This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next 10 days, dated 28/02/2024.
It will turn much colder across the UK on Friday with a chance of snow for some. However early next week there are signs of high pressure moving in bringing milder, drier and sunnier weather for some. But how long will it last?
Bringing you this 10 day trend is Met Office meteorologist Annie Shuttleworth.
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We are the Met Office, the UK’s national weather service, and every day of the week we bring you a morning weather forecast and an afternoon weather forecast so that wherever you are in the UK we have you covered.
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It will turn much colder across the UK on Friday with a chance of snow for some. However early next week there are signs of high pressure moving in bringing milder, drier and sunnier weather for some. But how long will it last?
Bringing you this 10 day trend is Met Office meteorologist Annie Shuttleworth.
~
Subscribe to make sure you never miss the latest UK weather forecast or important weather warning - https://www.youtube.com/c/metoffice?sub_confirmation=1
We are the Met Office, the UK’s national weather service, and every day of the week we bring you a morning weather forecast and an afternoon weather forecast so that wherever you are in the UK we have you covered.
Forecast and any weather warnings are accurate at time of recording. To ensure you have the most up to date weather information, check the hourly forecast and live warnings on the Met Office website or app.
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NewsTranscript
00:00 Hello there, welcome to your latest 10-day trend. It's going to be turning much colder
00:04 and more unsettled to end the week with a chance of snow for some of us. But by the
00:09 middle of next week, it looks like it should turn a bit milder and drier again. More on
00:14 that in a moment. But at the moment, we've still got milder air across us, but that is
00:18 soon to be replaced by much colder air through the course of Thursday. So it will turn colder
00:23 and more unsettled through Thursday. And then on Friday, a low-pressure system will likely
00:29 develop to the south and west of the UK. This could bring a spell of quite persistent wet
00:33 weather into parts of the southwest, but also some snow as that does push further north
00:39 over the high ground of Wales and northern England, as well as parts of Northern Ireland
00:43 potentially and as far north as northern Scotland. But there is some uncertainty with quite how
00:48 far north this wet weather will push. But for many of us, it's going to be a cold and
00:53 fairly cloudy day with a risk of some outbreaks of rain and sleety snow. Let's take a closer
00:59 look at where is most likely to see some snow through the course of Friday. So the green
01:05 areas, as you can see, are most likely to see some snow. So parts of Northern Ireland,
01:09 Wales, northwest England, as well as southern Scotland are most likely to see up to about
01:15 10 centimetres falling above around 250 to 300 metres. So that's quite a key piece of
01:20 information. The snow is only really likely over the high ground. Low levels could see
01:25 a couple of centimetres, but it's quite a low risk of anything settling. Across the
01:30 far north of Scotland, we could also see up to five centimetres if that band of rain and
01:34 sleet and snow does push further north. And that would also be over the high ground above
01:39 about 300 metres. There's also a risk of some quite persistent wet weather spreading in
01:43 across parts of South Wales and the southwest. So make sure you keep up to date with the
01:47 day to day forecast to find more details on this weather through Friday and into Saturday.
01:52 Through the rest of the weekend, though, it will stay fairly cold and we do have low pressure
01:57 still with us. It will still feel fairly unsettled with a risk of further persistent rain and
02:02 showers, particularly through Saturday. That low pressure will slowly start to fill and
02:06 move away through Sunday, bringing some drier weather, but it will still feel fairly cold.
02:11 And then the next low pressure system pushes in for Monday, bringing with it a band of
02:15 rain. So another quite wet day to come on Monday for many areas. It will stay fairly
02:20 cold and unsettled from Friday all the way through into Monday. But then we're expecting
02:26 to see a shift in our weather patterns. So let's take a closer look at what that shift
02:31 may be. So we need to take a look at the jet stream a little bit further afield across
02:35 the other side of the Atlantic. So you can see by the start of next week, by Monday,
02:40 we've got quite a strong jet core. You can see that by the deep red pinks that denotes
02:44 where the jet stream is. And that's being strengthened by this plunge of cold air pushing
02:50 off Greenland. And that cold air will dive down across the Atlantic through the early
02:55 part of next week. And what that will do to our jet stream is create a more meandering
03:00 amplified pattern. When we see those amplified patterns push across the Atlantic further
03:05 towards the UK, that's when we can allow – that will allow pressure to build. So we can see
03:11 more blocked patterns starting to develop and potentially high pressure building in.
03:16 That's what we're expecting throughout next week. So this shows you the most likely pressure
03:21 trend throughout the next two weeks. So blue show low pressure likely being in charge across
03:26 the UK. Reds denote higher pressure being in charge across the UK. So you can see that
03:30 we've got quite an obvious change to reds throughout the weekend and throughout the
03:36 rest of the two-week period. However, through the early part of that transition, through
03:41 the early part of next week, we've still got low pressure around, a good chance of seeing
03:45 low pressure at times. And in fact, what we're expecting is for higher pressure to build
03:49 into the east of the UK and lower pressure still to sit to the west of the UK. With that
03:54 set up, we see a southerly wind, which is actually a milder direction. So what does
04:00 that mean in general for our weather through the early part of next week? Well, with a
04:04 southerly wind, as I said, it's a milder and warmer direction. In fact, it's looking like
04:09 we'll see fairly dry air through the start of next week. So probably there'll be a good
04:14 chance of some sunshine. And as we are, we'll now be in spring. It will feel fairly warm
04:19 in that sunshine with higher pressure to the east as well. It will likely be fairly dry
04:24 through a lot of next week, particularly across eastern areas. But with lower pressure further
04:29 west, that's where we're most likely to see some of that wet weather. And it's not to
04:32 say it will be entirely dry across the east and entirely wet across the west. High pressure
04:37 may dry weather may spread further west and that wetter weather could spread further east
04:42 for a day or so. So but it does look like we'll see a more prolonged dry spell and potentially
04:48 some sunny weather through the first week of March across the UK. And that's because
04:54 we've got high pressure, as I said, building in to the east of the UK and lower pressure
04:58 to the west. So you can see here this shows the pressure anomaly. So that the pressure
05:03 anomaly so that whether we'll see higher or lower pressure than usual throughout next
05:08 week. So this is the average through that throughout from next Monday onward. So the
05:12 bluey greeny colours shows lower pressure. The pinky colours show higher pressure. So
05:17 higher pressure based towards Scandinavia and towards the north of the UK, lower pressure
05:22 to the south and west. And I'm going to show you a sneak peek at the following week week
05:28 as that shows how we're expecting things to change towards the end of the week and the
05:31 weekend. So from Monday to the 11th of March onwards that week, we're expecting higher
05:37 pressure to shift from the east more to the north and low pressure to come in from the
05:42 south a little bit more. Now, that change in the position of the high and low pressure
05:47 would allow more of an easterly wind to develop across the UK. So the important detail, though,
05:54 for this 10 day trend is when are we expecting that transition to happen as we're likely
05:58 to see that pressure pattern from about Monday the 11th. So this chart here shows you the
06:03 most whether we're most likely to see easterly winds or westerly winds or neither. And so
06:09 reds indicate a good chance of seeing an easterly flow across the UK. So you can see quite clearly
06:14 here there's quite a strong signal from about Thursday or Friday. So towards the end of
06:19 next week, Thursday the 7th of March onwards, we're likely to see a bit more of an easterly
06:24 flow across the UK. Now, if we were in the depths of winter, we would potentially be
06:29 thinking that we could see some very cold weather, potentially some disruptive snow.
06:35 However, we are now moving into March, so that is becoming less and less likely as we
06:39 move further into March. However, it is still a colder direction at this time of year. So
06:46 it will probably turn a bit colder and cloudier through the end part of next week. But with
06:50 high pressure still dominant, it will probably remain much drier than it has been recently
06:55 for many areas of the UK. However, as that low pressure becomes more likely to southern
07:01 areas, that does increase the chance of seeing some more persistent rain moving into the
07:05 south. So there's likely to be a subtle change through the end of next week. But in general,
07:10 the main message is for next week to be much drier than of late. However, there is some
07:15 cold and unsettled weather to come this weekend. So please keep up to date with the day to
07:20 day forecast for more information on that and I'll see you later.
07:22 [BLANK_AUDIO]