said, the presidential election is in five months.
02:32 This has already been baked in, but it's going to be even more so in five months from now.
02:37 And there's going to be countless, countless new cycles from now and then many events to
02:41 unfold until November.
02:44 So you're saying this will just be a flashpoint.
02:47 This is not the main story for the election.
02:51 Yeah, I think that this will move some segments of voters.
02:55 So, of course, when we ask more or less likely to vote for Trump, women tend to say, you
03:03 know, less likely by a five point margin.
03:07 For men, it doesn't matter.
03:08 In fact, they say they're saying more likely after this conviction.
03:13 18 to 34 year old, the younger voter groups are saying less likely by 17 points to vote
03:20 for Trump.
03:21 So 40 percent less likely to vote for him, 23 percent more likely.
03:27 But the other groups, you know, 20, sorry, 35 to 49 year olds, 50 to 64 year olds and
03:35 65 plus, they're basically saying more likely to vote for Trump.
03:39 Right.
03:40 These are voter groups that are not being fooled by this news.
03:44 And I think that the polling that will come out, we're the first to come out with our
03:51 flash poll, but there will be, I'm sure, many other polls really should be looked at closely
03:56 to see where there is resistance, where voter groups are making up their minds on other
04:03 issues or on other topics versus where we see, you know, fungibility, right, or where
04:11 we see this news move the dial.
04:16 Right now, it's very few groups that are really moving on this news.
04:22 Some younger voters, some female voters, but it's yet to be seen whether or not this is
04:28 sustained.
04:29 [BLANK_AUDIO]