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00:00 (upbeat music)
00:02 - I am a big fan of leaning into George Kittle
00:15 and taking some of the overs on his props this week
00:18 because I think there's two ways for success.
00:21 Number one, Debo Samuel is not out there
00:24 or he's out there in a limited capacity.
00:26 When Debo Samuel's not on the field,
00:28 George Kittle is targeted on 23% of routes run.
00:32 That's actually a higher rate than Brandon Iyuk.
00:34 And so I think George Kittle is going to get
00:36 some of that workload.
00:37 Now he's not gonna get that wide receiver one workload.
00:40 That's gonna go to Brandon Iyuk.
00:41 He's in for a good game as well.
00:43 But George Kittle, who's got a lower receiving prop,
00:45 I think he's gonna get a lot of the work
00:47 because of the absence of Debo Samuel.
00:50 And then in addition, you've got the other way with,
00:53 even if Debo's out there, this is still in our favor.
00:56 And that is that this Detroit Lions defense
00:58 is terrible against tight ends.
01:00 They actually rank one of the 10th worst teams
01:02 in yards per attempt allowed to tight end targets.
01:06 They've struggled mightily against tight ends
01:08 and they haven't really even played any good tight ends.
01:10 They allowed a decent game to Cade Otten last week
01:13 after he went off the week before.
01:15 They should have been tuned up to try to slow down Cade Otten.
01:17 He still was able to have a lot of success last week.
01:19 And that's Cade Otten we're talking about, not George Kittle.
01:23 There's only been two tight end ones
01:25 that this defense has faced all year.
01:28 And they struggled in those games.
01:29 They allowed two touchdowns to Mark Andrews
01:32 and they allowed Cole Komet to go
01:34 for 66 yards on five catches.
01:37 I think those are the two best tight ends
01:39 that this team has played.
01:40 They're gonna be in for a world of hurt
01:41 when they go up against George Kittle.
01:43 (upbeat music)
01:46 (bells chiming)