Thunderstorms will turn severe, with threats lingering into the nighttime hours, including the potential for a few tornadoes.
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00:00 We have a high risk of severe weather today.
00:03 The severe weather this afternoon into tonight.
00:06 East Texas into the lower Mississippi River Valley.
00:09 What are we most worried about?
00:10 Damaging winds and tornadoes.
00:12 We can't see some flash flooding and hail.
00:14 The initiation will be mid to late afternoon and the threat will continue most of tonight
00:19 and certainly past sunset.
00:21 So under the cover of darkness.
00:23 All right, here's our upper level low.
00:25 We've been tracking that over the last couple of days here.
00:29 That upper level low just north and east of Oklahoma City.
00:33 It's on the southern side of this upper low where you have a lot of wind energy.
00:37 I want to show this to you.
00:38 Look how quickly things are moving from the Big Bend of Texas in the Arkansas and in the
00:45 Mississippi.
00:46 So this is a belt of energy.
00:48 What do you need for severe weather besides warmth and moisture?
00:51 Energy in the form of wind.
00:52 And we have plenty of that on the southern side of this upper level low here.
00:56 Now on our future radar, you can already see the motion of the clouds coming in from the
01:00 south so we have Gulf moisture as well.
01:02 We take you to about 5 o'clock in the afternoon.
01:05 Here's our line of thunderstorms from southeastern parts of Arkansas in the northwestern parts
01:10 of Louisiana.
01:11 Severe weather is underway right now by 5 o'clock.
01:14 Watch that line as it continues to press eastward into northern parts or western parts of Georgia
01:20 all the way down into Louisiana.
01:22 The threat for Jackson should be over by about 8, 9 o'clock but it continues all night.
01:28 While the thunderstorm threat, the severe weather threat may lessen a little bit here,
01:32 I'd really be worried south of Interstate 20 across Georgia and into the Florida Panhandle,
01:39 southern parts of Alabama and even Mississippi during the overnight hours that these thunderstorms
01:44 remain on the severe side.
01:46 That high risk does include Shreveport toward Jackson in the most of northern Louisiana
01:52 and southwestern parts of Mississippi.
01:55 While all forms of severe weather are possible, I think there are two main ones.
02:00 Certainly the damaging winds, that's where we have a high threat but I think there will
02:04 be tornadoes on the ground.
02:05 Now it's hard to put a number on but I always like to do that to give you an idea of what
02:09 we're talking about.
02:10 I don't think we're looking at two dozen.
02:11 I don't think we're looking at more than a dozen tornadoes but I think there's somewhere
02:15 in that three to twelve range of tornadoes that we can see on the ground and the problem
02:20 is in this part of the country, the tornadoes can get large and I'm worried that that is
02:24 a possibility late today and tonight.
02:27 Now the severe weather will be shifting tomorrow to the east.
02:30 It's not as high the threat for severe weather as what we're looking at today but there could
02:35 be severe weather more so in the morning.
02:38 Worried about that in the morning across southern parts of Georgia, of Alabama and in the western
02:45 panhandle of Florida here where we could be looking at isolated tornadoes in the morning.
02:50 Then by the afternoon I think we're looking at mostly damaging wind gusts, soaking rain
02:55 and there's going to be lots of travel delays in the southeast tomorrow.
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