CLNS Media Sports Network
  • 2 years ago
Prepare for an in-depth analysis of the Week 5 betting scene with our distinguished hosts, Taylor Kyles from CLNS Media and Mike Kadlick of WEEI.



In this wagering segment powered by OddsR, Taylor and Mike will delve into the FanDuel Sportsbook odds for the match-up between the New England Patriots and the New Orleans Saints as well as other AFC East clashes. Their sharp insights aim to provide priceless guidance for those keen on betting or simply wishing to grasp a richer comprehension of the matches.



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Transcript
00:00 are going to start with the New England Patriots
00:02 welcoming the New Orleans Saints.
00:05 Right now the Saints are road favorites minus one,
00:08 according to FanDuel.
00:10 They are minus 104 on the money line.
00:12 Patriots are minus 112.
00:13 And the over under is 39 and a half.
00:17 That's the betting angle.
00:18 But me and Taylor were also down there all week
00:20 at Gillette Stadium, trying to get the vibes,
00:23 the feel for this team and what the heck
00:25 they're gonna do this week after getting
00:28 their doors blown off against Dallas last Sunday in Texas.
00:32 It was not good.
00:34 It wasn't even close to good.
00:36 Mac Jones struggled.
00:37 The defense actually only allowed two touchdowns,
00:39 but ended up losing 38 to three was the final score.
00:43 So Taylor, what do you make of their matchup
00:46 against New Orleans this weekend?
00:47 Can they do it?
00:48 And what do you think, obviously,
00:50 of the minus one spread for New Orleans?
00:52 - Going with my brain, this is just gonna be
00:56 probably a tough one to watch.
00:57 Unless you really like defensive football,
01:00 but even then, based on what these two offenses
01:02 have put on tape, especially with Derek Carr being hurt,
01:05 it just, you know, there's not a lot of hope.
01:07 And the Saints are also dealing
01:09 with offensive line injuries.
01:11 - Yep.
01:12 - There's not a lot of hope that this is gonna be
01:13 a high flying game.
01:14 At the same time, my heart says, well,
01:16 Mac Jones kinda needs one of, if not the best games
01:20 of his career.
01:21 One, because the Saints defense
01:23 is legitimately very talented.
01:24 And I think that he's gonna have to be on point
01:25 to beat them.
01:26 But even more than that, after last week,
01:29 you know, I think it's fair to say that
01:31 people's confidence is pretty shaken.
01:33 - Yeah.
01:34 - So, realistically, I would probably take the under
01:37 on this game.
01:38 Like, there's a reason the spread is so low.
01:40 It's just, these are two teams of rough offenses,
01:42 good defenses, where it's not likely
01:44 we're gonna get a lot of points.
01:45 So yeah, rationally, that's where I would go.
01:48 But hey, you know, maybe we'll get some surprise fireworks
01:51 and Mac Jones will actually play well.
01:53 And then I could go back and be like,
01:54 hey, look, we told you so.
01:56 Sometimes we know what we're talking about.
01:58 - Right.
01:59 - I don't know why I used Newark accent.
02:00 That's weird.
02:01 (laughing)
02:02 - Well, that's the thing.
02:03 That's kind of where I go with the Patriots team.
02:05 And I guess with this game in general,
02:07 because look, you have two teams
02:08 where obviously struggling on offense.
02:10 New Orleans hasn't been great.
02:11 Patriots have been not great either.
02:14 I was gonna use the word abysmal,
02:16 but I don't think it's been that bad.
02:18 It hasn't been great.
02:19 And the defenses are really, yeah, I guess.
02:21 The defenses though are really good, right?
02:23 Two defensive minded head coaches
02:25 in Belbelichick, Dennis Allen.
02:27 So they're obviously gonna come out
02:28 and show up for the test.
02:30 So I do like the under as well.
02:32 I agree with you though.
02:33 I think this offense needs a little jolt, if you will.
02:38 And I think Mac Jones might be ready
02:40 to finally give them that.
02:41 That is more so me betting with my heart
02:43 and not my brain, I think.
02:45 I think I've been team Mac and I think they,
02:47 I think there's something there
02:49 if they can sort of get the ball rolling here.
02:51 And so I am going to go Patriots plus one.
02:54 I think they squeeze one out,
02:55 but I'm with you on the under.
02:57 I think under 39 and a half makes sense.
02:59 I feel like it's a low scoring game,
03:01 defensive battle and the Patriots
03:03 can squeeze it on the end.
03:04 And they better because if you look,
03:06 start to look towards their schedule here, right?
03:07 If they start to really spiral, they lose this one.
03:11 If they lose against Vegas in Vegas the following week,
03:14 then you're looking at Miami and Buffalo
03:15 and it's just a disaster after that.
03:17 So they really need to get one.
03:19 And I think they do so this Sunday
03:21 against New Orleans when they come in.
03:22 So that's the picks for that one.
03:24 Let's continue moving on in the AFC East
03:28 where the Miami Dolphins will take on the New York Giants.
03:33 I was just scrolling Twitter and I saw Joe Shad
03:36 from Miami down there.
03:38 He tweeted his game preview
03:39 and his title was basically the Giants stink.
03:43 This is the time for the Dolphins to get back on track.
03:47 Yeah, he straight up goes the Giants.
03:48 - Woof.
03:49 - So yeah, that was a good one.
03:51 Find that interesting.
03:52 He's really firing from the hip there.
03:56 Obviously the bookmakers think it's the same though
03:57 because that fan duel, the Dolphins are minus 11 and a half,
04:01 minus 750 you have to lay on the money line
04:03 just for a Dolphins win.
04:04 The total is 47 and a half.
04:07 Miami, obviously they played Buffalo last weekend.
04:11 Played it not like we expected.
04:14 Obviously they had 70 points.
04:18 Two weeks ago and then sort of didn't play it
04:22 as well as they thought they would the next time.
04:24 Giants, they're coming off.
04:27 Their whole season is sort of in disarray right now.
04:30 They pay Daniel Jones.
04:31 Maybe Joe Shad is right.
04:32 Maybe the Giants do stink.
04:33 But they pay Daniel Jones.
04:36 Things aren't going well.
04:37 Brian D'Abel is saying,
04:39 I saw another clip of Brian D'Abel talking about Tua.
04:41 He's saying how much he loves Tua
04:43 and he's a great quarterback and this and that.
04:44 And I'm like, he just does not like Daniel Jones.
04:47 I saw the clip of him throwing the paper,
04:49 throwing the iPad too.
04:50 So not great with the Giants,
04:52 but 11 and a half point spread.
04:53 That's a lot of points.
04:54 Miami's at home.
04:55 What do you make of the matchup?
04:57 - This is, I think the Dolphins
04:59 are gonna blow the doors off.
05:00 - Okay.
05:01 - One, because the Giants haven't been great,
05:02 but I'm also looking at the injury report.
05:04 Their guard, they have a guard out,
05:06 their center and Andrew Thomas all out.
05:10 - Yikes.
05:10 - It's not a good sign for a quarterback
05:14 who's already, you know,
05:15 some of that falls on Daniel Jones,
05:16 but yeah, he's been getting his teeth kicked in
05:19 with the pressure we saw last week.
05:21 So, I mean, I add that.
05:23 Now the Dolphins did lose Toronto Armstead for the year,
05:26 which sucks.
05:26 Like he's one of the better players at the position.
05:29 Makes a huge difference for them,
05:30 difference for them when he's out there.
05:33 But yeah, man, like I think the Dolphins
05:35 are gonna wanna come out firing after last week
05:37 and kind of, you know,
05:39 the Bills kind of put the cap on him a little bit
05:42 towards the middle, the end of the game.
05:44 So yeah, I don't know why I'm talking so long.
05:46 I think the Dolphins are gonna run away with this one.
05:48 It's very simple.
05:49 - Yeah, that's easy enough.
05:50 Dolphins, obviously they traded for Chase Claypool
05:53 on Friday from the Bears.
05:55 So I don't know if he'll get down there
05:57 and suit up that quick.
05:58 But the other thing out of Miami is that Toronto Armstead
06:00 went on injured reserve, so he'll be out for four games.
06:02 So they might have a little bit of trouble
06:06 blocking up and protecting Tua,
06:08 but at the end of the day, I'm with you.
06:09 I like the Dolphins here, 11 and a half.
06:11 Back on their home turf too,
06:13 47 and a half is a very low number.
06:16 I think the Dolphins could have put up 40 on their own.
06:19 So I like the over 47 and a half
06:20 and I like the Dolphins minus 11 and a half.
06:22 Before we continue on, like I said,
06:25 this segment is powered by OddsR,
06:27 but it's also powered by FanDuel where we get our ads.
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07:37 that we're gonna talk about next, which is the Jaguars.
07:40 It's not really at the Bills
07:42 because the game is across the pond.
07:44 It is in London.
07:46 We have another London game,
07:47 the Jaguars sit over there this week
07:49 and now we'll face off against, like I said,
07:51 the Buffalo Bills who are making the trip.
07:53 Bills are minus five and a half.
07:55 The total is 48 and a half.
07:57 Bills coming off a big win against Miami.
08:00 Jacksonville coming off a win as well.
08:01 Like I said, they were in London last week
08:03 and they beat the Atlanta Falcons.
08:06 So, look, the Jaguars sort of have like
08:10 a de facto home field advantage
08:12 because they're there basically every year
08:13 and they play multiple games there.
08:16 I don't really know how much home field advantage they get
08:19 as far as the fans.
08:20 It's not like there's a bunch of Jaguars fans over there,
08:21 but they're used to it, they're comfortable
08:23 and they don't have to deal with the jet lag either.
08:25 So I'm wondering your take on this one.
08:27 I kind of know where I'm gonna pick,
08:29 but I wanna hear what you say first
08:30 'cause you might be able to sway me.
08:32 So what do you make of the matchup?
08:33 - The Josh Allen Bowl, once again.
08:36 I mean, the Bills have been on fire lately.
08:40 So I really don't wanna pick against them.
08:42 Also the Jaguars, Trevor Lawrence is fantastic.
08:45 They got a lot of talent.
08:46 I think they will be in the playoff hunt at some point.
08:49 But I just, like I said, I'm not betting against the Bills.
08:53 They did lose Trey White.
08:55 Obviously a huge loss.
08:56 He's one of the better cornerbacks in the NFL.
08:58 But at the same time, I haven't seen enough consistency
09:00 from the Jaguars and the Bills last week
09:03 were nothing but consistent.
09:04 Like we got a full fledged super sane game
09:07 on Josh Allen, his Patriots fans are very familiar with.
09:10 So yeah, over under, I'd probably take the over.
09:14 I don't know if the Jaguars can necessarily
09:18 put up that many points just 'cause again,
09:19 I think they're capable of it.
09:20 I just haven't seen it on a consistent basis, but the Bills.
09:23 I mean, this is a pretty solid Jaguars defense,
09:25 but at the same time, they're looking so good right now.
09:27 I'm just gonna kind of stick with the team
09:30 that has the hot hand.
09:31 - All right, I'm going against you.
09:33 I'm gonna go with Jacksonville.
09:34 I don't know if they win the game.
09:36 I don't know if they win the game.
09:37 It's gonna be close and Buffalo is obviously the Bills,
09:40 but five and a half points feels like
09:42 a little too much for me.
09:44 Those Lundge games can get quirky.
09:46 I know it got a little quirky last week against Atlanta.
09:48 So maybe Buffalo.
09:49 Buffalo probably pulls out the win,
09:51 but I think it's like a low one possession game,
09:54 maybe a three score game that comes down to the very end.
09:57 So I like the Jaguars plus five and a half.
09:59 And look, 48 and a half, I think I like the under there.
10:04 Like I said, it gets kind of weird over in London.
10:06 So go under 48 and a half in my opinion.
10:09 And I like the Jaguars to keep it a little bit close.
10:12 Let's continue one more in the AFC East.
10:15 Then we'll get to two more NFL games going on this weekend.
10:18 This is the New York Jets and the Denver Broncos.
10:22 The game is in Denver.
10:23 Denver is a two point favorite
10:26 against Zach Wilson's Jets at home.
10:29 Denver at home, excuse me.
10:31 Total is 43 and a half.
10:33 Taylor, we were talking about Zach Wilson this week
10:35 down at Gillette.
10:36 He's starting to become a little bit likable.
10:38 The Rodney Harrison thing happens.
10:40 He's starting to say all the right things.
10:41 He plays a pretty good game and all of a sudden
10:43 everyone's on team Zach Wilson now.
10:46 The Broncos, they come back last week
10:49 at their first win against the Chicago Bears.
10:51 So they look like they can finally win a football game.
10:55 A tight spread, a low total.
10:56 What do you make of this matchup?
10:58 - It was a tough one, man.
11:00 - Yeah, I know.
11:01 - Like you said, I mean, I'm rooting for Zach Wilson.
11:02 So this is one of those picks where I'm gonna go
11:05 with my heart. - Let's go.
11:06 - I'm gonna say the Jets win this one.
11:07 It's weird saying I'm gonna go with my heart
11:09 and pick the Jets.
11:10 That's like a thing of fury coming out of my mouth.
11:12 But yeah, I'm with Zach Wilson, man.
11:15 That was a lot of fun watching him last week.
11:18 And legitimately, they have all the talent.
11:21 Like we all know their defense is fantastic.
11:23 They have a ton of weapons on offense.
11:25 The offensive line situation has been pretty tumultuous.
11:27 But I mean, we saw from Zach Wilson was really promising.
11:30 At the same time, you know, Russell Wilson seems
11:32 to be finding his stride a little bit as well.
11:35 So I do agree this will be a tough game.
11:38 I think the spread's pretty fair,
11:39 but I'm gonna take the points and go with the Jets
11:40 to get the upset in Denver.
11:42 - See, that's where my heart is.
11:44 All the Zach Wilson stuff we're talking about.
11:45 I like him.
11:46 I think his ceiling can be a pretty dynamic playmaker.
11:48 But after what happened last week,
11:51 after him having one of his first really good games
11:53 in the NFL, I feel like it could very easily
11:56 spiral on him now too.
11:57 I feel like everybody's gonna be on the Jets.
11:59 I feel like the smart money is probably on the Broncos.
12:02 So I'm gonna take the Broncos.
12:04 I don't like the Broncos.
12:05 I don't really like Russell Wilson and Sean Payton together.
12:07 I don't like the marriage.
12:08 But it feels like if I wanna win some money,
12:11 I feel like the Broncos is the right play at home.
12:13 Jets obviously going on the road.
12:15 So let's go with the Broncos minus two.
12:17 43 and a half.
12:20 What's your take on the total before I give my pick?
12:22 'Cause I don't really know.
12:23 I don't really like that.
12:23 - Under, under.
12:25 - Just an under?
12:26 Okay, fine.
12:27 - Yeah.
12:28 (laughing)
12:29 - I'm on the under.
12:30 I'll go Broncos.
12:31 You go Jets.
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14:06 Two more to go here.
14:07 We have a matchup in the AFC North,
14:10 Baltimore at Pittsburgh.
14:12 Baltimore, minus four and a half point favorites,
14:14 according to FanDuel, minus 210 on the money line.
14:17 Another low total here, 38 points.
14:20 These ones, Ravens and Steelers,
14:22 always low scoring, always funky games.
14:24 Kenny Pickett went out last week with a knee injury.
14:27 Looks like he's gonna play.
14:28 I believe he was taken off
14:29 of Pittsburgh's injury report this week.
14:32 The Ravens, I don't know what's going on
14:33 with their training staff,
14:34 but those guys are always,
14:35 seem to be a laundry list of guys banged up.
14:38 But Odell Beckham Jr. did say today
14:40 that he was gonna play.
14:41 So what do you make of this one in the AFC North, Taylor?
14:46 - Steelers' pass rush makes it a little tough, you know?
14:49 'Cause that's a great front they've got.
14:50 But at the same time,
14:51 their offense has been lacking significantly.
14:54 And I think the Ravens, especially if OBJ is back,
14:57 I like their chances a lot better.
14:58 This one just feels like pretty straightforward as well.
15:01 Ravens, I think they'll win.
15:02 I don't wanna say like super comfortably
15:04 because of that rivalry,
15:05 but at the same time, relative to the rivalry,
15:07 I think it's gonna be them in the driver's seat
15:09 for this entire game.
15:11 - Yeah, I think so too.
15:12 I think maybe seven to 10 point win,
15:14 but it doesn't feel like that during the game.
15:16 Like it's closer during the game,
15:17 but Justin Tucker, you know,
15:19 shoots them through the uprights late in the game
15:21 to kind of put it away for Baltimore.
15:23 Obviously I like what Lamar Jackson's doing this season.
15:25 Fun fact, last week was the first game in Lamar's NFL career
15:29 that he had two passing and two rushing touchdowns.
15:32 Thought that was kind of interesting
15:33 considering he's been balling and had been an MVP
15:35 and he's never done that until last week.
15:37 I like the Ravens, minus four and a half.
15:39 I like the under.
15:40 This one's gonna get muddy.
15:41 They always do with these two teams, like I said.
15:42 So under 38, Ravens minus four and a half.
15:46 Let's wrap it up with Monday night football.
15:49 We got the Cowboys, we got the 49ers.
15:51 Obviously we are very used to
15:53 what these Dallas Cowboys can do
15:55 because we watched them beat our New England Patriots
15:57 38 to three last week, San Francisco 49ers.
16:00 They're undefeated, they're a wagon.
16:02 Brock Purdy can do basically anything.
16:05 Christian McCaffrey might be the MVP,
16:07 if not for like Tua or Josh Allen or whatever.
16:09 He's probably, if you're not talking quarterback,
16:12 Christian McCaffrey is gonna be the MVP of the NFL season.
16:15 Minus three and a half according to FanDuel,
16:17 Dallas coming to them.
16:18 45 points total.
16:20 Taylor, I'm just gonna give my pick first here
16:22 and then I'm gonna let you go.
16:23 I like the Niners.
16:24 I think Dallas, so like their game against Arizona
16:29 was a letdown spot.
16:31 So then they go against and play the Patriots.
16:34 They're not gonna go down, so they blow out the Patriots.
16:37 Now I feel like they're riding high, riding mighty,
16:40 and then the Niners are just gonna blow their doors off.
16:42 That's my thought here.
16:43 Niners are the best team in football.
16:44 They just traded for Randy Gregory
16:46 before we came on this recording from the Denver Broncos.
16:48 They're a pass rush.
16:49 I don't know about this week,
16:50 but they're just going for it all.
16:52 They're just rolling.
16:53 They're probably the Super Bowl favorites right now
16:54 and I think they could very well go and win it.
16:56 So in this one, I'm taking Niners minus three and a half.
16:59 I don't know about the total,
17:00 but I definitely like the Niners here.
17:01 What say you?
17:03 - Yeah, I don't think it's gonna be a shock.
17:04 I was gonna say show shock,
17:05 but they're pretty familiar with the Cowboys.
17:07 I don't think they're going into this game
17:08 and thinking like riding high, like, oh, we got this,
17:10 'cause the 49ers are a fantastic team.
17:13 But also the loss of the Cardinals,
17:14 I think they beat up on a bad Patriots team
17:17 or rather a Patriots team that had a really bad day.
17:20 So yeah, this is another one I feel like is,
17:23 I don't wanna say easy,
17:25 'cause the Cowboys have a ton of talent.
17:26 They're well-coached as well,
17:27 but at the same time, the 49ers have been a joke.
17:29 I don't see that trade stopping anytime soon.
17:31 So we are on the same page.
17:32 I'm going Niners.
17:33 - Perfect.
17:34 Niners minus three and a half.
17:35 Let's go over 45.
17:36 I don't know if it's gonna be, you know,
17:38 completely high flying,
17:39 but I think the Niners win comfortably
17:41 and I think the total goes over 45 at the end of the day.
17:44 That's it for us this week out in Patriots press pass
17:47 for our odds.
17:48 Our odds are betting preview.
17:50 Make sure you follow Taylor on Twitter @tkyle39
17:53 for all of his Patriots coverage, his film work,
17:55 all of that good stuff.
17:56 You can follow me @MikeKadlik,
17:58 read all my Patriots coverage at weei.com.
18:01 And remember that this segment is powered by OddsR.
18:04 OddsR, go to oddsr.com/presspass.
18:06 You get a free trial,
18:08 get all your analytics and your picks
18:10 for your betting for the weekend.
18:12 Come here and we'll talk about all the picks too.
18:14 So again, that's oddsr.com,
18:16 oddsr.com/presspass.
18:18 Taylor, thanks for joining me.
18:19 Everyone, thanks for watching
18:20 and we will see you next week.
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19:13 (upbeat music)
19:16 (upbeat music)
19:19 (upbeat music)
19:21 (upbeat music)
19:24 (upbeat music)
19:27 [BLANK_AUDIO]