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00:00 [Thongkham price has risen since the beginning of the war]
00:06 [but recently it has started to fall]
00:10 [Thongkham price in Thailand has fallen a lot]
00:13 [200 baht per baht, what is the next step for Thongkham price?]
00:17 [Today we are talking to Mr. Warachai Tangsitpakdee]
00:21 [Thongkham Community Council Chairman]
00:23 [Hello Mr. Warachai]
00:24 [Hello Mr. Warachai]
00:26 [Hello Ms. Atthaphan]
00:28 [Hello]
00:30 [Thongkham price has risen since the beginning of the war]
00:33 [but recently it has started to fall]
00:35 [What is the next step for Thongkham price?]
00:39 [If we look at Thongkham price]
00:44 [we can see that it has fallen]
00:47 [but it is not falling yet]
00:49 [It is still rising]
00:51 [The reason Thongkham price has fallen]
00:55 [is partly because of the interest rate]
00:58 [Today the interest rate is quite high]
01:02 [If we compare it to yesterday's market]
01:04 [which was at 35.9%]
01:06 [and now it is 36.9%]
01:11 [and now it is 36.4%]
01:13 [That means that the interest rate today]
01:15 [has risen by 1.2%]
01:18 [This is the main reason why the interest rate]
01:21 [and our gold price have fallen]
01:24 [but actually the gold price has not fallen]
01:26 [It is still rising]
01:28 [If we look at the spot price]
01:30 [is it still rising?]
01:32 [I have to say that in the war]
01:35 [in the middle of the country]
01:38 [the market is still worried about the risk]
01:42 [In the beginning, the market still thought that]
01:44 [if the situation here can be solved]
01:47 [Thongkham might be able to re-export]
01:50 [as before]
01:52 [But now there is no sign of a settlement]
01:55 [or a settlement]
01:57 [If we look at the situation last night]
01:59 [there was a shooting]
02:01 [The number of the dead is still high]
02:04 [It is increasing]
02:06 [It is almost 1,000 dead]
02:10 [There is no clear picture]
02:12 [of how it will end]
02:15 [And the Islam and the Armas]
02:19 [are not in the oil price]
02:25 [So this is a limited area]
02:29 [But how far can Thongkham look?]
02:33 [We have to look at the technical aspect]
02:36 [because Thongkham is actually]
02:39 [at the level of 1,875-1,185]
02:45 [If we calculate the current price]
02:49 [at 36.6]
02:52 [I will calculate it as 36.6]
02:54 [Because the price today]
02:56 [is a strong price]
02:58 [Thongkham might be able to break]
03:00 [at the level of 32,500-2,600]
03:02 [Something like this]
03:04 [But if today the price of the currency]
03:07 [goes down to 36.5]
03:10 [It means that the strong price]
03:13 [of the currency might have a negative impact]
03:15 [on the price of the currency]
03:17 [at around 300 baht]
03:19 [So what is your opinion on the way]
03:21 [to hold Thongkham?]
03:23 [Should it stay like this]
03:25 [or should it continue to invest?]
03:27 [I personally think that]
03:30 [Thongkham, the announcement of the Thongkham Stock Exchange]
03:34 [As of now, every time the Thongkham stock price]
03:37 [can drop to the level of 32,000]
03:40 [There will be a strong force]
03:42 [that can hold it]
03:44 [at 31,500]
03:46 [It will go up in a short period of time]
03:48 [And Thongkham will go up]
03:50 [to 33,000 again]
03:52 [At the end of the month]
03:54 [So Thongkham at the moment]
03:57 [If we have a chance to see]
03:59 [Thongkham at the level of 32,000]
04:03 [I still think that]
04:05 [it is a period where the stock price]
04:07 [can buy]
04:09 [And if it goes up to the level of 32,000]
04:11 [or more]
04:13 [It can make a profit]
04:15 [in the short term]
04:17 [And this is where it will go up]
04:19 [because the price of the stock]
04:21 [that is in the middle of the market]
04:23 [is having a problem]
04:25 [Can it go down?]
04:27 [If it doesn't go up]
04:29 [it will have to move up]
04:31 [Thongkham will probably go up]
04:33 [to over 1,900]
04:35 [It's not too difficult]
04:37 [If the situation is like this]
04:39 [If the situation is getting worse]
04:41 [it may go up to 1,900 USD]
04:43 [Besides the war]
04:45 [are there any other factors]
04:47 [that affect the price of Thongkham?]
04:49 [The bond yield]
04:51 [and the Fed meeting]
04:53 [In terms of the Doge]
04:55 [that will be held]
04:57 [in the beginning of next month]
04:59 [on the first day of the fiscal year]
05:01 [There will be two perspectives]
05:03 [The Fed and the Stock Exchange]
05:05 [that will be held]
05:07 [The Fed boss]
05:09 [that is very vocal]
05:11 [85.4% of investors]
05:13 [think that there is no]
05:15 [upgrade to the bear market]
05:17 [If there is no upgrade]
05:19 [it means that Thongkham]
05:21 [will be able to stay at a high level]
05:23 [On the other hand]
05:25 [the Doge]
05:27 [that was reported]
05:29 [in the last month]
05:31 [at the end of last month]
05:33 [in September]
05:35 [the Fed]
05:37 [had a 12-7 perspective]
05:39 [12-7]
05:41 [They think that]
05:43 [the Fed will have a chance]
05:45 [to go up the price]
05:47 [again]
05:49 [at 5.75%]
05:51 [This is the reason]
05:53 [why in the last two weeks]
05:55 [we have seen the price]
05:57 [go up a lot]
05:59 [So there are two perspectives]
06:01 [on where we will go]
06:03 [I think that in this situation]
06:05 [in this period of economic downturn]
06:07 [the Fed will have to slow down]
06:09 [It will not be long]
06:11 [before the price goes up]
06:13 [So, in general]
06:15 [I think that]
06:17 [Thongkham, which is at the level of]
06:19 [1,830]
06:21 [is the period where it can collect]
06:23 [If it drops to 1,800]
06:25 [it means that it can collect]
06:27 [and invest for a long time]
06:29 [in the future]
06:31 [What signals do you think]
06:33 [the investors will get]
06:35 [if the signal comes]
06:37 [that Thongkham should sell?]
06:39 [Actually, the signal]
06:41 [will be close]
06:43 [because the current situation]
06:45 [may be quite fast]
06:47 [and fast]
06:49 [For example, the inflation]
06:51 [is not stable at all]
06:53 [So, the investors]
06:55 [will have to be close]
06:57 [because we are in]
06:59 [different time zones]
07:01 [So, in terms of]
07:03 [the gold]
07:05 [I think that]
07:07 [it will be at the level of 1,870]
07:09 [If you think that]
07:11 [the price that we hold]
07:13 [and invested]
07:15 [can be released]
07:17 [But in the end]
07:19 [Thongkham in the next phase]
07:21 [will have to look at the future]
07:23 [If the long-term investment]
07:25 [is at the level of 1,830]
07:27 [I think that]
07:29 [it can be a long-term investment]
07:31 [because]
07:33 [I still have a signal]
07:35 [that in the next year]
07:37 [or half a year]
07:39 [the chance to adjust the downward trend]
07:41 [meaning that]
07:43 [it is a signal]
07:45 [that is not good for Thongkham]
07:47 [It is a gold pressure]
07:49 [But I think that]
07:51 [it should be reduced]
07:53 [by 0.5%]
07:55 [of the year]
07:57 [in the future]
07:59 [This means that]
08:01 [this is a pressure that Thongkham can lower]
08:03 [In the short term]
08:05 [which war pressure]
08:07 [or downward trend]
08:09 [will have more effect on Thongkham's price?]
08:11 [I have to say that]
08:13 [these two are important]
08:15 [because]
08:17 [it is a global news]
08:19 [but actually, I have to say that]
08:21 [the downward trend is more important]
08:23 [in the past]
08:25 [War]
08:27 [may be a news]
08:29 [which may not be long]
08:31 [It may be due to the third country]
08:33 [or something to help negotiate]
08:35 [for the two sides]
08:37 [to settle down]
08:39 [So, in this respect, I still think that]
08:41 [the downward trend is still important]
08:43 [because the short term]
08:45 [is always opposite to Thongkham]
08:47 [all the time]
08:49 [If we look at the downward trend]
08:51 [in Thailand]
08:53 [we have to admit that]
08:55 [the downward trend]
08:57 [has a lot of effect on Thongkham's price]
08:59 [As you said]
09:01 [the gold price has dropped]
09:03 [because the downward trend]
09:05 [has been stronger in the short term]
09:07 [So, what is the downward trend]
09:09 [and how is Thongkham's price?]
09:11 [In my opinion, the price of Thongkham's price]
09:13 [has dropped by 1%]
09:15 [I think that]
09:17 [if the price can be stronger]
09:19 [it may end up at 36.3%]
09:21 [If we calculate the price of Thongkham]
09:23 [it may end up at around 100 baht]
09:25 [If we calculate the price of Thongkham]
09:27 [it may end up at around 100 baht]
09:29 [If we calculate the price of Thongkham]
09:31 [it may end up at around 100 baht]
09:33 [If we calculate the price of Thongkham]
09:35 [it may end up at around 100 baht]
09:37 [because the price of Thongkham]
09:39 [has dropped to 36.3%]
09:41 [It means that]
09:43 [the price of Thongkham has been a buyable price]
09:45 [I think that]
09:47 [the price of Thongkham]
09:49 [will not go down]
09:51 [and will go up again]
09:53 [So I think that]
09:55 [there is a gain in buying]
09:57 [the price of Thongkham]
09:59 [because I think that]
10:01 [the price of Thongkham has dropped]
10:03 [from 1.850 baht]
10:05 [to the price of Thongkham]
10:07 [from the last night]
10:09 [so there is still a buyable price]
10:11 [I would like you to give us]
10:13 [a suggestion on how to invest]
10:15 [If you are an investor in the short term]
10:17 [I think that]
10:19 [Thongkham should be in the range]
10:21 [of 1.850-1.880 baht]
10:23 [This is the period of the profit]
10:25 [and the long term investors]
10:27 [would see that]
10:29 [the level of 1.830 baht]
10:31 [should be the middle and long term]
10:33 [investment]
10:35 [This is also dependent on]
10:37 [the price of Thongkham]
10:39 [because this is another]
10:41 [of the reasons why]
10:43 [the price of Thongkham]
10:45 [has dropped since the last Thongkham meeting]
10:47 [Thank you for your time today]
10:49 [Thank you very much]
10:51 [Thank you]
10:53 [Goodbye]