PointsBet's Billy Brownless and Daisy Thomas preview of this weekend's AFL matches providing their best tips. Head over Heart is sponsored content presented by PointsBet. Gamble responsibly - Call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au
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00:00 (upbeat music)
00:02 - G'day punters, welcome to Head Over Heart.
00:12 Billy Brownless here, Daisy Thomas.
00:14 Thanks to our good friends at Pointsbet.
00:17 And you're still loving your footy days?
00:19 - Oh, it's hard not to, Bill.
00:20 When we have a look at what we're gonna talk about today.
00:22 Eighth v. seventh, we've got third v. fifth,
00:25 and one v. two.
00:26 All in the one round.
00:28 The ramifications are huge come finals bound
00:31 and finals time.
00:32 Some of these sides though,
00:34 just refusing to take their chances.
00:35 - Exactly right, and we have a look at this.
00:37 Friday night footy at Marvel.
00:39 What a game this will be.
00:40 This is eighth v. seventh, as you said.
00:43 Good game of footy days.
00:44 - Well, these are the sides that I speak of
00:46 when they didn't take their chance last week.
00:48 Got a real opportunity, both of them.
00:49 Probably more the Western Bulldogs.
00:51 Tough ask for the Essendon Bombers
00:53 to go down to the Cattery and get a win.
00:55 46 points down at quarter time, Bill.
00:57 Any chance they could have started the game.
00:59 The Western Bulldogs though,
01:00 they're all now in that muck from sixth through to 11th.
01:04 Very, very tough.
01:05 This will be a cracker.
01:06 I think the dogs we take on trust
01:08 a little bit more than Essendon.
01:10 However, I'm not really sure.
01:12 - If they're fair dinkum, the dogs win this game.
01:14 And they win it by three or four or five goals.
01:16 And this is what they gotta do.
01:17 Gotta get more consistent, consistent footy,
01:21 get into the finals, and then we'll see where they go.
01:23 - They have won eight of their last nine
01:24 against the Bombers, so that record
01:26 bodes well in this one.
01:27 - All right, we're going with the dogs there.
01:29 What about our next game?
01:30 Oh, what about this one?
01:33 Wowee.
01:34 Third versus fifth.
01:36 Brisbane should have won last week.
01:37 I don't know how they lost that game.
01:39 Fair dinkum.
01:39 And the Cats building, nice block, nice block.
01:42 And then another few blocks here.
01:43 Foundation, then, oh, nice house, the penthouse.
01:47 - That's where you're going?
01:48 They're going to the penthouse, the Cats.
01:49 Well, they did it last year,
01:51 so no reason why they can't do it again.
01:53 I just love the fact that they told us
01:54 at about round six, they said,
01:56 "We're not going that well,
01:57 "but come the back end of the season,
01:58 "we'll try and sneak into the eight
01:59 "and just see what we can do."
02:00 - They've learned. - And now fifth.
02:02 - Oh, no. - They know what
02:02 they're going to do.
02:03 They're very realistic with where they're at.
02:05 Getting players back.
02:06 Up at the Gabba, they don't mind it.
02:08 Four of six against the Lions up there.
02:09 - But the Lions like the Gabba.
02:10 - Well, the Lions, as I say, have won nine.
02:13 So their last nine in a row as a home team.
02:16 They're going well, should be an absolute cracker.
02:18 I think I'm going to lean with my heart
02:20 and my head towards the Lions.
02:22 - All right, my heart says Cats,
02:24 head says probably Brisbane.
02:26 So I'm going to go with a heart here.
02:27 The Cats are 270.
02:29 There's some value.
02:30 Value, if you don't mind.
02:31 They do like playing at the Gabba.
02:33 Big game for both sides there.
02:34 Port Adelaide take on Collingwood.
02:36 Second versus first, the big heavyweights.
02:39 Who are we thinking about in the heavyweight division?
02:41 - George Foreman v. Ron Lice.
02:43 Who else do you want?
02:44 Muhammad Ali v. Joe Frazier.
02:46 Ron Lice, cracking boxer he was.
02:48 Anyway, this should be an absolute belter of a game.
02:51 Port Adelaide get their chance to rectify
02:53 what didn't happen in round two.
02:55 Poor last week against the Blues.
02:57 Won 13 in a row against, before that I should say.
03:00 Have a listen to this.
03:01 Won their last four v. the Pies at home.
03:03 - Well.
03:04 - And have won their last four.
03:05 - Last four?
03:06 - Last four v. the Pies at home.
03:07 So the home ground advantage is real.
03:08 And won their last seven at Adelaide Oval.
03:11 - Oh, but Collingwood are flying, my friend.
03:13 - Collingwood are absolutely humming.
03:15 So we look through the head and the head says,
03:16 well, there's no reason why they can't.
03:18 But some of the matchups, you got Dacos v. Butters.
03:21 Don't want to see that.
03:22 - Will someone go and stand near him?
03:23 Or run with him for a while?
03:24 - I'm just not sure.
03:25 They've got Willem Drew who tags Port Adelaide.
03:28 But he's slower than a wet week.
03:29 And Nick Dacos could really exploit him.
03:31 Probably got him for strength, has Drew.
03:33 But I don't think he'll be able to go
03:34 with him around the ground.
03:35 So near on untaggable is Dacos.
03:37 I'd like to see somebody do something.
03:38 - So who's gonna win?
03:39 - Pies, comfortably.
03:40 - I'll go Port Adelaide at home.
03:42 - I've said.
03:43 - Come on, Kenny.
03:43 And here we go here.
03:44 This is a good game.
03:45 Your favorite team, the Giants.
03:47 They've won five in a row.
03:48 Are they building nicely?
03:50 And they're good defense, Daisy.
03:52 - Good defense.
03:52 - Buckley down there, the one that we're starting to love.
03:54 Sam Taylor's been very good.
03:56 Connor Iden, they've got an unheralded back line there, Bill.
04:01 And I think if they win this one
04:02 with the Western Bulldogs taking on Essendon,
04:04 obviously there'll be a winner there.
04:05 If they beat the Suns, they will be in the eight
04:08 from the start of next round.
04:10 - The Giants.
04:10 The Suns were good last week, by the way.
04:12 You've got to give them a better.
04:13 Well done, Stephen King there.
04:14 And that wasn't a bad win.
04:15 But the Giants should win this one.
04:17 They like playing at Canberra too.
04:19 - They do like playing at Canberra.
04:20 And they've been very good.
04:21 They've won five straight.
04:22 So this should be for six in a row,
04:23 which is as good a form line as anyone after Port got rolled.
04:26 - Should get some fireworks up there in Canberra.
04:28 - There will be some fireworks,
04:30 probably during the game and before,
04:31 and probably post if the GWS Giants do win.
04:33 I'll tell you what, Bill,
04:34 if you are going to have a look at any of that action
04:36 over the weekend, head to the Pointsbet app.
04:38 Only takes one minute to download.
04:39 You get access to all those markets.
04:40 Have a great week.
04:41 Happy punting.
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