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00:00 We've got 12 games on this Monday slate around Major League Baseball, including a double-header
00:08 in Atlanta between the Braves and the Padres, finishing out a four-game set where Atlanta
00:14 needs to start winning a few games.
00:16 And again, DRS, starting to feel more like some of the attention shifts to the Diamond
00:21 as we get closer to Memorial Day, which is this upcoming weekend, and we only have a
00:26 game a night maybe in the NBA playoffs, the NHL Stanley Cup postseason as well.
00:32 Soon it becomes the summer.
00:33 Soon the entirety of our focus is on MLB.
00:37 So we fly through this daily Diamond Dash here on a Monday.
00:41 The game we just discussed with Tom Vecchio, the Dodgers and the Diamondbacks, late night
00:46 in Los Angeles, Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the bump for the Dodgers, booked as a greater
00:51 than $2 favorite.
00:52 Tonight's total at 8.5.
00:54 Joe Mantiply on the other side for Arizona.
00:57 The Dodgers heavily favored.
00:58 They won their final three games of a four-game weekend set against Cincinnati.
01:04 Probably should be heavily favored as well.
01:05 You take a look at Yamamoto on the mound.
01:07 Last 100 batters over the previous month here.
01:09 A walk percentage of 5%, which is very good.
01:11 Strikeout percentage 23%, which is very good.
01:13 And you take a look at those ISO power numbers, 147, very good, and also weighted on base
01:18 percentage at 259.
01:20 The Diamondbacks, I like the lineup overall.
01:22 But going up against Yamamoto, it doesn't really look great.
01:25 You're taking a look at only looks like two, actually one guy over 180 ISO power number.
01:30 And that's Jacques Peterson at 246.
01:31 He had a couple RBI props yesterday that did cash in.
01:35 But outside of that, doesn't look like a great lineup.
01:37 And then as we always turn it over here to the Dodgers, Mantiply, the left hand to pitch
01:41 on the mound today for the Diamondbacks, hasn't been all that bad.
01:44 Last 30 days, he's only faced 34 batters, but he's got an ISO of 121 and a weighted
01:48 on base percentage of 247.
01:51 Even though I really like that Dodgers lineup, which again, you're going to like that basically
01:54 on a night-to-night basis, it probably leans towards the Dodgers winning this baseball
01:58 game by run line and also keeping it low scoring with an under as well.
02:03 Like a 4-2 outcome probably feels right at this point, but I would be surprised if the
02:07 Diamondbacks won this game.
02:09 So when you look at the Dodgers, 49 games so far this season, they have been booked
02:14 as a favorite in 47 of 49.
02:17 Being a minus 235 Moneyline favorite is not rarefied air for LA.
02:23 On the run line though, 26 and 23, again, often laying a run and a half, pretty good
02:29 marks for LA.
02:30 The hottest team in all of baseball, that's the New York Yankees.
02:35 Winners of seven straight at home, favored today to make it eight in a row.
02:39 Minus 136 for New York.
02:41 Up in the Bronx, hosting the Seattle Mariners, a total at seven and a half.
02:46 So the Yankees make it eight straight wins on this Monday.
02:51 Probably so, and that lineup has really come under fire here for not performing all that
02:55 great to start the season.
02:56 Now the big boys in the middle of that lineup, Aaron Judge, Gordon Stanton, as well as Juan
03:00 Soto have really come into their own.
03:01 Now let's take a look here at Logan Gilbert on the mound, right in the picture for the
03:04 Seattle Mariners.
03:05 For the season, 222 batters he's faced, been a 142 iso and a weighted on base percentage
03:10 of 257.
03:11 Hasn't changed all that much in the past 30 days where he's faced 122 total batters
03:16 a 139 iso and a weighted on base percentage of 275.
03:19 Now he's been absolutely fantastic on the season and the past 30 days against left-handed
03:24 batters.
03:25 Now sometimes it doesn't matter.
03:26 Soto is one of those left-handed batters.
03:28 He usually doesn't care who you are on the mound.
03:30 He's going to dominate.
03:31 But guys that could be effective, the Verdugos of the world, the Anthony Rizzo's and the
03:34 Austin Wells left-handed batters expected to be in this lineup along with Juan Soto.
03:38 The question's going to be Logan Gilbert over the first part of the season has done very
03:42 well against right-handed pitching.
03:44 But over the past 30 days, he's faced 56 of those right-handed batters, a 250 iso and
03:48 a 346 weighted on base percentage, which means Anthony Volpe, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton
03:54 all have legitimate chances to go yard tonight.
03:56 Let's flip it over to the other side.
03:58 Marcus Stroman is a quality pitcher.
04:01 He's been very good this season against right-handed batters, but he hasn't been very good at all
04:05 against lefties.
04:06 On the season, on 90 batters that he's faced on the left-hand side, a 280 iso and a 395
04:11 weighted on base percentage.
04:12 Let's take a look at the last 30 days.
04:14 It actually gets higher, an iso of 340 and a weighted on base percentage of 405.
04:19 You're going to get, looks like one, two, three, probably four left-handed batters in
04:22 the lineup.
04:23 The best of it is Cal Raleigh in the middle of that lineup as a catcher, a 242 iso against
04:27 right-handed pitching.
04:28 He might have a legitimate chance to go yard tonight.
04:30 But again, Yankees are the better team overall.
04:32 I expect them to win, but Cal Raleigh might be a little RBI guy in the middle of that
04:36 lineup today.
04:38 We showed you Aaron Judge and his offensive resurgence in the last two weeks as well,
04:43 batting above 430, seven home runs, 13 RBIs.
04:47 He has the best RBI prop at -105 for today's game.
04:51 The Red Sox got off to a great start this year, DRS, after a victory over San Francisco
04:56 on May 1st.
04:57 They were 18-13.
04:58 From that point, Boston has dropped 11 of their last 16.
05:03 The Rays, outside of Baltimore and New York, the only other team above .500 now in the
05:08 American League East.
05:09 And we have a virtual pick 'em today at the Trop.
05:13 -112 for the Rays, -104 on the other side for the Red Sox.
05:17 Total at 7.5.
05:18 >>Yeah, you take a look at that total at 7.5 and say, "Ooh, the Red Sox have been hot on
05:23 offense.
05:24 Can they get it together today again?"
05:25 Maybe so, but also look where they're playing.
05:27 We're no longer playing in Fenway.
05:28 We're down in Tampa, and the Trop certainly runs hard to come by.
05:31 Tanner Hauk is on the mound.
05:32 I'll tell you no more.
05:33 You don't look at Tanner Hauk and say, "Oh, that's a game we're looking to fade him and
05:36 go over."
05:37 You look at his seasonal statistics, Ben.
05:39 235 batters face an 050 iso and a weighted on base percentage of 247.
05:43 K rate, 24%.
05:44 Walk rate, under 5%.
05:46 He has been absolutely phenomenal.
05:48 So let's flip it over to the other side.
05:49 Taj Bradley is a very talented young pitcher here for Tampa Bay.
05:53 The question's going to be, we don't really have a big backdrop here.
05:56 44 batters face over the past 30 days, but it's a 103 iso power number and a weighted
06:01 on base percentage of 261.
06:03 Looks like it's going to be an under day at Tropicana Field.
06:07 A very interesting situation in this central focus.
06:11 We go to Kansas City.
06:12 The Royals, a home money line favorite at -118.
06:16 Total at 9.
06:17 Reese Olsen gets the start on the other side for Detroit.
06:21 He is 0-4 this year.
06:22 Ah, all right, bad.
06:23 0-4, but with a 2-0-9 ERA.
06:27 In fact, he has made eight starts.
06:29 The Tigers have lost seven of the eight, but not because of Olsen.
06:34 He has been sensational.
06:35 In the last three, he has given up only one earned run in his last three starts, and the
06:40 Tigers have scored five runs in total in those three games.
06:45 Will Detroit finally back up their boy in Reese Olsen today in KC?
06:50 I think they can, and also you're right.
06:51 The last 30 days, 116 batters face an 0-20 iso and a weighted on base percentage of 174
06:58 and a K rate of 23%.
07:00 They should be right in this ballgame.
07:01 You take a look at the Detroit lineup tonight.
07:03 Waka does struggle with left-handed batters.
07:05 You'll get a couple of those in the lineup.
07:06 Riley Green, Wensiel Perez, and Kerry Carpenter should be on your RBI list for shots tonight
07:11 here, Ben.
07:12 Gotta be the time for the Tigers, even against our guys in KC.
07:18 Even money on that money line.
07:19 A few more MLB games in preview and Beth Beth next.
07:23 A battle of the birds today under the arch in St. Louis.
07:27 It's the Cardinals hosting the Orioles, where St. Louis needs to start winning some games
07:32 if they are going to reach what the expectation has been in the loo for a very long time when
07:38 it comes to the Redbirds.
07:39 The preseason National League Central favorites still well below .500, but booked as a favorite
07:44 at home today against the American League's second best team, that's Baltimore.
07:50 Why Sonny Gray is on the bunk for St. Louis.
07:53 Will it be a gray day in St. Louis against Baltimore?
07:57 I don't know.
07:58 Sonny Gray, first month and a half of the season basically, as opposed to the past two
08:03 starts was fantastic.
08:04 Hasn't been all that great as of late, and that's not the team that you want to be stumbling
08:07 around with when you're going to take on the Orioles.
08:10 Also keep in mind, we've got 83 degrees today in the loo, and a total probably could be
08:15 on your radar because that ball should be traveling.
08:17 But if you're looking at Sonny Gray, seasonal statistics look good.
08:20 The last 30 days, a little bit more troublesome.
08:23 Let's flip it over to the other side.
08:24 Dean Kramer on the mound, who hasn't been all that bad this year.
08:27 You're looking at a guy that's supposed to be factored in as like your third, fourth,
08:29 or maybe fifth option on the mound.
08:31 He's got a 196 ISO, which is a little bit elevated, but a weighted on base percentage
08:35 of 280.
08:36 K rate on the season, 25%.
08:38 How about the K rate though, Ben, over the past 30 days, elevated to 33%.
08:42 That's pretty impressive at this point.
08:44 So I'm going to give the nod to the Baltimore Orioles in this game.
08:46 I like the lineup better, and Sonny Gray, if this was two weeks ago, we'd be taking
08:51 St. Louis because how dominant he was, a little bit leaky as of late.
08:54 So I'm going to lean towards those Baltimore Orioles today.
08:57 DRS, the best team in the American League Central.
09:01 That's the Cleveland Guardians.
09:02 30 wins, second most in the American League, only behind the Yankees.
09:06 The Guardians back home, minus 126.
09:09 Home money line favorite.
09:10 Cleveland was home over the weekend and a sweep over Minnesota, but minus 126 favorite
09:14 to start off this midweek series against the New York Mets over under eight and a half.
09:19 Now listen, the Mets did get a victory.
09:21 Yesterday, but the New York Mets have not been great here in the month of May.
09:25 They avoid a sweep against the Marlins yesterday in Miami with a victory, seven to three in
09:32 the finale.
09:33 The Mets entered May with a winning record.
09:35 They are now four games below 500 at 21 and 25.
09:39 They have lost 11 of their last 17.
09:42 Can the Amazons start to right the ship against the best team in the AL Central?
09:47 Yeah, maybe if they sit Diaz down as a closer, it's been horrendous over the past week here.
09:52 That usually helps when you have a lockdown close, which they figured they had here.
09:55 But the Cleveland Guardians in the Mets today, take a look at that total, probably leaning
09:58 more towards the over.
09:59 Ben Lively will be on the mound on the season.
10:01 197, Iso weighted on base percentage, 325, which is right about average.
10:05 But that Iso power numbers kicked up a little bit to lefties over the past 30 days to a
10:10 267.
10:11 So Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo on that lineup, Beatty and McNee along with Narvaez
10:15 might be some RBI shots.
10:16 Let's flip it over to the other side and take a look at Tyler McGill on the mound.
10:20 Only 18 batters he's faced this year.
10:22 Doesn't have very good statistics, so it's hard to go over.
10:24 But having said that, going up against right-handed pitching over the past 30 days for those Cleveland
10:29 Guardians, they've been really good, Ben.
10:30 Look at the first six guys in that lineup.
10:32 Freeman, Jimenez, Ramirez, Naylor, Frye and Brennan.
10:35 350, 322, 347, 336, 332 and 329 here, all with low K percentages as well.
10:42 Slightly towards the Guardians, but I actually think we got some runs here in this game.
10:44 I'll take the over the total here.
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