• 10 months ago
Transcript
00:00 [MUSIC]
00:05 Yeah.
00:05 Like they come at you so fast, the Niners, you go the other way.
00:09 Right.
00:10 And Detroit was baiting them, setting them up, thinking we're going one way, and they went the other way.
00:15 Now, one of the first plays of the game, when Williams bursted loose, it was a misdirection.
00:20 Yeah.
00:20 They got him going one way to the strong side, then it went to the weak side.
00:24 And then they showed an example about Kansas City sort of live off of this stuff as well.
00:28 Yeah.
00:29 But the Niners know this.
00:30 If you and I know this, they do, right?
00:32 Right.
00:32 You know, at the end of the day, I look at this thing, and the bottom line to me is the wrong -- the better team is getting points.
00:40 The better defense is getting points.
00:42 The better quarterback is getting points.
00:44 The better coach is getting points.
00:46 The team that has the pedigree is getting points.
00:49 This is my head and not my heart.
00:51 I'm looking at this thing, and I'm just thinking all the way around, I think the wrong team is favored.
00:56 Does that mean they're going to win?
00:58 No.
00:59 But just looking at the number itself, you know, Kansas City, on top of that, you know, you saw San Francisco struggle in both their playoff games.
01:08 Purdy threw less than 65% completion rate in those games, never had more than a touchdown pass.
01:15 And you take a look at Kansas City, they beat the number one offense in the NFL, number one scoring offense, held them to seven points in Kansas City,
01:24 then go on the road and beat the number two and the number one seeded teams in the AFC playoffs, quarterbacked by Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson.
01:33 Now you take, you know, Purdy, Mahomes, I mean, come on, what are we talking about?
01:39 Six -- you know, this is a team that's six straight AFC championship games, four out of five Super Bowls.
01:45 I think the onus is on San Francisco to prove it.
01:48 I think they have the more pressure in the game than what Kansas City does.
01:52 One thing I find fascinating about this, and you've brought up the wrong team being favored in your opinion, and I don't really understand the line either, I don't.
02:00 But with that being stated, it's only the third time that the Super Bowl champion has been an underdog in the following Super Bowl like this.
02:09 Both two lost.
02:10 Yeah, I know.
02:11 The 78 Cowboys and the 14 Seahawks.
02:15 Yeah, Seattle.
02:16 Back game might have closed in a pick 'em with the Patriots, so that's debatable.
02:19 But I'm just saying that's how rare this is that the Super Bowl champion, that the defending Super Bowl champion is an underdog in the game.
02:25 Right.
02:26 And, you know, but at the end of the day, if you take a look at what odds makers use to set their lines, their power ratings match up with, you know, like TeamRankings.com and a couple of these others.
02:37 And they've had San Francisco power rated the number one team.
02:40 A Baltimore was number two.
02:41 Kansas City was number three.
02:43 And since San Francisco won and moved on in both their games, they're the number one power rated team.
02:49 They're not going to go against their own set of numbers.
02:51 They've got a two-point difference between -- two-and-a-half point difference, actually, 2.7.
02:56 And that's why they stuck it at two-and-a-half and opened it up.
02:58 And, really, it's amazing to me that it really hasn't moved all that much, a half a point.
03:04 I don't know.
03:05 I don't know what you've heard.
03:06 You've talked to a lot of people.
03:07 I know you're down on Radio Row with a lot of the ESPN guys and talking to a lot of odds makers here in town.
03:12 What they're thinking of any movement late in the week, if it's going to move off that number or not,
03:17 because from what I can see based on the handle, there's more money coming in on Kansas City than there is San Francisco right now.
03:24 And yet that line's really not moving.
03:25 [Music]
03:29 [BLANK_AUDIO]

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