国盟难获非马来人支持 团结政府“铁票”在手？
八点最热报 | 分析指出，国盟的伊党在种族宗教方面走的路线几乎已经去到了极限，非马来选民就算对团结政府有多大的不满，宁可不去投票，也绝对不可能把票投给国盟。那如果国盟在争取非马来选票上难有突破，是不是就意味着团结政府可以高枕无忧了呢？（主播：蔡心慧）
Transcript
00:00 Before watching the video, I remind you that there is more content on the Hotline.
00:03 Since the national election last year,
00:07 the National Alliance has been a nationalist party.
00:10 It is very popular in the Malay society,
00:12 but it is not well known to non-Malay voters.
00:15 In the current situation of not more than half of the Malay voters,
00:19 can the National Alliance achieve the dream of "invitation to the capital"
00:21 by only relying on the votes of Malay voters?
00:25 Even if the National Alliance can't win all the Malay voters in the next general election,
00:29 it can only be a "Malay big brother" at best.
00:32 A free economic Dama has an analysis that
00:35 the National Alliance's path in the field of ethnic and religious affairs
00:38 has almost reached its limit.
00:41 Even if non-Malay voters have great dissatisfaction with the United Government,
00:45 they would rather not vote,
00:46 and it is absolutely impossible to vote for the National Alliance.
00:50 If the National Alliance is trying to make a breakthrough in non-Malay votes,
00:54 does it mean that the United Government can be at ease?
00:59 Zheng Minglie, a researcher at the Huayuan branch,
01:01 said in an interview with the 8.4 Daily that
01:03 "Looking back at the past of the National Alliance,
01:06 it was built on the rise of non-Malay,
01:08 that is, the rise of Chinese votes.
01:11 At that time, the Chinese did not have any disdain for the National Alliance.
01:14 Before the 13th National Election in 2013,
01:18 the Action Party sang "The Moon Represents My Heart",
01:21 and supported the National Alliance, which was equivalent to supporting the Action Party's vote.
01:25 They even considered using the National Alliance as a flag to run for the election.
01:30 It can be said that at that time,
01:31 the relationship between the Action Party and the National Alliance
01:33 was far better than the other alliance party, the Fair Party.
01:37 However, since the spiritual leader of the National Alliance,
01:40 Niazi Shishi, became the successor of Hadi Awang,
01:43 the National Alliance began to move towards the extreme.
01:46 The relationship between the National Alliance and the other two alliances is also getting further and further away.
01:50 It has also slowly lost the support of non-Malay voters.
01:54 Professor Amofa Uzi, a professor at the University of Likhe,
01:57 said in an interview that
01:58 the reason why the National Alliance is moving to the right and is conservative
02:02 is because they think
02:04 this is the cheapest way to fight for Malay votes.
02:08 No need to propose any political ideas or policies to govern the country.
02:11 As long as the situation is extreme,
02:13 the Malay voters will get the votes.
02:16 However, this also makes them lose the support of non-Malay people.
02:19 At the recent party conference,
02:21 Hadi Awang also admitted that
02:22 they lost non-Malay voters.
02:25 Amofa Uzi said that
02:27 although the party has received the support of the majority of Malay people,
02:30 not all Malay people agree with the policy of the party,
02:35 including the one-way law that it has been promoting.
02:38 In addition, Zheng Mingli also pointed out that
02:40 the National Alliance originally handed the burden of accepting non-Malay votes to the Fair Party,
02:45 but the National Alliance did not expect that
02:47 the Fair Party would rely on the Malay voters of the Tu-tuan Party and Yi Party.
02:52 In the end, they were lucky to win a seat in the six-week election
02:54 and successfully broke the bill.
02:58 Zheng Mingli believes that
02:59 the National Alliance has implemented many ridiculous policies in the past four provinces,
03:04 including banning smoking and drinking,
03:06 banning the update of the color-coded license, etc.
03:08 This has made the Chinese who have been used to the world
03:11 more defensive
03:13 and more rejected the National Alliance.
03:16 The Chinese have a great tolerance for the Yi Party.
03:20 Including the policies of the Yi Party in some provinces,
03:23 such as banning alcohol and gambling,
03:24 and the National Alliance has been promulgated to pay more attention to it.
03:27 Do you dare to go?
03:28 This is a blue card.
03:29 It's like a propaganda.
03:30 If a political propaganda is magnified by the opponent,
03:35 it is a great destructive force.
03:36 Whether you really have reached that level,
03:38 but you have not eliminated your opinions,
03:41 if you are biased,
03:43 the people will have the opportunity to do something.
03:45 Whether the National Alliance itself has no intention of being more conservative,
03:49 but the Chinese R&D Institute researcher Zheng Mingli believes
03:51 that the policies implemented by the National Alliance in the four ruling provinces
03:54 have given the non-Malays a fixed conservative impression of the National Alliance leaders.
03:59 Even if the National Alliance tries its best to win all the Malays in all the elections in Denmark,
04:03 it will not be able to win all the Malays.
04:05 So how do they win the hearts of non-Malay voters in the short term?
04:09 Professor Amor Fawzi of the University of Ligue in Politics believes
04:12 that the National Alliance and it are frequently picking up ethnic and religious topics.
04:15 It is better to provide constructive advice on policies to unite the government.
04:18 Pre-Carter National must not play just on ethnic and religious sentiments.
04:22 This is very important.
04:23 Go on policy, attack policy,
04:25 attack the PHBN government on the lack of policymaking,
04:29 on the failure to implement their manifesto.
04:33 If the National Alliance and the President can manage the fans and supporters of the people,
04:38 and explain the basic principles,
04:40 I believe this is the first step.
04:41 In the Malaysian society, not every vote is completely sincere.
04:47 Because of the anti-vote of the National Alliance,
04:49 Amor Fawzi did a more intense method,
04:52 which caused internal disagreement.
04:54 He may withdraw at any time.
04:55 So if the President of the ILO can control the votes in his hand,
04:58 and some votes from the National Alliance,
05:00 but he loses the votes to the National Alliance,
05:02 then the whole situation will be back to normal.
05:05 He may not only win the votes in the PHBN,
05:08 but also lose the votes in the other two states.
05:10 Amor Fawzi believes that in the long term,
05:13 the National Alliance should fight for the support of non-Malaysians.
05:15 It should start with the most international supporters,
05:18 the "Dongma" supporters,
05:19 and work with the Sabah and Sarawak political parties.
05:22 Zheng Minglie believes that
05:23 the non-Malay society should gradually let go of the National Alliance.
05:26 They can take action from the four ruling states,
05:29 to prove to everyone that
05:30 they can do better than the PHBN government.
05:33 I think another long-term issue which they will have to work on,
05:38 perhaps early on, in terms of cooperating with forces in Sabah and Sarawak,
05:44 which seem to be more cooperative.
05:47 I see that there is definitely long-term planning
05:52 among both PAS and also Besatu,
05:56 to produce politicians from the Sabah and Sarawak,
06:03 providing a good team to present,
06:05 not just Malays, but Malaysians,
06:08 with an alternative to vote.
06:10 How to convince the non-Malays and non-Sarawak supporters?
06:14 Can your policies be more inclusive?
06:16 Do you make people more confident in your direction?
06:19 You have to make the Sabah and Sarawak feel that it is a real benefit,
06:23 not a candy during the election.
06:25 If you want, you have to start with the "Dongma" supporters,
06:28 and propose a specific issue,
06:29 a very inclusive and caring old topic.
06:33 Can you make people's eyes shine,
06:35 and propose a better policy and declaration
06:37 for the Sabah and Sarawak to be united?
06:40 It seems that the UN has already found it difficult to get support from non-Malays.
06:48 For the United Government,
06:49 is the vote of non-Malays a "vote in the pot"
06:52 and a "iron vote"?
06:54 A researcher from the Institute of the Huayuan Institute pointed out that
06:57 although in the current situation of the UN,
07:00 unless a revolution occurs within the party,
07:02 the "open-minded" party replaces the "conservative" party,
07:05 which is likely to make non-Malays,
07:07 including Chinese, re-erase their old impression of them.
07:11 On the contrary, the United Government
07:13 cannot guarantee that
07:15 in the future it will be more inclined to be conservative
07:18 because it wants to win votes in the Malay.
07:20 It believes that not only political figures,
07:22 but also voters are often observing and measuring
07:25 which party is more beneficial to them,
07:27 which party is more beneficial to them,
07:30 which party is more influential to them,
07:33 and thus makes the choice.
07:35 The End. Thank you for watching.